Hey mr smartie pants wx man
 

How much snow we gonna get wednesday :wave:

after the storm he'll let you know

lol

More than some. less than others

Say's the guy with the indian cheif/shaman/witch doctor/voodoo/rainmaker/windtalker/alien connection/whatever you want to call it inside info and sage advise that was no better than any new meteorologist just out of college with all the latest computer models that all predict wrong and yet they still have a job at the end of the day. :rotflmao:

the force and the models are all snafu'ed

YouTube - George Carlin "Hippy Dippy Weatherman"


The best weather man ever

AYE aye mate

atleast the.... whatever can blame it on drugs. :rotf2:

Ok now that was funny :hee:

i'm glad their having a good time

wait till wednesday

My neck arthritis says 6" :rotf2:

My hand however says 8" :hidin:

"And I will also say that I am employed doing this for our Armed Forces."

Now you sound like a Government worker
:rotf2::rotf2::rotf2:

neutrality
 

how much snow
a sh1tload
100%

there is the potential for 1-1.25 inches of moisture across the area so taking the standard of 10-12 x for snow with temps in the 20s or lower.
You have a fair amount of potential snow accumulating without factoring in additional advection from ocean effect snow.

This could match the last major storm we had for about 12 -15 hours.

suuuuuuuuuuuuuuure

Ok, let me through some more darts at the weather chart here.

Ah, high in the 70s
Bright sunshine
breeze out of the S less than 10 knots


Ahh, oops wrong board


Ah, Bombogensis inside the 40/70 benchmark. lows in the 20's means with concurence in models means Saltys shoveling Wednesday. And the kids will probably not have school on Wednesday.
You probably already have a winter storm watch posted for your area.

starting tuesday night
 

the eskimo's Knows
there's 35 snows

some are heavy
he ain't my brother

some are light
put up no fight

some are sloppy
don't crash jalopy

some are sticky
door locks get picky

Is this one?

Some are icy
don't fall on your assy

I always like to take a look at the forecast discussion. A little more work to read through then a basic 5 day forecast but usually you'll get their best guess at what's coming and usually some honesty about how confident they are feeling in the current models and how tricky the overall forecast is.

National Weather Service Text Product Display

The word of the day is
BOMBOGENESIS :rotf2:

What a bunch of NERD

IRST OF ALL...WE HAVE ISSUED A WINTER STORM WATCH FOR MOST OF OUR
COUNTY WARNING AREA. OUR FORECASTED QPF AMOUNTS ARE ON THE ORDER OF
0.7 INCHES ACROSS SW NH INTO NW MA...UP TO 1-1.25 INCHES ACROSS
EASTERN AND CENTRAL MA...RI AND E CT. VERY DYNAMIC SYSTEM AS THE LOW
UNDERGOES BOMBOGENESIS OVERNIGHT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY MORNING.
WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE SOME SLANTWISE VORTICITY THAT COULD
CAUSE SOME THUNDER SNOW AS WELL. PLUS...WILL LIKELY SEE SNOW BANDING
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY SNOWFALL. EXCELLENT DENDRITIC GROWTH IN PLACE
WITH VERY STRONG LIFT ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. ALL THIS ADDS UP TO
SUBSTANTIAL SNOWFALL FOR A GOOD MAJORITY OF THE REGION. HAVE ISSUED
OUR FIRST EARLY FORECAST FOR SNOW AMOUNTS ON OUR WEBSITE. WITH
INCREASING NE WINDS OVERNIGHT...EXPECT TEMPS ON THE OUTER CAPE AND
NANTUCKET TO BE MARGINAL FOR HEAVY SNOWFALL...SO EXPECT LOWER
AMOUNTS THERE. OTHERWISE...IT DOES LOOK LIKE EVEN THE LOWER CAPE AND
OTHER ISLANDS WILL RECEIVE WARNING LEVEL SNOWFALL THOUGH NOT QUITE
AS MUCH AS INLAND AREAS. AS OUR FIRST THOUGHTS...WE THINK THAT ABOUT
8 TO 14 INCHES OF SNOW WILL FALL...WITH LOWER AMOUNTS ON THE OUTER
CAPE AND NANTUCKET. THIS CAN AND WILL LIKELY CHANGE AS WE GET CLOSER
TO THE EVENT.

I like "slantwise vorticity"

Don't forget "DENDRITIC GROWTH" :rotf2:

Don't forget your QPF

quick .>>>>>>>>>>>
everyone shop like crazy
this is the END

Another term: Thumping!

Matt (NECN) calling for a THUMPING with 12-18", high confidence 60-70%, most of RI and SE MA out to Worcester. Maybe change over to rain outer Cape up to the ditch. If the center of the low closes, slight chance of 100mph winds out on the Cape!

Bombogenesis with Dendritic lifting inside the benchmark

Translation=I still don't know how much we're getting :rtfm: lalalalalalalalaaaaa

XCELLANT DENDRITIC GROWTH IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF STRONG LIFT...20
MICROBARS PER SECOND OR ROUGHLY 70 MB PER HOUR...OVER CT-RI-
SOUTHEAST MASS. TEMPS ON THE OUTER CAPE AND NANTUCKET LOOK
MARGINAL FOR SNOW ACCUMULATION. QPF/TEMPS/LIFT SUPPORT SNOW ACCUMS
OF MAXIMUM QPF TRANSLATION ACROSS THE REGION WITH HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN CT-
RI AND ADJACENT MASS. HEAVIEST SNOW SHOULD BE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY.


Am I being clear enough?

we already knew that. It's gonna snow heavy tuesday night to wednesday.

rain/mix on the cape

you nerd guys :hee:

Without dendritic lift acting on the ambient QPF , during the bombogenisis inside the benchmark, you'd get nothing and like it!

shoot man I want the snow. Snow now is good for herring in another 45 days

Only a few inches out your way. Nothing the Quigley can't handle.
Plug the block heater in though.

yesterday
 

the weather channel said 100% chance of snow

today its only 60%

my wife's taking the day off.... with pay

her 360 spin out had a disastrous effect
on her snow traveling confidence

you shouldn't be shootin out the tires anymore

shhhhh thaT IS PRIVILEGED INTEL

I hear ya was a good shot...das all.

folks :grins:

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/...
LOW PRESSURE MOVES OUT OF THE GULF OF MEXICO TO OFFSHORE THE
CAROLINAS THIS MORNING...MOVING UP THE EAST COAST LATE TODAY.
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT AMONGST THE 00Z SUITE OF MODELS INDICATES THE
STORMS CENTER WILL PASS BETWEEN NANTUCKET AND THE 40/70 BENCHMARK.
THE 00Z NAM/ECMWF/GGEM/RGEM/UKMET ALL SHOW THE STORM MOVING OVER
NANTUCKET WHILE THE 00Z GFS HOLDS OUT WITH THE STORM PASSING OVER
THE BENCHMARK. LOOKS LIKE THIS IS A NORTHWESTWARD SHIFT FOR THE
MOST IF NOT ALL OF THE INTERNATIONAL MODELS WITH THIS RUN. SO WHILE
THE SHIFT HAS BEEN RECOGNIZED BY ALL BUT THE GFS...AM HESITANT TO
DISCOUNT EITHER THE GFS OR THE MOST NORTHWESTWARD NAM. MOST GRIDS
ARE BASED ON A STORM TRACK INSIDE THE BENCHMARK BUT STILL A BIT EAST
OF NANTUCKET.

THIS TRACK FAVORS HEAVY SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA...THOUGH THERE
ARE TWO FACTORS THAT WILL LIMIT SNOW AMOUNTS IN A FEW LOCATIONS.
FIRST...THE MORE INTERIOR TRACK WILL ALLOW A PORTION OF SOUTHEAST
MASS TO DRY SLOT FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. RIGHT NOW...THIS LOOKS TO
HAPPEN FOR AT LEAST A COUPLE OF HOURS. THE OTHER CONCERN WILL BE ON
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS WHERE WARMER AIR IS LIKELY TO ALLOW A CHANGE TO
RAIN FOR A PERIOD OF TIME. THIS IS THEN WHERE WE HAVE THE MOST
UNCERTAINTY IN SNOW AMOUNTS. MODELS ALL INDICATE ABOUT AN INCH
OF QPF IN MOST LOCATIONS WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS UP TO ABOUT AN INCH AND
A HALF CONCENTRATED ROUGHLY IN THE AREA SOUTH AND EAST OF I-84 AND
I-495. THIS HAS TRANSLATED TO ABOUT A FOOT OF SNOW MOST OF THE AREA
/EXCEPT THE CAPE AND ISLANDS/ WITH AMOUNTS GREATER THAN 15 INCHES IN
CENTRAL MA AND PORTIONS OF EASTERN CT AND WESTERN RI.