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-   -   Danny Prediction Thread (http://www.striped-bass.com/Stripertalk/showthread.php?t=59002)

Jenn 08-27-2009 11:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike P (Post 707810)
I dunno--the westernmost projected track would have it just brushing Hatteras. Hurricanes don't lose a lot of strength by just brushing the coast. It'll have plenty of time to regain strength over the Gulf Stream on its way up from there.

I can see the eye of this thing tracking right up the Canal.




Sorry Mike....I was just being a wisebutt. I thought the smiley gave it away. I always like that prediction because I will be right AT LEAST some of the time! haha!

Fish_Eye 08-27-2009 11:42 AM

From my Son-In-Law at the CDC
 
1 Attachment(s)
Here's the latest from CDC and CT Health Dept.

Typhoon 08-27-2009 12:15 PM

Great read here:

http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index....=204569&st=460

It's a forum for meteorologists... some of this stuff is way over my head where they're analyzing convection from satelite photos. From the reading I'm doing here they're saying a more westerly track, while the weatherpeople on the Boston stations are saying a more easterly track.

likwid 08-27-2009 12:53 PM

TS conditions forecasted for Saturday from LI to NH. :lama:

OLD GOAT 08-27-2009 01:15 PM

If the trees don't fall, no big deal. Small tides, fast moving, other than the sound side and buzards bay which might have trouble with the canal tunnel flooding.

UserRemoved1 08-27-2009 01:23 PM

What's a yugio card?

RIROCKHOUND 08-27-2009 02:08 PM

From Pro-Jo.com
Read the last two paragraphs... interesting after the incidents earlier this summer...

PROVIDENCE, R.I. -- It looks like we're in for a beautiful day Thursday. Enjoy it, since the weekend could be a washout, as the region could feel the impact of Tropical Storm Danny.

The temperature should reach a high near 78 degrees with a north wind of 9 mph. Thursday, according to the National Weather Service.

Wednesday night should be partly cloudy with a low of 55 degrees.

The state Emergency Management Agency warned Wednesday that Danny could bring heavy rain and coastal flooding to Rhode Island.

The weather service's National Hurricane Center reports that the center of Tropical Storm Danny has reformed about 575 miles south-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, and the agency advises those living from the Carolinas to New England to monitor its progress.

It has maximum winds of 60 mph with stronger gusts and is moving northwest at 10 mph. Danny is expected to strengthen over the next couple of days and become a hurricane.

"The official forecast is shifted eastward because of the center reformation and the good track model agreement," the weather service says, adding that."any significant deviation to the west of the forecast track would bring Danny closer to the U.S. East Coast. "

As Danny makes its way up the Atlantic Coast, the Coast Guard is advising paddle and small craft owners to secure their vessels and gear. Adrift, unmanned paddle craft such as canoes and kayaks, are considered a sign of distress and could result in a false search and rescue alarm.

Mariners are also asked to secure mooring lines, life rings, life jackets and any other items that could break free and cause damage.

"We are headed for some rough weather this weekend," Al Johnson, First Coast Guard District recreational boating safety specialist, said in a prepared statement. "Securing your vessels prior to the storm could save your property and allow the Coast Guard to be more effective on the water."

For more weather and regular updates, see projo.com/weather.

Slipknot 08-27-2009 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^& (Post 707928)
What's a yugio card?


ask Danny

UserRemoved1 08-27-2009 03:35 PM

:hee:

Quote:

Originally Posted by Slipknot (Post 707945)
ask Danny


wader-dad 08-27-2009 04:54 PM

I am the Cohn of uncertainty. :confused:

striperman36 08-27-2009 07:23 PM

Danny remains in an area of upper-level confluent flow associated
with the persistent cyclonic shear axis seen in water vapor
imagery. In addition...both water vapor imagery and ssm/is total
precipitable water imagery suggest that the environment near Danny
is dry. These factors...combined with the current lack of
organization...suggests that strengthening will be slow at best
during the next 24 hr.


Nothing, TS at best

PaulS 08-28-2009 06:43 AM

The next few storms are going to be named darter, floater, pencil, needlefish and spook.

Karl F 08-28-2009 06:47 AM

NEWSFLASH
After an angry call to the Hurricane center from Gibb's Lures legal dept., the name of this storm will no longer be Danny, seeing as they have the exclusive rights to use that name.
Therefore this will be TS Flat Nosed Lipped Swimmer....

UserRemoved1 08-28-2009 06:50 AM

karl I got that card ya wanna trade?

Raven 08-28-2009 11:37 AM

3 storms converging
 
sounds like the Perfect storm scenario

3 storms heading our way
simultaneously :confused:

says the weatherman...

Raven 08-28-2009 11:38 AM

oh and Karl
 
it's now been bumped up to a two bottle storm :grins:

JohnR 08-28-2009 12:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Karl F (Post 708034)
NEWSFLASH
After an angry call to the Hurricane center from Gibb's Lures legal dept., the name of this storm will no longer be Danny, seeing as they have the exclusive rights to use that name.
Therefore this will be TS Flat Nosed Lipped Swimmer....

:rotf2:

For Sale, Tropical Storm ( Insert Your Name Here ) Plug Billboard Advertising :fishin:

RIROCKHOUND 08-28-2009 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND (Post 707746)
RIRock's prediction sure to go wrong...

Strong tropical storm. Below Hurr. strength
Highest gust in RI will be on the Block at 50kt. Highest sustained in SoCo will be 30-40kts.
Depending on the track MV or ACK will hit 60kt gusts.

Minor shoreline erosion, 2-3ft of storm surge for one tidal cycle. Erosion will be a bit more than if this was the first storm of the season, but not drastic.

Was sure to go wrong;
Change to 20-30 sustained in RI and 40-50kt gusys on ACK and I was close :smash:
clammer got it right with 'Miss'

striperman36 08-28-2009 01:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND (Post 708097)
Was sure to go wrong;
Change to 20-30 sustained in RI and 40-50kt gusys on ACK and I was close :smash:
clammer got it right with 'Miss'

It's going to be close to that, unless that trough bites a little harder and then it won't be 35kt gusts.

Karl F 08-28-2009 05:28 PM

A sharp dressed British gentleman was waiting for a lorry,
an intoxicated hobo was curled up in front of the building behind him..
a lovely lass joined the gentlemen at the lorry stop, as they were
waiting the gent muttered... "tickle your ass with a feather" rather
quickly... the lass shouted, "What did you say??"..
"Sorry Miss, I merely stated, "Typical Nasty Weather!", no insult intended!"
She seemed embarrassed, and apologized for the confusion..
the lorry came, and the gent and the lass boarded...

A few minutes later a middle aged woman arrived to wait for the next lorry..
The hobo, who was amused by the gents trick thought he would give it a try...but could not quite remember what to say...so...
He said a little too loudly.. "Shove a quill up yer ass!"
The woman was horrified and shrieked..."What did you say to me, you smelly bum?"
"Sorry lady....*hic*...
all I said was...."








"Gonna Rain!"




and that is all it's gonna do :D
well.. a little wind too...
i really don't think this thing is gonna strengthen going over colder waters...

and the local update:
http://www.capecodonline.com/apps/pb...WS11/908289992

Raven 08-29-2009 04:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnR (Post 708096)
:rotf2:

For Sale, Tropical Storm ( Insert Your Name Here ) Plug Billboard Advertising :fishin:

if i had to name it...it would be Mary

jredfly 08-29-2009 07:28 AM

Back Beach - this was really funny - I got a good laugh on this crappy day - Thanks!!!

"Complete and utter mayhem...dog and cats living together, pluggers and eelers joining in a group hug, boatmen fishing the surf...":rotf2:


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