first of ALL - do not panic
-[[[[ but take Notice ]]]]

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i have heard via the grape vine that it's coming

they ( the Bureau) are calling it
........the "Mega Storm" .........

this is definitely :point: NOT a joke...

it is not even on the news yet....
nor will be ....for awhile.......as they plan for it
as Pres. Obama's most major challenge

it is predicted to be the biggest ever
and will make 1978's storm look like
a cake walk.........

up to 10 inches of Rain .... possible

it will affect the whole eastern coast
from New Orleans to Nova Scotia
----------------------------------------------------------
I cannot reveal my source ....... sorry
but i wanted to warn/and prepare
all of my friends @ S-B

this is not a JOKE ! so ->>> be ready

in all seriousness

your friend ,
Raven


ps. no other info is presently available
pss i am presently bringing all my wood inside

Rav, if this is a goof I'm gonna hunt ya down...:whackin:

I'm hoping - if it is true - that you're not referring to the Mon/Tues rain event -

My wife and I are taking one of our dogs to Angell Memorial in Boston, leaving Newport Tuesday morning at 05:30 -

Say it ain't so...:smokin:

it is predicted to be the biggest ever
and will make 1978's storm look like
a cake walk.........

up to 10 inches of Rain .... possible


hey Raven,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

1978 was a Snow Storm, ne c'est pas???

so how does 10" of rain become such a cause for
"notice" other than the flooding factor?

will it be cold enuff for snow when she arrives, and
if so then 10" of rain = 60" of snow, right? THEREFORE;
:err: :err: :wall: :smash: :buds: :fury: :buds: :smash: :wall: :err: :err:

:lurk: Okay thanks:lurk:

I got it covered i built an ark a year ago and have been stocking it ever since.

will it be cold enuff for snow when she arrives, and
if so then 10" of rain = 60" of snow, right? THEREFORE;
:err: :err: :wall: :smash: :buds: :fury: :buds: :smash: :wall: :err: :err:

its actually a 10-1 ratio....so 100 inches of snow.

Can't wait to break the news to my son :hihi:

I got it covered i built an ark a year ago and have been stocking it ever since.

classic :btu:

I got it covered i built an ark a year ago and have been stocking it ever since.

What did you use to seal it and hows does it sit in the water?

after 3 or 4 feet --- what does it matter?

yeah one inch of rain equals about 1 foot of snow - supposedly

so there fore 10 inches equals 10 feet of snow

this is what i was told Crafty from a good guy

who has a reputable source in the business

of weather forecasting... anonymously

it would be irresponsible for me not to inform you

i don't joke around about this kind of stuff.
highlight below this sentence and above this line
Look for a super down pressure off the pacific coast
---------------------------------------------------------------
back to bringing in the wood :scatter: :bo:

I got it covered i built an ark a year ago and have been stocking it ever since.

http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/sign-GUYS/Image22.png did you hydro orientate the ark ? http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/sign-GUYS/face.png

its actually a 10-1 ratio....so 100 inches of snow.

Can't wait to break the news to my son :hihi:

thanks for setting me straight on that Kev,
used to think that it was the other way around.

lemeee seeee,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
that translates to 100", orrr

8 FEET; 4inches of the white stuff.
we're gonna need a bigger ARK and
snow removal of EPIC proportions!!!

better get out there and beat the Home Depot
RUUUN on generators,,,,,,,,,,,,power cords, igloo access's.
:biglaugh: :jump1: :jump1: :biglaugh:

How much Bread and Bottled Water to I need to by for 100" of snow

Okay - looks like I'll be monitoring the weather channel...

There is a cold front right behind the low system due here Monday...

Gonna stay at DefCon 3 until it hits the news...

Until then I'll just go inventory milk and bread reserves for now -

How much Bread and Bottled Water to I need to by for 100" of snow

one loaf and one gallon for each litre of Jim Beam X 6" of snow

This may force people to resort to cannabilism. Thank god I don't live in Brockton.

Well, if you remember back in '93 we had those two blizzards which dropped 20+ inches and 30+ inches around New England. The intensity of those storms was blamed on an abundance of tiny particles of volcanic ash hanging in the atmosphere after the recent erruption of Mt. Pinatubo, and that was in the Pillipines! With the particularly volatile Pacific storm season and the impening erruption of Mt. Redoubt in Alaska... maybe this super storm is possible. I am not a meteorologist, nor am I going to insist that anyone attend a meeting to save the volcanos. :hihi:

-Dave

:lurk: Okay thanks:lurk:

Too funny Bob! Raven.....I think your cork is coming loose!:hihi:

RAVEN - FOR THE LOVE OF GOD GET OUT OF THERE!

IT'S COMING RIGHT AT YOU!

I just went on Ebay and ordered a Holstein Cow. The milk ain't free so I figured with the "Big Storm" and all! Heck, it can mow my lawn if this turns out to be a poor prognostication!:tooth:

[/FONT]"]RAVEN - FOR THE LOVE OF GOD GET OUT OF THERE!

IT'S COMING RIGHT AT YOU!

You plow out past "10 foot snowpile"......past the "field of 40 foot drifts"......:wave: wave at the lighthouse keepers son as you turn past "snowed in road".......and you say to yourself......"I am a snow plow driver dammit"....and there is no better feeling on earth!:hihi:

I hope your did'nt get this info from Brad on 4 TV. he can't get it right even after the strom has passed.

From the weather channel

The next big weather maker will be a winter storm, forecast to develop Sunday night over the Northern Gulf, and track northeast, impacting the Eastern States Monday into Tuesday.

This has the potential to be a strong winter storm, impacting areas from the Gulf Coast, through the New England States. However, the exact track and intensity still remain very uncertain.

For now, the general thinking is that heavy snow and wind could impact parts of the Interior Northeast, Upper Ohio Valley, eastern Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians.

Wind, rain, and possible flooding could impact eastern areas of the New England States, including the bigger cities.

Rain will initially impact the Southeastern States, but also has the potential to end as snow and wind as the storm moves northeast.

Damn it

I been so busy with so many fisheries management issues that I completely missed the news about "The Big Storm".

Raven, I can't thank you enough. I would have woke up in a couple days and who knows if I would have made it through at all. At least know I know and have a decent chance at survival.

Ok...I still go time to get a few things ready.
1. Fill 55 gallon barell with beach sand in case it is only a few feet of snow...check
2. Fill 55 gallon barell with gasoline and put in basement...on second thought the basement might flood so i'll put it in the living room.
3. Fill 55 gallon barell with potable water and put in kitchen because i don't want fumes from gas barell ruining the taste of my drinking water.
4. Put empty 55 gallon barell in bathroom...'nuf said

Ok, running out of time...no more typing...I gotta get movin.

You plow out past "10 foot snowpile"......past the "field of 40 foot drifts"......:wave: wave at the lighthouse keepers son as you turn past "snowed in road".......and you say to yourself......"I am a snow plow driver dammit"....and there is no better feeling on earth!:hihi:

:laughs:

"Hmmm...:smokin:....big drifts when you get out there to the Flemish Cap..."..


All kidding aside, it probably merits keeping an eye on it anyway - I hope Raven doesn't up having the last laugh -

Canal man is right on target--> a voice of reason at last :wave:

haven't you noticed how many volcano's are happening over seas lately???

i have.........

the volcano erupting in Alaska will be a contributing factor i'm sure...

with global warming you have essentially global melting......
more fresh water sitting on top of salt water equals more evaporation which equals more precipitation or rainfall

We have been lulled into a false sense of security concerning
our weather patterns for the last 25 years i'd say...
that may be about to change.... <---

i can remember a storm in the late 50's where the snow was up to the second story window sill of our house out in the back....
these youngins have no concept other than the storm of "78 "

~ but
of course the same thing can be said about hurricanes
and the big one in 38 didn't teach us a dammed thing
we did not learn.... we are sitting ducks with so many homes on our coastline now,,,,

i know you find it hard to believe that the "Boy crying WOLF"

the biggest art prankster here ....could actually be right- i dunno ??
and hey...i can't blame you...

but, i couldn't have a clear conscience if i had never said anything
especially if i learned someone not prepared had died.....

i was told this by a very serious native American Indian

so - what's it gonna hurt?

to have some extra cans of beans
bottled water, steaks, and necessities in the house or flash lights
with working batteries HUH?

i live this survival business every single damn day ...
and when i sit in front of my wood stove in a burnt rocking chair
i can still see my breath in these frigid temperatures.

i always say ...what if... :think: and look at the worst case scenario

half the wood is in - a 1/2 cord or so...

ok back to work :cool:

"We're all gonna die."

good job !


remember when katrina was mis- managed on the forecast

and it caught many by surprise........

Well, if you remember back in '93 we had those two blizzards which dropped 20+ inches and 30+ inches around New England.

If that was the one that hit on Thursday and the other that hit on Friday into Saturday...I remember them. Right after I finally finished all the shoveling and got to sit down in the house to relax, I had to get up and take my wife to the hospital....that was the night my Son was born.

Rav, when it comes to weather events, believe me, I take the world serious -

Outside of old fish pictures, the other thing I collect is stuff regarding the '38 Hurricane - I've got the actual ProJo printed on September 22, 1938, it's amazing to read it - and I grew up hearing that stuff from my parents and the rest of my family and their friends here in Newport.

And no, wisenheimer, I wasn't there at the time...:fishslap:

But I do remember Carol in '54 and it scared the crap out of me as a little kid - some pretty vivid memories for a 5 year old going around with my dad after it passed -

Missed the '78 Blizzard, though - I had just driven to FL with a buddy that week and the day it hit I was sitting in Palm Beach nursing a sunburn and drinking a cold beer...:gu:

Karl - it's gonna be a three bottle storm i think :uhuh:
---------------------------------------------------------------

Crafty i was living in the mountains out west in "78"

so - i really have no concept either.... but from the

stories i've heard and movies i have seen on it...

i will endeavor to practice the boy scouts motto
---------------------------------------------------------------------
geesh......

i'm already half pooped out and will have a nice cold beer now... :)
last one too....

i have about 4 wheel barrows to go... then i'm done

because if the power went out again (without wood)
....we couldn't survive here very long !
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i even have a battery operated shower... too :drool:

TDF the red cross has all that info

before, or after Wednesday?
daughter is flying to Maui, and wife is flying to Vieques (sp?)
both flights first light Wed. AM, out of Logan...

I'll be busy selling "storm bottles" i guess...


Party in Orleans :bgi:
Like Bob, a few years back !!!
Should I bring dog bones :hf1:
VB

I thought from the title you were talking a new 24 inch paddle tail.

After reading all of this I still can't quite tell if you are 100% serious Raven. If you would like a good friend of mine is a weather man for Fox25 in Boston. A.J. for those that know the station. I will email him and see what he thinks if you like.

Go for it...

i think weather can be completely unpredictable
despite all of our scientific advancements ...

see what he says...
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24" paddle tail by storm :point: AHH hah hahahaha that's funny
you fish head... :cheers: cow tamer

I just went on Ebay and ordered a Holstein Cow. The milk ain't free so I figured with the "Big Storm" and all! Heck, it can mow my lawn if this turns out to be a poor prognostication!:tooth:

larry the coolest cow to get for beef is the Scottish Highland cow

he'll manicure your lawn and no one will trespass either LOL

http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/theHighlandcow.png

Anyone have any extra blo/mineral mix i ran out and only need 10,000 gallons.

i always wondered how long it was???

it was a measurement from your elbo to your finger tips


mine is 19 inches long

does that come with a fish finder LU ?

After reading all of this I still can't quite tell if you are 100% serious Raven. If you would like a good friend of mine is a weather man for Fox25 in Boston. A.J. for those that know the station. I will email him and see what he thinks if you like.

Good luck with that,,, The weather is like a woman,,,, Men have spent their whole lives and Billions of $$$ trying to understand it,,, and for some reason we still aren't any closer to figuring it out,,,,

:huh:

Its coming,,,

The butterfly effect negates the volcano's blowing up.I think that if a fly farts in China the wind direction is changed and Iran gets wiped of the face of the Earth by a sandstorm.:lama:

don't laugh but it is said that the dust in our attic came from egypt's mummies....
and forensic's proved it :bl:

Your A f ^%&*()_ lloney tune // I didn,t even read all the replys ......................... your way-the- F $%^&*( more wacked than me ;;;

C R A Z Y >>>><><><<:D

Your A f ^%&*()_ lloney tune // I didn,t even read all the replys ......................... your way-the- F $%^&*( more wacked than me ;;;

C R A Z Y >>>><><><<:D

http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/Festus.png

don't laugh but it is said that the dust in our attic came from egypt's mummies....
and forensic's proved it :bl:


Guess there really is truth to the saying "Old as Dirt"

:rotflmao:

Raven,
you are starting rumors!

www.weather.com
10:45 am ET
A few paths to choose from: Well, by now you've heard about the potential for a big winter storm. The hype machine is already in full-effect by some. Let's take a more rational look at the storm.

The one factor everyone needs to remember is that the potential winter storm is still 3 to 4 days away. Computer weather models have a tendency to flip-flop between different forecast scenarios from one model run to another.

A model run, by the way, is the time when a computer program produces a possible future weather scenario given the atmospheric conditions at the present time. Generally speaking, this is done about 2 to 4 times a day (a few weather models, however, are run every 2 to 3 hours).

So with that information in hand, it's quite difficult to hang your hat on a definitive forecast for this winter storm. The one thing we can say for certain is that there will be a winter storm over the eastern third of the country beginning on Monday and through all of Tuesday.

Computer weather models have been depicting two different storm tracks which you can see below:


Possible storm tracks

The interior track (Georgia to western Pennsylvania) will spell out very heavy snow (and in some cases possible blizzard conditions) for the the Appalachians and into western Pennsylvania and western New York. Heavy rain would fall along the East Coast including the I-95 corridor.

The more eastern track (Georgia to New Jersey/Long Island) would result in a heavy snowfall for locations east of the Appalachians including the big cities of the Northeastern I-95 corridor.

Models are currently trending toward the more eastern track but the finer details remain up in the air including the intensity of the storm and the speed of movement.

Keep it here at weather.com and The Weather Channel as we continue to fine-tune the forecast today and during the weekend.

Finally, we have one more thing to mention. In terms of destruction and costliness, this storm will come nowhere even close to the historic ice storm which struck Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas and Kentucky. In fact, there will be little to no ice associated with this storm. It will be your classic winter storm complete with heavy snow, high winds, and cold temperatures.

I hope you are right.:claps:

I'd "bury my head in the sand", but I can't find my shovel after the last storm!!!!:rotf3:

In any case, it NEVER hurts to be prepared for "disaster", regardless of the scale of the event.
My family jokes that I've bought "too much" *____*(fill in the blank).
But who do they turn to when they run out?

Even just the basic amenities make life more comfortable when the power goes out.

I've always done well in storms and am looking forward to this one. I'll be at the end rock of the breachway crushing stripers.

sharpen your studs... you............ AN eee MAL :cheers:

im leaving early wednesday morning to drive to northern michigan to bail my grandparents out of some bad weather and no wood left over, and with my grandpa half paralized after a stroke over the summer, they cant afford to wait much longer for me to get up there. sure hope the storm doesnt slow us down. the mountains in pensylvania are sure going to be one hell of a drive

Cats out of the bag! They are starting to cancel everything for next week.......school, work, everything! The following 2 weeks too! Guess they figure with 100 inches of snow....things could get pretty bad? :rotflmao: They never cancelled school this far ahead when we had 100 inches of snow when I was a kid!:rotflmao::rotflmao:

yeah when i went to school Larry i had to bring a shovel and dig my way there. :grins:

Just having a little fun with you Raven!:hihi:

Ya know, the more equipment the meteorologists get, the less reliable the predictions are.

I'd really like to have a job where I only had to be correct 50% of the time and still collect a paycheck...:doh:

Unfortunately, I have the perfect face for radio -

I'll tell ya right now, Art Lake* would have already had the whole damned thing figured out by now...he's just a little tough to contact these days...:smokin:

Hell, even Bunny North* could've done it...:laughs:

* Old dead weather people for you kids out there.

yeah when i went to school Larry i had to bring a shovel and dig my way there. :grins:

I thought the shovel was not invented yet only the stone hammer and clovis point.

we haad no shovels way back then

only an old Moose Antler....

and i still have it....

:) http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/MastaPoe.png

Source: Weather.com 10:45a Jan. 30, 2009

Well, by now you've heard about the potential for a big winter storm. The hype machine is already in full-effect by some. Let's take a more rational look at the storm.
The one factor everyone needs to remember is that the potential winter storm is still 3 to 4 days away. Computer weather models have a tendency to flip-flop between different forecast scenarios from one model run to another.
A model run, by the way, is the time when a computer program produces a possible future weather scenario given the atmospheric conditions at the present time. Generally speaking, this is done about 2 to 4 times a day (a few weather models, however, are run every 2 to 3 hours).
So with that information in hand, it's quite difficult to hang your hat on a definitive forecast for this winter storm. The one thing we can say for certain is that there will be a winter storm over the eastern third of the country beginning on Monday and through all of Tuesday.
Computer weather models have been depicting two different storm tracks which you can see (attached picture):

Possible storm tracks

The interior track (Georgia to western Pennsylvania) will spell out very heavy snow (and in some cases possible blizzard conditions) for the the Appalachians and into western Pennsylvania and western New York. Heavy rain would fall along the East Coast including the I-95 corridor.
The more eastern track (Georgia to New Jersey/Long Island) would result in a heavy snowfall for locations east of the Appalachians including the big cities of the Northeastern I-95 corridor.
Models are currently trending toward the more eastern track but the finer details remain up in the air including the intensity of the storm and the speed of movement.
Keep it here at weather.com and The Weather Channel as we continue to fine-tune the forecast today and during the weekend.
Finally, we have one more thing to mention. In terms of destruction and costliness, this storm will come nowhere even close to the historic ice storm which struck Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas and Kentucky. In fact, there will be little to no ice associated with this storm. It will be your classic winter storm complete with heavy snow, high winds, and cold temperatures.

BEFORE the Mega 24" Paddle Tail Storm BLIZZARD of '09:

Will the fishing be better before, during or after the storm ?

C/T 1st two for sure // the 3rd is a maybe ><<>>

yep its comming

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnOHZt87mcM&feature=PlayList&p=AAC7B49D8654E07C&playnext=1&index=16

AFTER the MEGA 24" Paddle Tail Storm BLIZZARD of '09:

yep. Acording to the ol Nebe-o-meter... the storm has formed in New Zealand.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=had0mHHtxVY&feature=related

I'd trust Rav's indian friend before the weatherman. :hihi:

A 100 inchs of snow sounds like alot, but not uncommon around the Great Lakes. One year in the late 90's Pulaski had 96 inches dropped in a 24 hour period which broke a record somewhere in Colorado back in 1939. Watertown is infamous for their big storms due to lake effect.

The difference is they are always prepared up there.

yep. Acording to the ol Nebe-o-meter... the storm has formed in New Zealand.


I dunno Dave....that nebe-0-meter is a very powerful
Tool... and right On up there with native American
Wisdom... concerning this event. :rotflmao:

The Weather Channel isn't calling it yet as of the early AM -

But they are saying now that's it's tracking further east than they thought - which means snow.

Looks like they're gonna have to dig a bit to get a look at the groundhog...:hihi:

NWS is sayin its going east of us with little snow

I want to go check out that New Zealand action that looks awesome

which means snow.

Looks like they're gonna have to dig a bit to get a look at the groundhog...:hihi:

:smokin: ayep.... spoken like a Man from Maine

http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/Phil-1.png

I just went on Ebay and ordered a Holstein Cow. The milk ain't free so I figured with the "Big Storm" and all! Heck, it can mow my lawn if this turns out to be a poor prognostication!:tooth:

LMAO. you are a one funny bastard.

:1poke: So Bigfish what time we headed to the ditch Tuesday. I have some ice fishing traps ready!!!!

RIJimmy............I'm coming to your house and I'll bring 2 more bottles of JB !!! :cheers2:

this should be good! i hope we get snow :D

it will affect the whole eastern coast
from New Orleans to Nova Scotia


You might want to advise that knowledgeable, confidential source that New Orleans isn't on the east coast ;)

yep its comming

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnOHZt87mcM&feature=PlayList&p=AAC7B49D8654E07C&playnext=1&index=16

I think I've watched this video about 45 times already :blush:

-spence

She would be great on WLNE.

weather chick i've ever seen

Finally! A place to talk about the Blizzard of 78!
52" of snow in downtown Providence. Stuck there from the Monday morning of the storm until Thursday morning.
Marriott Hotel. Food ran out on Monday night. Had one blueberry pancake on Tuesday, after taking some supplies of a trailer truck. On Thursday, we walked to Attleboro on the Rte 95 on divider in platform shoes (it was the seventies after all...). We fell down a lot...
Got back to CT on Sunday. The car we drove in was found in April and impounded. It was stuck in a pile of snow at a gas station on a corner - we had to abandon it (fiat spyder convertible...). Our boss had to drive through Massachusetts to get us back to CT. Ok... done.
Thanks for listening.

From Accuweather.. one of the few with the cajones to post long range predictions...

Wife has surgery in hartford tuesday, not a good travel for there.

NWS is saying models have the storm tracking east of the CWA and we would only have a light covering in front and perhaps a wrap around comma after, this looks like the comma could be pretty cold, 1" or less of moisture 10-15 X factor for snow.


Weatherunderground is dead on it too.

he old stalled cold frontal boundary provides a ribbon of strengthening baroclincy allowing for the surface low to intensify as it reaches our latitude. Intense deformation band of snow in the cold conveyor flow develops on the backside of the low on Tuesday and Tuesday night bringing significant amounts of snow across the Northeast within 100-150 miles of the coast down to the northern Mid-Atlantic and extending north into much of New England. As the mid-level low pressure features aloft approaches the coast secondary development occurs later Tuesday night as the primary shears out keeping snow over the region until Wednesday morning. This solution has the potential to drop a foot or more of snow across a wide region of the Northeast. QPF’s range from three-quarters of an inch to an inch and a half in both the NAM/GFS. This snow would also be rather fluffy as cold air gradually incorporates itself into the circulation of the storm system from the north. Snow ratios should range from 12-16:1 or higher near the end of the storm as max omega intersects a moist snow growth region in the deformation axis. The SREF plumes also have decent support for this scenario as the SREF mean precip over the Northeast ranges from a half inch to an inch in the above mentioned areas with many plume diagrams showing an inch or more of QPF.


So not a lot of moisture - QPF but a lot of snow - 12-16:1

The National Weather Service admits they don't have a clue about the storm at this point. Sorry about the caps, that's how they post these discussions:

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

THE MODELS CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE AND FLIP FLOP ON A POTENTIAL STORM
SYSTEM FOR SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND. THEY ARE HAVING A TOUGH TIME
FIGURING OUT HOW MUCH TROUGH AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR WITH NORTHERN
STREAM ENERGY. THEY ALSO ARE NOT SURE ON WHICH PIECE OF ENERGY THEY
WANT TO CAPTURE AND HOW CLOSE TO THE COAST THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK.

THERE IS NO POINT IN GOING INTO SPECIFIC DETAILS OF EACH
MODEL...SINCE MOST HAVE NOT SHOWN MUCH CONSISTENCY AND HAVE BEEN
VERY UNSTABLE FROM RUN TO RUN. THE ONLY THING WE CAN SAY IS THAT
SINCE THE MODELS GOT AWAY FROM THE INLAND BOMB SCENARIO...THE ECMWF
HAS BEEN THE MOST CONSISTENT AND STABLE WITH A LESS AMPLIFIED
SOLUTION AND A FURTHER EAST TRACK. THE ECMWF HAS BEEN FAR SUPERIOR
IN MOST OF THESE SITUATIONS THE LAST FEW YEARS...SO UNTIL WE SEE IT
GO FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM WE WILL KEEP THE FORECAST ON THE MORE
CONSERVATIVE SIDE. HOWEVER...THE 00Z ECMWF MODEL DID TREND A BIT
FURTHER WEST FROM ITS LAST FEW RUNS...SO THIS WILL HAVE TO BE
CLOSELY WATCHED.

ALL IN ALL...THE AMERICAN MODELS AND THEIR ENSEMBLES ARE CLOSER TO
THE COAST/STRONGER AND HAVE A MUCH BIGGER IMPACT THAN THE INTERNATIONAL
MODELS. LIKE WE SAID BEFORE...WE WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE ECMWF
SOLUTION BASED ON ITS TRACK RECORD...BUT ALSO WILL TAKE INTO ACCOUNT
SOME OF THE AMERICAN MODELS INTO OUR FORECAST. REGARDLESS...ALL THE
MODELS DO HAVE A CLASSIC INVERTED TROUGH SETUP...SO WE FEEL THAT WE
WILL GET AT LEAST SOME SNOW PULLED BACK INTO THE REGION.
THEREFORE...RIGHT NOW WE FEEL THE BEST FORECAST IS FOR A LIGHT TO
MODERATE SNOWFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION SOMETIME LATE MONDAY
NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY. THIS IS NOT SET IN STONE THOUGH AND
SINCE THE MODELS HAVE BEEN SO UNSTABLE THE LAST FEW DAYS...WE DO NOT
WANT TO RULE ANYTHING OUT. THIS INCLUDES THE MORE INTENSE AMERICAN
MODEL SOLUTIONS WHICH WOULD BRING A SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO MUCH OF
THE REGION.

ONE OF THE INTERESTING THINGS ABOUT THIS FORECAST IS THE AMERICAN
MODELS ARE CLUSTERED ON ONE SIDE WITH THE INTERNATIONAL MODELS ON
THE OPPOSITE SIDE. THE AMERICAN MODELS HAVE BETTER RESOLUTION...BUT
THAT DOES NOT MEAN THEY ARE CORRECT. WE WILL JUST HAVE TO WAIT AND
SEE HOW THINGS PAN OUT AND HOPE THEY COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT OVER
THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RIGHT NOW WE WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE ECMWF...BUT
KEEP ALL OPTIONS OPEN.

WILL RUN WITH CHANCE POPS MONDAY NIGHT...AND LIKELY POPS TUESDAY
AND TUESDAY NIGHT. WILL PROBABLY HOLD ONTO SOME CHANCE POPS ON
WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH UPPER LEVEL TROUGH STILL TO OUR WEST. IF THE
MODELS COME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT...LATER SHIFTS WILL WANT TO
UPGRADE TO CATEGORICAL POPS. EVEN THOUGH WE THINK WE WILL AT LEAST
GET SOME PRECIPITATION...THE MODELS ARE ALSO STRUGGLING WITH TIMING
SO WILL KEEP THINGS IN THE LIKELY RANGE.

AS FOR PRECIPITATION TYPE...THINK IT WILL BE MAINLY SNOW OVER MOST
OF THE REGION. HOWEVER...SOUTHEAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR THERE WILL
LIKELY BE SOME BOUNDARY LAYER ISSUES AT TIMES RESULTING IN SOME
LIQUID PRECIPITATION. IF THE DEEPER FURTHER WEST SOLUTIONS
VERIFY...BOUNDARY LAYER ISSUES COULD PUSH EVEN FURTHER NORTHWEST.
THIS FURTHER COMPLICATES AN ALREADY EXTREMELY CHALLENGING FORECAST!

REGARDLESS OF WHAT HAPPENS SOME VERY COLD AIR WILL LIKELY MOVE INTO
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE DEPARTING STORM SYSTEM.
DEPENDING ON JUST HOW INTENSE THE STORM BECOMES WILL DETERMINE JUST
HOW COLD IT GETS...BUT TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE SIGNIFICANTLY
BELOW NORMAL.

Here's the weatherman's dilemma
No consensus in the models across the board -
US (GFS/NAM) shows the Mega-Storm
European (UKMET) shows it going way east
Canadian models(GGEM, ECMWF) are in the middle

This winter the GFS has been pretty accurate, but with the variance, even in models from run to run has almost everyone just shrugging

In the middle of the very snowy American models and the out-to-sea UKMET lies the Canadian GGEM and the ECMWF. These models have trended west over their last couple of runs but not as extreme as the GFS/NAM or SREF’s. They take low pressure about 100-150 miles further offshore than the American models with some light to moderate QPF, generally under a half inch, in the deformation banding on the backside of the storm. This would still give areas within 50-75 miles of the coast a 2-6” snowfall, roughly a half to a third of the output of the GFS/NAM.

I think I've watched this video about 45 times already :blush:

-spence

Me too, I don't think she know anything about meteorolgy.

We need a nipplemeter here.

Me too, I don't think she know anything about meteorolgy.

We need a nipplemeter here.

I was hoping she would drop the clicker... :topic:

"Here's the weatherman's dilemma
No consensus in the models across the board -
US (GFS/NAM) shows the Mega-Storm
European (UKMET) shows it going way east
Canadian models(GGEM, ECMWF) are in the middle"

And either way we'll be pissed at them... tough gig!

I think I've watched this video about 45 times already :blush:

-spence


I watched it 4 times before I even realized she wasn't speaking English.

I was hoping she would drop the clicker... :topic:

"Here's the weatherman's dilemma
No consensus in the models across the board -
US (GFS/NAM) shows the Mega-Storm
European (UKMET) shows it going way east
Canadian models(GGEM, ECMWF) are in the middle"

Only a pink panty wearing Liberal would consider an European or Canadian weather projection ahead of an American one.

I'm betting on the red blooded mega-storm, and I'll be using my Union made shovel to clean it up.

-spence

don't know their picks for the stupid bowl yet. Maybe they would do better with that.

ECMWF has been more accurate in these types of scenarios this year

what? no mega storm...?
,,,,,,,,, http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/sign-GUYS/3d-smiley.png,,,,,,

MAybe maybe not

yep its comming

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nnOHZt87mcM&feature=PlayList&p=AAC7B49D8654E07C&playnext=1&index=16

I don't know - there's just something provocative about the way she gestures toward the map...:humpty:

May the Cap could provide us with a permanent link in the Weather area...:uhuh:

She's even hotter than Dylan Dryer...now all Channel 10 has is that fat broad on in the AM...:mad:

Ya know, life is too short to have to watch ugly women on TV that early in the morning...just sours my outlook on the rest of the day..:hs:

Oh yeah, the Mega-Storm...

Sounds like a winter Nor'Easter to me...

Hey, Rav - what's your Native American friend calling for?...:huh:

They'd make her change into a pantsuit here. No way they'd let her on the US airwaves

WTF!!??!!?:wall::smash:The wife is supposed to be flying out of logan, tuesday at 530pm!!:ss::wall::wall::wall:

WTF!!??!!?:wall::smash:The wife is supposed to be flying out of logan, tuesday at 530pm!!:ss::wall::wall::wall:

I'd be watching the flights closely then. Even if it's not a huge storm, Logan will be a mess at that time.

-spence

I'd be watching the flights closely then. Even if it's not a huge storm, Logan will be a mess at that time.

-spence

I know :(:wall::wall::wall:

Stop-N-Shop is completly out of bread,milk & batteries Now WTF am I gonna do:huh:

Hannaford's

I got the white eggs though.

Just loaded the bread machine for dinner too.

:laughs:

he delivered the wood was all....
http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/nethl.png

I don't know - there's just something provocative about the way she gestures toward the map...:humpty:

May the Cap could provide us with a permanent link in the Weather area...:uhuh:
Lemme see...

She's even hotter than Dylan Dryer...now all Channel 10 has is that fat broad on in the AM...:mad:
Anyone watching when Dylan Dreyer said she loves COX on air?

Lemme see...

Anyone watching when Dylan Dreyer said she loves COX on air?

No, missed it....maybe somebody can find it on youtube...:laughs:

I think she's actually on a Boston station now - if that really was her, it looks like Boston's been a little rough on her...:hs:

No, missed it....maybe somebody can find it on youtube...:laughs:

I think she's actually on a Boston station now - if that really was her, it looks like Boston's been a little rough on her...:hs:

I tried to find it couldn't :hihi:

S-B Weather Chick: http://www.striped-bass.com/striper-fishing/index.php/s-b-weather/striped-bass-com-weather-chick

Yeh, not too original :lm:

More:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-CHKTcd8XuA

Nicely done, Cap - :hee:

You've made a dirty old man very happy...:)

So does the S-B weatherchick actually have a name...:huh:

Or do we just refer to her as Maria Baggadonuts, S-B WeatherWoman...:laughs:

Nicely done, Cap - :hee:

You've made a dirty old man very happy...:)

:tooth:

So does the S-B weatherchick actually have a name...:huh:

Or do we just refer to her as Maria Baggadonuts, S-B WeatherWoman...:laughs:

"Dropping Tide" currently but I'm open for suggestions... Go to the link again, in addition to "Forecast Spring Summer Weather Patterns", she has added "Forecast Spring Summer Striped Bass Migratory Patterns - Clear as day to me....

And for Year of the Young Indices:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yKnOTNMrA3k

We'll have to keep updating. Looks very good John

In a serious note, if we do get a lot of snow, a fair number of towns and school systems will be screwed.

This past little storm, Mansfield almost had to call a delay the following day because the school's snow budget is completely dry. They plowed the day before, but didn't drop a grain of sand because there's no budget for it. My roommate is a teacher at the High School and was talking to the Principal. If we get much more snow this season, they have no idea where the money is going to come from to remove it.

This is happening after they just had a budget meeting that resulted in a deficit equal to 80 teacher's jobs.

Back home in Iowa they stopped plowing roads because they don't have the budget, and they're in pretty good fiscal condition.

The stopped salting simply because they ran out!

-spence

[quote=JohnnyD;660734]In a serious note, if we do get a lot of snow, a fair number of towns and school systems will be screwed.

This past little storm, Mansfield almost had to call a delay the following day because the school's snow budget is completely dry.

/quote]
I thought it was the town that had the snow removal budget.
My son goes to St. Mary's here in Mansfield, bus was 20 min late on Wednesday, but I don't think they sanded Wednesday except for main roads.

We's gonna get some more Tuesday, long term weather over the next few weeks is very conducive to additional storms.

From Accuweather.. one of the few with the cajones to post long range predictions...

They're punting now too.
"One wild card that the atmosphere could still play is this: a lack of moisture. Some potential exists that the needed moisture would veer away to the east leaving the region with a relatively minor storm. This factor will be among several that AccuWeather.com will continue to follow keenly."

Now this is after Spence called her

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aFWy0yXIJ8k

I think she's selling air conditioners

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=47JG_4o0cpM

down graded to flurries :hidin:

It's okay Raven We'll give you a pass on this one. If it wasn't for you urgent warning, many of us would never have had the pleasure of Gabriela's weather forecasts. :laugha:

what's the best storm bottle...? :huh::smokin:

AJ at Fox says no dice, but don't quote him. Still a slim possibility of it stalling and dumping.

For Sale 20,000,000 cubits of AYC cheap all you have to do is come and get it bring a crow bar as you will have to dismantle what you want (its a big Ark).:tooth:

The sky is falling.....

31583



Just messing with you, Raven.

The sky is falling.....
Just messing with you, Raven.
http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/3DWavesOpticalIllusion.jpg

I thought it was the town that had the snow removal budget.
My son goes to St. Mary's here in Mansfield, bus was 20 min late on Wednesday, but I don't think they sanded Wednesday except for main roads.

We's gonna get some more Tuesday, long term weather over the next few weeks is very conducive to additional storms.

My understanding from him is that the school has their own snow removal budget for areas on school grounds. This includes the sub-contractors they hire to plow when they need extra help and the sand purchase budget.

One thing I have noticed consistently in the this area (Mansfield/Plainville/Foxboro) is that it seems towns are very rarely dropping sand, and never dropping salt. This goes for the entire winter so far this year.

My understanding from him is that the school has their own snow removal budget for areas on school grounds. This includes the sub-contractors they hire to plow when they need extra help and the sand purchase budget.

One thing I have noticed consistently in the this area (Mansfield/Plainville/Foxboro) is that it seems towns are very rarely dropping sand, and never dropping salt. This goes for the entire winter so far this year.

I understand now JohnnyD. St Mary's has an inner courtyard play area, but rarely lets the kids out there now that there is snow in it.
The gym floor needs to get resurfaced every year after being abused by schools shoes.

The DPW sandpile is down by the animal shelter off of Fruit street.
I was doing my normal Sunday morning volunteering at the shelter and saw numerous private citizens pulling up to the now dwindling sand pile for their own sand fix.

There is absolutely no salt in down unless it is at the DPW on 106E.

down graded to flurries :hidin:

Rav, it's OK, ya forced me to service my generator
which i haven't run in 4 years. :)

Started on first pull, freakin Honda's are soooo dependable. :hihi:

R>>>>>>>>>>
............................120 replies on your wacko /super secret prediction // your one F $%^&*() up M/F @#$%^&*()_ glad there arn,t more that thing like you & better yet / it scares me to believe some poor sould actually listen to you ;;;;:smash::fury::wall:

I'm moving to New Zeland!

R>>>>>>>>>>
............................120 replies on your wacko /super secret prediction // your one F $%^&*() up M/F @#$%^&*()_ glad there arn,t more that thing like you & better yet / it scares me to believe some poor sould actually listen to you ;;;;:smash::fury::wall:

:laughs:

http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/3DWavesOpticalIllusion.jpg

me likey :smokin:

R>>>>>>>>>>
............................120 replies on your wacko /super secret prediction // your one F $%^&*() up M/F @#$%^&*()_ glad there arn,t more that thing like you & better yet / it scares me to believe some poor sould actually listen to you ;;;;:smash::fury::wall:

:rotflmao: :rotfl: :rotflmao:

it's Coming ...it's gonna follow you around Clammer...

the MEGA Storm knows your name.....
and where to find you.:jester:
http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/Clam.png

it's Coming ...it's gonna follow you around Clammer...

the MEGA Storm knows your name.....
and where to find you.:jester:
http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/Clam.png

...:rotflmao:

RRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRR

I,m going to take my chances & I,m going fishing shortly >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> do I have enough time ????

I was already aware that it was a good harvest this fall //but you gotta /take a brake .. :lama:

this should be good! i hope we get snow :D

I hope Dad hands you a shovel..:)

5-10 in Mansfield!! It's comin!!!!!

I hope Dad hands you a shovel..:)

steves a wimp, he could never lift a shovel with snow on it... he has to use a F450 and plow :jump:

5-10 in Mansfield!! It's comin!!!!!


OF a ................BLIZZARD :rolleyes:

It's snowing since 1030 It needs to stop now. Haven't seen a plow yet, need to get my driveway cleared.
I could just use my leaf blower it's that fluffy

Striperman, I was actually in Mansfield at 11:30 this morning - stopped at Beans with Mrs Crafty on the way back from Boston -

Got out before it got really snotty - just made it back home in time....:hs:

Wife had a procedure at UCONN this am, left Mansfield at 0330 returned just as it was getting SNOTTY at 1130.

Going out now to blow the stuff around

If you ever plan to come into Mansfield on the weekend let me know in advance maybe we could link up.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Al2xOOTMmLo



SCHVOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO


one of the true comedic GENIUSES of ALL time!!!

an impeccable sense of timing,
his characters were genuine and unique,
and he owned the airwaves during his reign.

i truly miss his very special "sense" of humor.
the mold was definitely broken after he left it.

he still makes me LAFFF OUTTT LOUD!!!
:rotflmao: :rotflmao: :rotflmao: :rotflmao: :rotflmao:

supposedly it

aint gonna quit til the wee hours

looks like a 5 am shovel out :conf:

:point:DRAT

total white out conditions here in south county. I just pulled a frozen woman out of a drift. cars are abandoned all down 138. MEGA STORM is right!!!

I'm done used the leaf blower to get most of it out of the driveway

No plows yet I think it was under the minimum to plow here.

4" is the min?

raven.. next time, dont squeeze the shamen... :hihi:

From the weather channel

The next big weather maker will be a winter storm, forecast to develop Sunday night over the Northern Gulf, and track northeast, impacting the Eastern States Monday into Tuesday.

This has the potential to be a strong winter storm, impacting areas from the Gulf Coast, through the New England States. However, the exact track and intensity still remain very uncertain.

For now, the general thinking is that heavy snow and wind could impact parts of the Interior Northeast, Upper Ohio Valley, eastern Tennessee Valley and southern Appalachians.



Wind, rain, and possible flooding could impact eastern areas of the New England States, including the bigger cities.

Rain will initially impact the Southeastern States, but also has the potential to end as snow and wind as the storm moves northeast.


Dude :kewl:

God bless the Mrs - she was out bright and early this AM -

I'm gonna go look at one of those snowblowers out at Lowes for her - she should be done with my car in an hour or so...:rotflmao:

:hidin:

(Hey, for the love of God - don't tell my bride I posted this dummy shot - my cookie jar is already low enough now as it is)

I'll get him http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/sign-GUYS/smilee2.png

did the lower cape get much?

meybe 4 tops

:devil2:
http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/Four_Tops_.jpg

I thought this thread was about a MEGA STORM??!!!??? :smash:

It was really about Raven creating a media frenzy about old Indian weather forecasting
And then Clammer exploded

:rotflmao:

to the Ravenator,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

for making me laugh me arse off,
get creative, and enjoy his and everyone else's
CREATIVENESS :bl: :bl: excellent "test pattern",
but the best part of ALL was reading the

CLAMMER explosions,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

good stuff, m'man!
:rotflmao: :rotflmao: :rotflmao:

Follow the http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/yellow.png plug road:

http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/path22.png

Sorry guys and girls but I had to do this, RUMORS next Wed. into Thur it might be coming again?

Because i Never said exactly when.....

i only said ........

it's coming..... :lama:

GOOD GAWWWWD, Man!!

have YOU know shame??
:tooth: :tooth: :tooth:

i said that accurately

The NWS is predicting LARGE for next Weekend

E MID WEEK...AT LEAST FOR NOW. IF THIS
DOES TURN OUT TO BE THE CASE...SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND WOULD BE LOOKING
AT MORE LARGE SNOW AMOUNTS LATER THIS WEEKEND. THIS WILL NEED TO BE MONITORED
THROUGH THIS WEEK.

What's the Raven outlook on this one?

Uh oh....looks like the Indian has gotten to Bill now, too - :hihi:

Maybe just to be safe I ought to go see what the old Portagee fella's calling for - :walk:

he was supposed to come today
but instead he went ice sailing/boating

i'll ask him to ask his source

but for now.................................
http://i25.photobucket.com/albums/c66/ravenob1/shultz.png

he was supposed to come today
but instead he went ice sailing/boating

i'll ask him to ask his source

but for now.................................


Tell him to put down the peace pipe.

Uh oh....looks like the Indian has gotten to Bill now, too - :hihi:

Maybe just to be safe I ought to go see what the old Portagee fella's calling for - :walk:

I just wanna have my sweet bread stash intact.

Maybe we should cancel Plugfest!!

12+ tomorrow night

Wet nasty stuff

Get your eggs now!!

You Northerners are lucky. At least you know what your getting. Down here on the Island they say rain, then snow, then sleet, then rain ... and when we wake up and look out the window... WTF!
:wall:

Yup, it ain't over til it's over - :doh:

And it looks like it ain't over yet - but we're getting closer every day anyway...

Yup,
April 5th is the absolute last possbile snow day.
Sox home opener is the 6th

it's coming :cens:

MID LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS (http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=FRONTOGENESIS) AND LOW
TRACK. HAVE CURRENTLY PAINTED THE MAX SNOW AXIS ALONG A LINE FROM
ROUGHLY KIJD- KORH-KLWM. HAVE CAPPED SNOW AMOUNTS IN THIS AXIS TO
ABOUT A 2 FEET...

THE 03Z SREFS BRING A STRONGEST SIGNAL OF 8 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW
ALONG AND WEST OF THE INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION THIS
GENERALLY COINCIDES WITH THE MEAN (http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=MEAN) 850MB LOW TRACK. GIVEN FAIRLY HIGH
CONFIDENCE IN REACHING 24 INCH OR HIGHER SNOW AMOUNTS ACROSS THESE
AREAS...HAVE DECIDED TO ISSUE A WINTER STORM WARNING (http://forecast.weather.gov/glossary.php?word=WARNING) FROM ALONG THE
INTERSTATE 95 CORRIDOR AND POINTS WEST.

MEGA STORM:bshake::bshake:

Rav, a day late and a dollar short, but "the indian" may have called it for tonite. :D

Heavy snow for the next 24 hrs, not a 100'' but maybe 12. :hihi:

12-24" of wet stuff

BRING IT ON !
:jump:

bummer. just went to the wood pile and brought up some stock to the house. Man I hate winter.

snow is light and fluffy like goose down...

Aw hell, it is snow! Now my wife will be tomorrow. :whackin:

Another snow day stuck in the house with the whole famdamily. Wife and I both teach.

There goes my mid-late June striper assault. We'll be in school until July at this rate. :crying:

W

and the snow plow hasn't even been by yet?

did the drive way -- will be driving in Miss Daisy LOL

it's definitely an OATMEAL morning - that's fer sure

Woody,
i'd drive to each house before --->giving up
but thats just me...

12'' so far here in ct,plows have'nt even thought of going by.had to shovel a place so dog could pee,winter sucks in march.

I better get out and buy my bread and milk.

went out to get groceries
very few adventurers out there...
even the post office was closed :huh:

what happened to thru snow. sleet, ice and rain :eek:

12" so far on LI. Winter Sucks!:wall:

495 was bare in the high speed lane.
Once I got out of the 'hood it was clear all the way.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Al2xOOTMmLo



SCHVOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO


Karl ya sell that stuff in your store??? My SS check is in !!!!:(