View Full Version : Possible Nor'easter Next Week


Piscator
11-01-2012, 08:53 PM
Say it isn't so.

Long way off but it looks like some models are showing a possible Nor'easter next Wednesday

niko
11-01-2012, 09:06 PM
looks like a nice day for togging tuesday :uhuh:

striperman36
11-01-2012, 09:10 PM
Yeah, significant classic nor'easter . More to come, Ill look in detail tomorrow
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Piscator
11-01-2012, 09:33 PM
Yeah, significant classic nor'easter . More to come, Ill look in detail tomorrow
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

I was hoping you would be on this!
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Jackbass
11-02-2012, 03:55 AM
Nothing like snow on water logged limbs to make life interesting :-(
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

JohnR
11-02-2012, 05:53 AM
Anything indicating the storm will be destructive -v- just being a pain?

striperman36
11-02-2012, 06:53 AM
A pain

striperman36
11-02-2012, 08:27 AM
FNMOC Wave model shows the storm blossoming in CN not US

hours 144 + with SNE having off shore winds

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi/cgi-bin/wxmap_loop.cgi?&area=ww3_atlantic&prod=sgwvht&dtg=2012110206&set=SeaState

5 day blended model from HPC also suppports this, showing a 1005 storm in CN. But coming through here in wed through thurs

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif


So there are conditions that can impact this storm that are still uncertain, it is a similar blend of atmospheric energy to Sandy, but on a MUCH SMALLER energy scale.

Pete_G
11-02-2012, 08:38 AM
You have to credit the weather people on Sandy - they had that forecast nailed from WAY out. I first saw some noise about it 7 days before, complete with a landfall prediction that ended basically being right on.

striperman36
11-02-2012, 09:33 AM
Super Computers are a great thing.

PRBuzz
11-02-2012, 09:42 AM
Euro model was earliest with correct path so focus on that specific piece of spaghetti!
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

striperman36
11-02-2012, 09:59 AM
US weather teams currently favor the ECMWF in almost all cases.

Raven
11-03-2012, 03:58 AM
weather.com looks out the window and changes their story
as it happens... :hs:

totally unreliable forcasting...

although one day they predicted the rain starting down to the minute
it was GOD like ....because it started exactly as predicted
so accurate you could set a watch by it...

but truly....we rely on your weather reports Bill more than you know

striperman36
11-03-2012, 04:30 PM
This one is looking much more severe today, lots of gale force winds coming
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Zeno
11-03-2012, 06:29 PM
lots more rain with this one compared to last storm

striperman36
11-03-2012, 06:53 PM
I am hoping it materializes above NJ
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

iamskippy
11-03-2012, 08:25 PM
Bill im lookin forward to studying the info you provide again
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

striperman36
11-03-2012, 09:06 PM
I'm in nj till tomorrow night , I'll post up then
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Finlander
11-03-2012, 09:08 PM
I'm hearing maybe some snow inland, early Wed.

PRBuzz
11-04-2012, 05:24 PM
Weather guys (T Kelly) used the term "bombogenesis" for developing storm. 50+mph winds

striperman36
11-04-2012, 08:40 PM
when Tim says that, it's not good. he actually graduated from metrologist school.

NAO is negative, water is still comparatively warm, this is a siberian outbreak, that is draggin gulf moisture along with it,

it gets bottled up beneaht the REX block in the North Atlantic and goes "BOOM"

3.5-4 inches of of precip, Most of northern NE, VT, NH, western ME, western MA will get snow of it stays on track

iamskippy
11-04-2012, 10:57 PM
I need pic's maps course and more! Come on bill
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Raven
11-05-2012, 07:08 AM
i read there was a BomBa Genesis happening as well
and that the Clan is multiplying :uhuh:

striperman36
11-05-2012, 08:00 AM
Boom on Thursday

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif

Typhoon
11-05-2012, 08:04 AM
Snowing in Duxbury this morning.

striperman36
11-05-2012, 10:15 AM
I heard that. latest European models are showing snow over much of New England Wednesday into thursday

striperman36
11-05-2012, 08:42 PM
http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/99fwbgus.gif

Not looking good for Thursday, nice powerful low.

Not the new low lining up in AK, for next week

MakoMike
11-07-2012, 01:28 PM
Snowing here in western CT right now. Big heavy flakes coming down at a pretty good clip. We've had a little over an inch so far. Its not sticking to the roads, but is sticking to almost everything else.

WESTPORTMAFIA
11-07-2012, 01:40 PM
Snowing here in western CT right now. Big heavy flakes coming down at a pretty good clip. We've had a little over an inch so far. Its not sticking to the roads, but is sticking to almost everything else.

lucky

Jackbass
11-07-2012, 01:53 PM
lucky

Is that the points high school yearbook picture
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Zeno
11-07-2012, 02:00 PM
I heard that. latest European models are showing snow over much of New England Wednesday into thursday

Keep the snow, send over the European models..tell them I have no power or heat for 10 days and I need their warmth ...ha
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Jackbass
11-07-2012, 02:10 PM
Keep the snow, send over the European models..tell them I have no power or heat for 10 days and I need their warmth ...ha
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Now you're cooking with gas
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

striperman36
11-07-2012, 02:11 PM
Sorry, Zeno, we are in the rain up here in newport and it's 37 degrees. I'm going to burn some furniture when I get home

piemma
11-07-2012, 02:28 PM
Snowing here in western CT right now. Big heavy flakes coming down at a pretty good clip. We've had a little over an inch so far. Its not sticking to the roads, but is sticking to almost everything else.

Same here in NW RI

DZ
11-07-2012, 02:42 PM
Keep the snow, send over the European models..tell them I have no power or heat for 10 days and I need their warmth ...ha
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Male models OK?

;)
DZ

All kidding aside - hope you get through this.

striperman36
11-07-2012, 02:49 PM
72 mph gust at Vineyard Haven

PRBuzz
11-07-2012, 02:51 PM
Keep the snow, send over the European models..tell them I have no power or heat for 10 days and I need their warmth ...ha
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

she's on her way....

WESTPORTMAFIA
11-07-2012, 04:21 PM
I'd marry that slut!!!Sorry but that's the 1st thing that popped into my head
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

striperman36
11-07-2012, 06:25 PM
By the hour is much cheaper

WESTPORTMAFIA
11-07-2012, 06:39 PM
By the hour is much cheaper

Once she's my wife you can rent her by the hour.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

striperman36
11-07-2012, 06:43 PM
nope, not payin overhead

Mike P
11-07-2012, 07:07 PM
Here near the east end of the canal, I swear it's been blowing harder since I got home than it ever did during Sandy.

Nebe
11-07-2012, 07:20 PM
gusts to 90 on Block island, 20 foot seas and the green light at the end of old harbor jetty is gone... :smash::smash:

blondterror
11-07-2012, 07:24 PM
she's on her way....

send that sweet "Euro Model" to my house... I have some "work' for her

Nebe
11-07-2012, 07:46 PM
21 footers now..

NDBC - Station 44097 (http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=44097)

ProfessorM
11-07-2012, 07:47 PM
Here near the east end of the canal, I swear it's been blowing harder since I got home than it ever did during Sandy.

I rode the bike into that NE wind from Pleasant Street to the corner before the oil tanks this morning around 7 and I almost had a heart attack. Took me about 10 minutes too. Didn't even have to peddle on way back. On way home from work today at 4 going over the Bourne Bridge I almost went 2 lanes over in a gust. One of the worst crossings I have ever experienced in 25 years of driving back and forth daily.

RIROCKHOUND
11-07-2012, 08:07 PM
gusts to 90 on Block island, 20 foot seas and the green light at the end of old harbor jetty is gone... :smash::smash:

it hit 31ft (significant wave height) during Sandy... probably the odd 37-40ft @ the peak....

where did you see 90? gusting 60 @ spring house....

Nebe
11-07-2012, 08:24 PM
it hit 31ft (significant wave height) during Sandy... probably the odd 37-40ft @ the peak....

where did you see 90? gusting 60 @ spring house....

block island fishworks post on FB

buckman
11-08-2012, 05:42 AM
Power out in marshfield ! House has been shaking all night
IMO worse the Sandy
I thought they were going to name major winter storms ?
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Rob Rockcrawler
11-08-2012, 05:48 AM
From what i understand the weather channel is now naming winter storms, but NOAA is not recognizing it. Next on deck is Brutus. I think it helps their hype machine.

piemma
11-08-2012, 07:21 AM
I believe this one is named Athena

Raven
11-08-2012, 07:27 AM
phil is so naughty... heh heh

DZ
11-08-2012, 07:43 AM
and the green light at the end of old harbor jetty is gone... :smash::smash:

Say it ain't so - love the green glow at night - just enough to see bass blow up on your needlefish. Wrote a story about it - have it somewhere.

DZ

striperman36
11-08-2012, 09:46 AM
13 days of nice weather starting this weekend. Storm in Montana moves out behind us dragging warm gulf air into the region

Ian
11-08-2012, 10:35 AM
Break out the beach chairs and the bunker chunks! Its cleanup time...

DZ
11-08-2012, 10:36 AM
13 days of nice weather starting this weekend. Storm in Montana moves out behind us dragging warm gulf air into the region

Hope you're not just trying to lull me into a false sense of relief knowing I'll be at Block for the next 7 days or so?

DZ

Sea Flat
11-08-2012, 11:01 AM
Here near the east end of the canal, I swear it's been blowing harder since I got home than it ever did during Sandy.

I am in Falmouth and I agree with you. I think just that little turn of East vs. Northeast has the wind hitting harder at my house, less land to travel over. This storm has been a bit worse in terms of wind and definitely rain. Only difference may be the lack of storm surge I guess.

striperman36
11-08-2012, 11:07 AM
http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=buzm3&meas=wdpr&uom=E&time_diff=-5&time_label=EST

Nice graph of barometric pressure wind speed gusts from buzm3.

Appears the storm in waning.

striperman36
11-08-2012, 11:11 AM
Sandy was a bit lower in pressure 988 vs this storm which bottomed at 994. Still pretty strong storms

buckman
11-08-2012, 05:24 PM
Neighbors front windows blew out. I lost downspouts and some trim. Why did I move here ??? :)
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

ProfessorM
11-08-2012, 05:25 PM
Storm sent me home at 10 this morning from work in Pocasset with power outage. Napped all day long:uhuh:

Mike P
11-08-2012, 07:19 PM
I rode the bike into that NE wind from Pleasant Street to the corner before the oil tanks this morning around 7 and I almost had a heart attack. Took me about 10 minutes too. Didn't even have to peddle on way back. On way home from work today at 4 going over the Bourne Bridge I almost went 2 lanes over in a gust. One of the worst crossings I have ever experienced in 25 years of driving back and forth daily.

I've ridden the length of the Canal into 30 mph winds, and even in my low gears and at my level of fitness, it ain't easy. It's like climbing an 8% grade hill---for 7 miles.

I can imagine it on a heavy bike, with two rods and gear in the baskets. At least you picked the right way to start and finish. :grins: