With the potential of a Category 2 storm hitting us late weekend - what steps are needed?

Do we board up windows for example?

I'll pull the boat and secure it to the trailer on dry land.... fuel up and test start the generator and chainsaw.. I've got gas for the grill, a freezer full of fish and meat and plenty of booze.. after that.. it's out of my hands... all the boards in the world wouldn't stop the 30'+ pine trees in the front yard...I'll spend my vacation next week doing what ever it takes to get back to normal.

Pray it is goes East or west even just 50 miles.
If it does come up the bay John , get the wife and kid out of your house. If it hits the bay at high tide, you will get flooded.

i'll be out of town and wont be able to pull the boat from the slip - any suggestions on what can be done to prepare her? I figured doubling the lines is about it.

Wish my wife and family well wishes as they are on Vacation ocean frt @ the cape :)

As they were for Bob ,,,, :) were as they had to move out of that house last time ..... lol

Make sure you have plenty of aspirin and booze so you can deal with the idiots that will eventually give you a headache!

As for me, I have all the basics covered.
Water, food, light, first aid, fuel, insurance paid, and something to do that DOESN't require a TV or a Computer!

How soon before we see the "traditional" run-out-of-everything news clips from local food store?
Apparently HD has already seen a run on generators, and I'm sure Loews has too!

OH, and how long on Sunday will it take before we see the first moron go for a swim or surf during the storm?

OK, back to work again.......

The stupidest I have seen is people leaning out over the ocean from the cliffs in Newport relying on the heavy wind to keep them from falling off into the grinding waves below.

I'm going Hang Gliding.......WOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

Love the new title Boss man.. made my day...

I guess I'll charge up the portable dvd player and my kid's video games so he has something to do if we lose power. I'll put the pool stuff and patio furniture away and make sure the gutters are clear of debris. Other than that, I have plenty of ice and coolers and enough food and liquor to get through anything mother nature can throw my way.

Sharpening hooks and tying leaders
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Love the new title Boss man.. made my day...

We aim to pleeze :tooth:

I'm going to call Clammer a bit to ask him if he wants help pulling the boat so I can listen to him skip gayly down memory lane about how he doesn't ^*&#$ need to (#&$#$ :devil2::cens: pull the *#&4///.! b-0at .

I guess I'll charge up the portable dvd player and my kid's video games so he has something to do if we lose power. I'll put the pool stuff and patio furniture away and make sure the gutters are clear of debris. Other than that, I have plenty of ice and coolers and enough food and liquor to get through anything mother nature can throw my way.

Yep. I'll be powering down client's servers and unnecessary equipment, powering down most of my mine and run the Innernets off my UPS(s) and laptops on low power settings.

Tie down grills and anything else that you can't move inside, and move everything inside that you can. That's about all you can do. Cat 2 force winds shouldn't break windows, but flying debris can, I guess. I won't bother. I don't know whether the old advice about opening windows a crack to "equalize pressure" is a wives' tale or not. I don't do it.

If you live close enough to the water to even wonder about being washed away, it might be a good idea to make plans to evacuate.

Oh, and stuff in the freezer? Won't do much good if your power is out more than a coupla days. Dry good, canned goods, that's what's good to have on hand. Stuff you can eat cold if you have an electric range, and no gas or charcoal grill.

What...:huh:....Nobody running out to get Bread, Milk, Batteries, and Bottled Water.

The Weather Channel is being their alarmist selves again. Just heard them say this could be the worst storm the Boston area has ever seen in some people's lifetimes.

What...:huh:....Nobody running out to get Bread, Milk, Batteries, and Bottled Water.

I have plenty of batteries, we can bake our own bread as the thing is approaching, and milk would spoil anyway if the power's out. My water comes from ground water wells. What I probably need more than anything else is gas for the chainsaw. :rotf2:

And don't forget to top off your car's 3/4 full gas tank, so it can sit in the yard all week underneath a downed tree.

Oh...and Spam...gotta stock up on Spam

Fill the fridge and freezer w/ frozen bottles of water, use a cooler for drinks so you are not opening and closing the fridge! I go the old fashion way for lights, hurricane lamps. Gotta get a gallon or so of lamp oil. Gas grill or camping stove is a good idea if you have electric range. I'll load the iPad,iPod,iPhone (recharge w/ car charger) up w/ movies and pull out some books. Don't forget markers and crayons for da kids!!

Well its official now- Jim Cantore of the Weather Channel is coming to report from somewhere on the Cape.

So maybe one of us should stand next to him casting a bottle plug into the Maelstrom. That would be a good video.

I think Jim Cantore is a robot. He must never sleep.

my checklist consists of:
1 store anything that can fly.
2 clean the coolers for the champagne.
3 stock up on junk food.
4 order a 6 pk. of viagra.
that should do it.

Well I might not be the sharpest pencil in the box but the boat is pulled and i have taters,salt pork and hogs so we should be in good shape. I hope.
O ya we have company coming Sunday for a couple of days. Should be fun.

I have a 3 day trip planned to Truro starting Friday with the camper, I guess I should cancel it and try to get my money back

By tomorrow the trailer wil have two new leaf springs, four new hubs, new hitch, new jack, new safety chain, and new cable on winch... Big heavy pile of old junk next to it right now. All four brakes were gone. Not putting any back on it. Undecided as to whether I will haul or not. If I do, it will be Saturday night...in the dark, when the morons have left the ramp.

As for the house, I already lost the big trees last weekend, but still have a box elder that I would like down. Better half gets back tonight, so she can handle the provisioning. I am already fielding calls from clients wanting help or work ahead of the storm.... Two calls to haul their boats out for them in the past half hour.

I'm going Hang Gliding.......WOOOOHOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

We think alike i plan on going skishing.:buds:

New England PHRF Sailing Championship is scheduled to be held here in Marblehead this weekend.... Organizers to make a decision tomorrow by 10 AM. Can't see them wanting another 70 racing boats in the harbor....

If cantore's coming...were all set...things tend to miss him. Although, living in east Falmouth, I gotta bad feeling, I hope it's only gas though. I'm a little nervous.
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Living far from the coast i am doing nothing to prepare. Going to load up the plug bag and head to the water. Well the only thing i will do is top off the chainsaw with gas and oil. Blade is already sharp from the tornado.

just got all 12 chains ready to drop off for sharpening, filled the 3 5 gallon tanks and a gallon of bar oil all set

...just made sure my backup generator works...

The weather channel is really amping this up. Man they are using a lot of adjectives.

So, I am not going to be doing much, just make sure I have water and batteries ...

... although doc ... you may find me at your doorstep if the power goes out ... :biglaugh:

But I went outside to purview the back yard ... my land lady has it filled with crip crap stuff ... glass top tables, glass candle things, tiki torches, shallow metal pans used to burn wood ... kayaks laying on the driveway ... and more ...

... I asked her what she was planning on doing in respect to the storm, she essentially said she was going to bring her cushions in so they don't get rained on ... i told her that that backyard was a veritable death trap in 100 mile per hour winds ... and she said she'd ask her friend to look at it ... as she is heading to California on Saturday out of Logan ... seriously, please ...

Preparing the basement for flooding, shop vac with pump on standby. I rather be on the east side of Irene with the wind then the west with the rain.
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food, water, tp. fire up generator. gas for everything. 12v to 100 inverter and charge batteries. secure all potential flying debris.

So, I am not going to be doing much, just make sure I have water and batteries ...

... although doc ... you may find me at your doorstep if the power goes out ... :biglaugh:

But I went outside to purview the back yard ... my land lady has it filled with crip crap stuff ... glass top tables, glass candle things, tiki torches, shallow metal pans used to burn wood ... kayaks laying on the driveway ... and more ...

... I asked her what she was planning on doing in respect to the storm, she essentially said she was going to bring her cushions in so they don't get rained on ... i told her that that backyard was a veritable death trap in 100 mile per hour winds ... and she said she'd ask her friend to look at it ... as she is heading to California on Saturday out of Logan ... seriously, please ...

Andy, you should go stay with family or friends for the storm, and then MOVE.......

Cancel my fb account. Even if we get only 20 mph winds some people will find it necessary to post about it non stop and add useless camera phone videos and pictures. :rotf2:
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Sharpening hooks and tying leaders
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I like your thinking...
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Sharpening my leaders and tying my hooks.

For you small business owners and personal computer users - makes sure you have data backups going.

If you use online backup verify that your backups are complete.

If you use tape/other media make sure you have copies of your backup information in multiple locations.

I sent this info out to some of my clients yesterday and this morning.

Our clients under contract will automatically have the following completed as part of our services but I want to extend these recommendations to you as well. If you have any questions or wish **** to perform this work, please contact me today via phone or email.

With the likelihood increasing of a Category 1 or 2 hurricane Irene reaching our shores sometime late Sunday or early Monday morning, **** is getting in touch with you now in order to provide steps and recommendations for preparing your technical infrastructure. These plans may not need to be implemented if the storm moves far enough east of current computer models. Operations in the northeast quadrant of the storm, especially if the storm tracks west, may expect even harsher conditions (as of 8am Thursday, storm track is more west).

Recommendations:

Backups:
We want to confirm quality backup and offsite retention of data. **** will inspect backup jobs but in some cases (tape backup systems) clients will be responsible for taking adequate tape backup offsite. Most on-premise safes are not sufficient to protect data in these conditions.

Tape clients:
* **** will confirm proper backups.
* Client to confirm that copies of latest Thursday (tomorrow night’s backup) recent full backup is taken offsite by primary onsite liaison (or designate).
* Client to confirm that copies of latest Wednesday (tonight’s backup) recent full backup is taken offsite by secondary onsite liaison (or designate). This is to provide redundancy in offsite backup. Friday backup will remain local to facility.

DATTO / Internet based backup:
* **** will double-check proper backup completions and offsite replication. We know these are operating correctly for our monitored systems but one can never check too often.

Computer Equipment:

Servers:
* Should the storm track maintains present course, **** will remotely bring down servers on early Sunday morning / afternoon by remotely powering the servers OFF.
* Please work with your **** account technician to discuss a primary and alternate employee to restart servers on Monday morning. We may be reacting to damage with other clients or our own properties and may not be available to simply turn equipment on.

Desktops:

* Please have all desktops and monitors powered OFF by end of business Friday (or Saturday for those operations open) other than crucial desktops needed for a specific function.
* Any crucial desktops should have an arrangement made with your **** account technician to complete a manual shutdown.

Network:
* Please leave all network equipment on as access to the network will be necessary from **** remote access.

Network Storage Devices:
* For clients with Network Storage devices such as DATTO and NAS network drives, please ensure these devices remain operating.

Facilities:

Facility:
* If you have concerns on the locations of your servers / critical equipment being susceptible to storm damage, please contact us as soon as possible.


Any special concerns or questions should be brought up with **** staff on Thursday or Friday morning if at all possible.

Thank you,

John Redmond

No problemo
So, I am not going to be doing much, just make sure I have water and batteries ...

... although doc ... you may find me at your doorstep if the power goes out ... :biglaugh:

But I went outside to purview the back yard ... my land lady has it
filled with crip crap stuff ... glass
top tables, glass candle things, tiki torches, shallow metal pans used
to burn wood ... kayaks laying on
the driveway ... and more ...

No problem

... I asked her what she was planning on doing in respect to the storm, she essentially said she was going to bring her cushions in so they don't get rained on ... i told her that that backyard was a veritable death trap in 100 mile per hour winds ... and she said she'd ask her friend to look at it ... as she is heading to California on Saturday out of Logan ... seriously, please ...
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Two hydraulic trailers at the ramp at 0730... no problem


Eighteen trailers there at 0830, two boats within sight, one driver who could back a trailer, empty one at that! This is gonna be fun.....:wall:

Two hydraulic trailers at the ramp at 0730... no problem


Eighteen trailers there at 0830, two boats within sight, one driver who could back a trailer, empty one at that! This is gonna be fun.....:wall:


YOOOOTUBE VIDEOS please :tooth:

We aim to pleeze :tooth:

I'm going to call Clammer a bit to ask him if he wants help pulling the boat so I can listen to him skip gayly down memory lane about how he doesn't ^*&#$ need to (#&$#$ :devil2::cens: pull the *#&4///.! b-0at .



Yep. I'll be powering down client's servers and unnecessary equipment, powering down most of my mine and run the Innernets off my UPS(s) and laptops on low power settings.


On a plane at 35,000 feet using GoGo. Booking back from the West Coast. I'm gonna pull the boat tomorrow.

On a plane at 35,000 feet using GoGo. Booking back from the West Coast. I'm gonna pull the boat tomorrow.

Shout if you need a hand at the ramp. I may be available but I do have the tree cutters here tomorrow.

On a plane at 35,000 feet using GoGo. Booking back from the West Coast. I'm gonna pull the boat tomorrow.

I pulled last night at about 9pm, dont want to risk it since Im out of town.

Two hydraulic trailers at the ramp at 0730... no problem


Eighteen trailers there at 0830, two boats within sight, one driver who could back a trailer, empty one at that! This is gonna be fun.....:wall:

I'll be pulling mine @ mid night AFTER I'm done fishing.... no one will be around then...

I pulled last night at about 9pm, dont want to risk it since Im out of town.

Prudent.
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Just emailed my nephew and fishing partner. We will be at the ramp in my marina by 6:00 AM tomorrow.

John, thanks for the offer

50/50 on if Im pulling ;;

gonna wait til the last minute / I think I may have a better chance of damage in my yard .........
trees, flying birdhouses . flying feeders , horny old woman w/ sagging **** , etc .:devil2:

JR If I was you / I,d put your boat in :soon::smash:

Prudent.
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I didnt say "what" I pulled last night.......:rotf2:

Sharpening hooks, tying some bucktails, pouring some jig heads, and losing a lot of sleep between friday night and sunday night.

Love the new title Boss man.. made my day...

i agree JOE ....he nailed it :rotf2:

I will not be doing anything at all to prepare

What...:huh:....Nobody running out to get Bread, Milk, Batteries, and Bottled Water.

None of that is of any use when you're sober...

Clammer don't forget to change your sheets

THE WORLD IS GOING TO END !

CHECK ;:wid:

I just made sure with my wife who pays the bills in my house, all insurances are paid up on time.
I'm prepared :uhuh:

I'm going fishing

:D



CHECK ;:wid:

What's your guys opinions down in gansett? Board up the south and east facing large picture windows ? Or no need ya think? If there is even plywood left? Just doubled my money on an extra portable generator I grabbed!

What's your guys opinions down in gansett? Board up the south and east facing large picture windows ? Or no need ya think? If there is even plywood left? Just doubled my money on an extra portable generator I grabbed!

I've never had winds break a window. I guess my answer depends on how securely your neighbors store stuff like lawn furniture and garbage cans. It's not like we're going to get 140 mph winds.

I've never had winds break a window. I guess my answer depends on how securely your neighbors store stuff like lawn furniture and garbage cans. It's not like we're going to get 140 mph winds.

Good enough for my lazy ass! I rent anyway ! Maybe I can rid of these #^&#^&#^&#^&ty old windows!

...

Just doubled my money on an extra portable generator I grabbed!

I'm not the morality police.... but... this is just another example of why society sucks...

I'm not the morality police.... but... this is just another example of why society sucks...



What? Society sucks cause ppl got toss in their unneeded 2 cents....


Thanks ! I bought it before I found another larger one . I COULDNT RETURN IT TO THE STORE .

You dont make a profit off of people in anyway ? Why dont you work for free and give all your possessions away???:jump1:

Maybe if I bought it with the intention of flipping , but not the case . #^&#^&#^&#^& OFF

What? Society sucks cause ppl got toss in unneeded 2 cents....


Thanks ! I bought it before I found another larger one . I COULDNT RETURN IT TO THE STORE .

You dont make a profit off of people in anyway ? Why dont you work for free and give all your possessions away???:jump1:

Maybe if I bought it with the intention of flipping , but not the case . #^&#^&#^&#^& OFF

Fair profit sure... opportunistically doubling my money when something I have is in short supply... no.

I'm no angel, that's for sure... And if you have aproblem with me adding my $0.02??? You're on the internet...

What ever, that's life ! Supply and demand , you dont like it , go to the moon. I didnt create money , or hold a gun to the guys head and make him buy it . If it really bothers ya that much go on CL and spam all the people that bought 5+ generators and flash lights etc for profit .

Your my internet hero today Jfig! ANother example of why people suck!

So do you work for free and give all your possessions away ? Do you go to concerts and bitch that a beer is $12? You know what , no one gives a #^&#^&#^&#^& , that's the way it is ....

walmart and shaws in falmouth, no bottled water.. batteries flying off shelves...

as per my better half. here comes the circus.

i'll be out of town and wont be able to pull the boat from the slip - any suggestions on what can be done to prepare her? I figured doubling the lines is about it.

Yes double the lines. Add a second spring line crossing the first. Make sure all lines wont rub (cover with tape, tubing.. whatever) lower antennae, biminis, and anything loose stow it. Add a fender or two if you need. Make sure the batteris are charged for hte bildge pump.

Got a feeling that tonight, all of the Friday evening traffic jams will be on the Cape side of the bridges, for once. :grins:

The exodus started already---at least 20 vehicles passed me on 25/195 this morning, loaded down to the gills.

considering sunday is going to suck without tv, interweb, power, etc... maybe wire up some plugs that have needed attention for the last 2 years.

I worry and prepare more for the Nor'Easters in the winter than I do for a hurricane. It doesn't phase me much. We have everything we need.

Yes double the lines. Add a second spring line crossing the first. Make sure all lines wont rub (cover with tape, tubing.. whatever) lower antennae, biminis, and anything loose stow it. Add a fender or two if you need. Make sure the batteris are charged for hte bildge pump.

Charged the batteries, springer line from center cleat to back and a double line on the front. Taped the covers on the electronics.

That is all. Carry on!

One of the problems with today's weather forecasts is that weather has become very dramatic in this age of reality TV. The weather channel and all other weather people way over dramatize and exaggerate the weather every day. Then, when something really bad comes our way there are no new adjectives to separate this from yesterdays storm. They come up with some new "exclusive" ratings graph that shows "extreme" or catastrophic. If this is just another 50mph blow don't you think at some point they will loose credibility?

People are spending a lot of $$ to prepeare for this and if it turns out to be mild and not worth it, the next time they will not prepare like that and that would be when the "big one" hits...There needs to be some accountability on their behalf.

Charged the batteries, springer line from center cleat to back and a double line on the front. Taped the covers on the electronics.

That is all. Carry on!

Take the electronics off.

Or they may not be there Monday.



People are spending a lot of $$ to prepeare for this and if it turns out to be mild and not worth it, the next time they will not prepare like that and that would be when the "big one" hits...There needs to be some accountability on their behalf.

You mean like how news stations spew crap about politicians whenever they hear something whether its true or not? :hihi:

One of the problems with today's weather forecasts is that weather has become very dramatic in this age of reality TV. The weather channel and all other weather people way over dramatize and exaggerate the weather every day. Then, when something really bad comes our way there are no new adjectives to separate this from yesterdays storm. They come up with some new "exclusive" ratings graph that shows "extreme" or catastrophic. If this is just another 50mph blow don't you think at some point they will loose credibility?

People are spending a lot of $$ to prepeare for this and if it turns out to be mild and not worth it, the next time they will not prepare like that and that would be when the "big one" hits...There needs to be some accountability on their behalf.


Well said.

ready


soon as i install a new chain saw chain...

that is...

One of the problems with today's weather forecasts is that weather has become very dramatic in this age of reality TV. The weather channel and all other weather people way over dramatize and exaggerate the weather every day. Then, when something really bad comes our way there are no new adjectives to separate this from yesterdays storm. They come up with some new "exclusive" ratings graph that shows "extreme" or catastrophic. If this is just another 50mph blow don't you think at some point they will loose credibility?

People are spending a lot of $$ to prepeare for this and if it turns out to be mild and not worth it, the next time they will not prepare like that and that would be when the "big one" hits...There needs to be some accountability on their behalf.

I couldn't agree more!
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It's here it's starting

Oh noooooooo

SAVE US ALL
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Started here too.... Refridge's freezer died overnight..... this will be fun. Bet I can't get a delivery today..... Where do you buy dry ice?:smash:

So much for fishing before the storm.

Started here too.... Refridge's freezer died overnight..... this will be fun. Bet I can't get a delivery today..... Where do you buy dry ice?:smash:
We had that happen a few weeks ago...pain in the ass. Lost the evaporator fan and it took a week to get parts.

Quite this morning...a few birds and insects but usually the animals are making all kind of racket.

At 6am I could have sworn we had a red sky.

I did take my awning down and have the deck furniture lashed. Trying to get the loose stuff in but there's a lot of it.

-spence

The weather channel really is an entertainment show. Some hot weather women though-

That being said- apparently modern forecasting is able to determine the track of a hurricane pretty accurately but they have not yet been able to forecast intensity. There was no major reason that intensity should have dropped before NC - but it did. So I give some of the real weather guys a pass.

Andy, you should go stay with family or friends for the storm, and then MOVE.......

Yeah ... makes sense, although I still have the broken leg to deal with :wall: ... so no moving until that is over ... but will start looking ... I got her to put the glass and stuff away, but she still left garbage cans, flower pots and two touring kayaks lying in the driveway ... I have to think that they are just mentally challenged or lazy ... but this is the same person who has not held a job since I first met her more nine or 10 years ago ... I guess that points to it ...

I would have no problems moving the stuff if I wasn't on crutches but hopefully it was cause some serious damage to her property and be a good .... "I TOLD YOU SO" scenario

Kayaks boogie'n down the street at 70mph would be fun to see! Just don't want to be at the spot where they "land". Probably in somebody's read car window. I would like to see a pic of the boat hanging out the window though. Who needs Thules!

Well that sucked.... Just under 3K for a refridge, dryer, and 20# of dry ice to get me through till it get delivered on Tuesday....

I charged up a flashlight...just in case :uhuh:

I charged up a flashlight...just in case :uhuh:

My wife just asked why I have so many headlights :biglaugh:

We just got our evac. orders for 4:00 PM.

Parties on in VA beach... Kids running around... Just saw a kid put a full moon on the camera... Then he turned around for the full Monty..
damn live tv...:'(
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South of New England to Hudson Canyon
Last Updated 1100 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2011

HURRICANE WARNING

THIS AFTERNOON
S TO SE WINDS 10 TO 20 KT INCREASING TO E TO
SE 15 TO 25 KT...EXCEPT OVER FAR SW PORTION TO 25 TO 35 LATE.
SEAS 7 TO 12 FT BUILDING TO 9 TO 18 FT LATE WITH S SWELL.
HIGHEST WINDS AND SEAS SW. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS BECOMING
NUMEROUS.

TONIGHT
E TO SE WINDS INCREASING TO 35 TO 50 KT...EXCEPT OVER
W PORTION TO 50 TO 65 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 TO 34 FT...
HIGHEST SW. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITH SQUALLS AND BLOWING
SPRAY...OCCASIONALLY REDUCING VSBY BELOW 1 NM.

calling for 15-20' in western LI sound. That I wanna see

Looking at 9-14 at the entrance to Narragansett Bay tomorrow, 21 in RI Sound.

Nice day for a family outing.

-spence

washed all my drawers and put duct tape over the holes to reduce the draft if it gets windy.

NWS forcast for wind speed vs radius from eye as of 5 pm Sat

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 76.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 180SW 0NW.

Since Prov is about 150 miles from NYC as the crow flies, we should expect 45-50 knot sustained winds with higher gusts when Irene is at NYC. Could be even lower as the storm goes up the mid atlantic coast before hitting NYC. At 30 knots , it becomes a pretty common thing for us in RI.
Lets hope it loses some force quickly after going inland.

In fact , according to this data , Irene is no longer a hurricane. Its now a tropical storm. Lets hope it stays trending down in wind speed as it should without 80+ degree water to feed on.

NWS forcast for wind speed vs radius from eye as of 5 pm Sat

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.2N 76.0W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 950 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT.
64 KT....... 75NE 75SE 35SW 35NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE 80SW 60NW.
34 KT.......250NE 250SE 150SW 125NW.
12 FT SEAS..360NE 420SE 180SW 0NW.

Since Prov is about 150 miles from NYC as the crow flies, we should expect 45-50 knot sustained winds with higher gusts when Irene is at NYC. Could be even lower as the storm goes up the mid atlantic coast before hitting NYC. At 30 knots , it becomes a pretty common thing for us in RI.
Lets hope it loses some force quickly after going inland.

In fact , according to this data , Irene is no longer a hurricane. Its now a tropical storm. Lets hope it stays trending down in wind speed as it should without 80+ degree water to feed on.

Mike, 70 kts is still hurricane force winds. It's 74 mph or higher. 70 kts is closer to 80 mph than 70.

It's going to make landfall closer than NYC, I think, too. Remember it was over land for 10 solid hours and only lost 5 mph in max sustained winds---that's very unusual. And the water off Sandy Hook is very close to 80 degrees, at least at the surface.

950mb and 80 degree water is nuts...

950mb and 80 degree water is nuts...

Nothing about this one makes any sense. :rotf2:

Hurricanes with 950 mb central pressure don't have 80 mph winds. Hurricanes don't usually spend 10 hours over land and lose only 5 mph in max winds. They also don't drop 2 mb in pressure during the same period.

TF strength winds 250 mi from the center on the eastern side??

Nothing about this one makes any sense. :rotf2:

Hurricanes with 950 mb central pressure don't have 80 mph winds. Hurricanes don't usually spend 10 hours over land and lose only 5 mph in max winds. They also don't drop 2 mb in pressure during the same period.

TF strength winds 250 mi from the center on the eastern side??

And why the weather geeks are calling this a big one while the rest argue if it's worthy because of the Saffir-Simpson rating.

Even if the winds aren't that terrible I think this has the potential to knock out a lot of power when it reaches NE. Curious what the storm surge may be in Mount Hope Bay tomorrow morning...might have to walk down for some pics if it's not too bad.

-spence

Here's the 7 PM update. No changes. 7:30 this morning it made landfall with 85 mph max sustained winds, and minimum pressure of 952 mb. Almost 12 hours later, it's passing over Va Beach and out into the ocean, with 80 mph winds, and minimum central pressure of 950 mb. And the IR sat image shows a better formed storm than it was yesterday.


SUMMARY OF 700 PM EDT...2300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.5N 75.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF NORFOLK VIRGINIA
ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM SSW OF NEW YORK CITY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...950 MB...28.05 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF SURF CITY NORTH
CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA NORTHWARD TO SAGAMORE BEACH
MASSACHUSETTS...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO...ALBEMARLE...AND CURRITUCK
SOUNDS...DELAWARE BAY...CHESAPEAKE BAY SOUTH OF DRUM POINT...NEW
YORK CITY...LONG ISLAND...LONG ISLAND SOUND...COASTAL CONNECTICUT
AND RHODE ISLAND...BLOCK ISLAND...MARTHAS VINEYARD AND NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CHESAPEAKE BAY FROM DRUM POINT NORTHWARD AND THE TIDAL POTOMAC
* NORTH OF SAGAMORE BEACH TO EASTPORT MAINE
* UNITED STATES/CANADA BORDER NORTHEASTWARD TO FORT LAWRENCE
INCLUDING GRAND MANAN
* SOUTH COAST OF NOVA SCOTIA FROM FORT LAWRENCE TO PORTERS LAKE

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN EASTERN CANADA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
IRENE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
THE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 700 PM EDT...2300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 36.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 75.8 WEST. IRENE IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
ACCOMPANIED BY A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
IRENE WILL MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT...AND
MOVE OVER SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND ON SUNDAY. IRENE IS FORECAST TO MOVE
INTO EASTERN CANADA SUNDAY NIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. IRENE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN A HURRICANE AS IT MOVES NEAR OR
OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND APPROACHES NEW ENGLAND. THE
HURRICANE IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN AFTER LANDFALL IN NEW ENGLAND AND
BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SUNDAY NIGHT OR EARLY MONDAY.

IRENE IS A LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE. HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES...465 KM.
A NOAA C-MAN STATION EAST OF THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
RECENTLY REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 61 MPH...WITH A GUST TO 68
MPH. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE GRADUALLY SPREADING NORTHWARD
OVER SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA...AND OVER THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE DELMARVA PENINSULA.

A STORM SURGE HEIGHT OF ABOUT 4.6 FEET HAS BEEN OBSERVED AT OREGON
INLET NORTH CAROLINA...AND A STORM SURGE HEIGHT OF ABOUT 4 FEET HAS
OCCURRED SO FAR AT THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 10 TO 14 INCHES HAVE ALREADY OCCURRED OVER A
LARGE PORTION OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNT
OF 14.00 INCHES REPORTED AT BUNYAN NORTH CAROLINA THUS FAR.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 950 MB...28.05 INCHES.

Go anyway spence

Did you take down those silly lights?

If it wasn't so big there would be no doubt in my mind this would be a high 2 or possibly a 3. Hopefully it wont explode when it gets off the coast.

Did you take down those silly lights?
Funny, my wife thought they'd just bounce around...they're made of paper :rotf2:

I threw them away. :uhuh:

-spence

Funny, my wife thought they'd just bounce around...they're made of paper :rotf2:

I threw them away. :uhuh:

-spence


Enjoy!!! I just got home to Mansfield. I need bread, milk, white eggs, batteries, dog food Uhoh....

If it wasn't so big there would be no doubt in my mind this would be a high 2 or possibly a 3. Hopefully it wont explode when it gets off the coast.

It's sitting in 80 degree water right now.

Missed the Kts vs MPH . That's why all the charts don't agree with the report.

Still a lot better than the original scenario.

Doing nothing at my house right now. Local weather forecasters (RI) say 30 to 50 MPH sustained winds tomorrow with lower numbers inland and higher at the coast. Gusts to 70 expected near coast. They all seem to be telling the same story on Channel 6, 10 and 12.Lets hope they are right. They are talking about a big surg in Buzzards Bay right near Canal entrance to be the worst

Chart below shows water temps along NJ at 70. That should help. Local meteorologist says this is total insurance against it intensifying. Of course it is Mother Nature.

Satellite picture is deceptive. Radar shows strong bands much closer to eye than the cloud formation would indicate. Still big but not 500 miles across.

Why it didn't intensify north of NC in the warm water is anybodies guess. Just happy to see it didn't!

Well tomorrow is the day. I expect to lose power. Question is will it be a few hours, a day or several days. In CT I lost power for almost a week after Gloria and lost a whole freezer full of food including a just purchased whole spring lamb from a local farm. Barbecued all I could and brought stuff to all my friends but still lost 3/4 of the lamb. All the discarded food in the neighborhood brought animals from the big park (east Rock Park) across the street from me. I had to battle a rackoon one day who was obviously not afraid of me one bit. I decided he could have the trash! :)

Landfall in NewEngland still looks like just about NYC. Some talk as far east as Bridgeport. Still better than tues-wed's track showing ground zero as Narragansett Bay.

Good luck to all. One downed tree can make the difference between a none event and a big PITA. Lets hope most of us dodge the bullet.

Seems like a good link

Live Global Storm Tracker - The Associated Press (http://hosted.ap.org/specials/interactives/storm_tracker/index.html)

Why it didn't intensify north of NC in the warm water is anybodies guess. Just happy to see it didn't!



My guess is that it's tracking close to the coast, and the winds can''t wrap around the west side of the eye as freely as they would over open water. Not getting any stronger or weaker, but the east side grew, with hurricane winds extending 125 miles NE and SE of the center.

Blowing hard enough here to wake me up, obviously. :D

North Central MA....Rain, plenty of with little wind so far...

i just woke up and found that Dunkin Donuts is open..getting there was a little hairy..trees look like they are touching the ground...

i just woke up and found that Dunkin Donuts is open..getting there was a little hairy..trees look like they are touching the ground...

Leave it to D&Ds to be open!

Power has been going up and down at several of my client sites as I get notifications when that happens. I have shut down preselected equipment at many sites already.

Neighbor's tree just lost a pine cone, it's in the middle of our driveway.

-spence

Email from lees market... Closed for the day... That means a long drive for beer...:-(
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Email from lees market... Closed for the day... That means a long drive for beer...:-(
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

You were supposed to stock up yesterday. The little shop in Adamsville is only 5 minutes away and has a nice selection.

-spence

Neighbor's tree just lost a pine cone, it's in the middle of our driveway.

-spence

I'm surprised that has not been covered by CNN...
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Neighbor's tree just lost a pine cone, it's in the middle of our driveway.

-spence

Oh my GAWD! Don't touch it!! Call national grid and have them remove it before it causes any serious damage!
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Oh my GAWD! Don't touch it!! Call national grid and have them remove it before it causes any serious damage!
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
It's gone now.

Not sure if the wind blew it onto my yard or a squirrel took it.

-spence

Doc, you and Ross find fish yesterday?

Powers already been out in westerly for a couple of hours, hope my riggies don't thaw to fast...
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

It looks like the wind should be picking up in RI over the next few hours.


-spence

Doc, you and Ross find fish yesterday?

I did, great morning (boat) and excellent afternoon (surf)...don't think Ross had the same luck...
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Woke up about 8 AM. just heavy rain on roof. Still have power here. Expect strong band starting in about 2 hours according to radar. Probably biggest gusts. Looks like the worst of it but its a strong wide band so we will see. . Right now its a non event. Could change as the afternoon goes on and the long exposure to moderate wind starts to take its toll on weak trees , etc.

New York looks to be doing well. Not the flooding that was anticipated.

I'm hoping the trees hold up

alot of power out in CT 400K and rising.

It's gone now.

Not sure if the wind blew it onto my yard or a squirrel took it.

-spence


:rotf2:

what steps are needed?

Do we board up windows for example?

well ya never know if you'll have to

so you'll need screw gun batteries to be charged
and any kind of plywood Pre- cut because soon
we will have no power...in case a window not covered
gets compromised

that's almost a certainty
with 3 million now without power

Oh...and Spam...gotta stock up on Spam

Spam and eggs for breakfast this morning. My daughter loves it.

Wind still isn't near its peak up on the North Shore, but it's been enough to keep the power flickering on and off ... has happened several times over the past hour