ahh, 80s and sunny here in texas!

Unless it takes a severe turn to the right (which some models have it doing) we are at the very least going to get some rough seas and some high winds. Most models have it coming towards us now, but they also have it being downgraded to below hurricane force by then.

we'll be on the backside of it by a couple of days... assuming a tree doesn't fall on our collective houses....

Word for the wise, from Matt Noyes: "Mariners should not plan any fishing trips early next week, and should be back safely in port by Saturday Evening. Wind and waves will gradually build Saturday night, but will probably exceed nine feet by Sunday midday on New England's offshore waters, and will peak at over 30' - higher if a worst-case scenario verifies."

Yeah, just stood down Valhalla, as we were scheduled to run south Sat-Sunday.. 9ft. pfft... we eat those for beakfast :jump1:

will damper the blackfish bite for a week or so, thats for sure...

It's lunch and dinner you have to worry about!:rotf2:

Latest runs all have it coming ashore somewhere on the east coast.

Frankenstorm
 

From the HPC discussion 0942/25

HE LION'S
SHARE OF GUIDANCE INDICATES THAT THE CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
HURRICANE SANDY WILL PASS CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE AMPLIFYING POLAR
TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN UNITED STATES TO BECOME INCORPORATED INTO
A HYBRID VORTEX OVER THE MID ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST NEXT TUESDAY.
THE HIGH DEGREE OF BLOCKING FROM EASTERN NORTH AMERICA ACROSS THE
ENTIRE ATLANTIC BASIN IS EXPECTED TO ALLOW THIS UNUSUAL MERGER TO
TAKE PLACE, AND ONCE THE COMBINED GYRE MATERIALIZES, IT SHOULD
SETTLE BACK TOWARD THE INTERIOR NORTHEAST THROUGH HALLOWEEN,
INVITING PERHAPS A GHOULISH NICKNAME FOR THE CYCLONE ALONG THE
LINES OF "FRANKENSTORM", AN ALLUSION TO MARY SHELLEY'S GOTHIC
CREATURE OF SYNTHESIZED ELEMENTS.

So I probably shouldn't plan on driving a 14' truck up the east coast on Monday/Tuesday...
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SHUT THE *&#@% UP!!!:fury:

They don't have a solid feel at all.

The latest set of 00Z (8 pm EDT) and 06Z (2 am EDT) computer model runs are in substantial agreement for the next 3 days, but Sandy's future is as clear as mud after that. Sandy will continue to punish the Bahamas today and Friday, as it tracks north to north-northwest. Sandy will probably come close enough to the Southeast U.S. on Saturday afternoon to spread heavy rains to the coasts of South Carolina and North Carolina. However, the 4 - 6 day computer model forecasts for Sunday - Tuesday diverge widely. The GFS model, which has been one of our two top models for predicting hurricane tracks the past two years, has been very inconsistent with its handling of Sandy. Runs of the GFS model done 6 hours apart, at 8 pm last night and 2 am EDT this morning, were 300 miles apart in their position for Sandy on Tuesday, with the latest run predicting a landfall in Maine on Wednesday morning. On the other hand, the ECMWF model, our other top model for predicting hurricane tracks, has been very consistent in its handling of Sandy. The ECMWF model has Sandy hitting Delaware on Monday afternoon, the same forecast it has had for three consecutive runs. The other models tend to follow one extreme or the other, and NHC is picking a solution somewhere in the middle of these two extremes. An extra set of balloon-borne radiosondes is going to be launched at 2 pm EDT Thursday all across the U.S., which should help this evening's model runs. Extra radiosondes will be launched every 6 hours through Saturday afternoon.

Whenever the models cannot arrive at a firm solution it usually means its heading staright for us!! Scheduled for overnight minor heart surgery next thursday (like any heart surgery is minor??) . I hope there are no power failures by then. Man , i do not need this excitement. :(

Good luck Mike. I'll be praying for you whether the power goes out or not.

that range Paul is only 200 mi. the question is how fast to the west will Sandy be pulled by the negative tilting trough as the trough intensifies.
Sandy is NOT going far east the NAO block is holding it in to be consumed by the trough at some point.

Frankenstorm.

And yes, I need more feeling of Sandy, too

Let's not forget all the hype of that huge hurricane we got 2 years ago that ended up being a mild tropical storm.
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I rather listen to this than that other thing going on in the other forum

just wait until the snow starts, then I'll really get annoying


all kidding aside - I hope everyone is safe

The Dallas ice storms in February have been legendary Jim

yeah, but last about a day and no shoveling

been stuck twice in DFW unable to get to my hotel in a car that can drive on ice

Nice, however there are no striped bass in Texas
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Hybrids and they bite all year

Road trip
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hybrids my arse, we have stripers and hybrids 365 days a year and some get HUGE

Texas Top 50 Striped Bass

Mike, why the hell didn't you say something Friday. I could have explain in detail what they are going to do.

ME:

8 cauterizations
4 stents
1 Major MI
1 Quad Bypass.
Next time ask me.

They have great stripper clubs in Dallas and I am not talking fish.

:jump1:

I'd like to compare them Dallas to Dade County and Vegas clubs. The latter two are top billing

C'mon Jimmy, none of the fish on that list have even been caught in the last 10 years.

Good read Mr Z., Jimmy was trying to pull a fast one, again