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-   -   2012 Haul date (http://www.striped-bass.com/Stripertalk/showthread.php?t=79661)

nightfighter 10-22-2012 06:44 AM

2012 Haul date
 
Sucks. Going to haul out for the season this weekend, either 10/27 or 28.... Inshore cod spots have gone cold and my cc doesn't have enough shelter to make a run offshore on colder days. Hope to get out and give it hell on Friday and Saturday given current favorable forecasts, but work schedule is chock full... Have been doing well from the rocks, so time to go full time from the surf to wrap up the season. Still some nice fish around, but it certainly feels like they are staging up for a move south.

PRBuzz 10-22-2012 07:15 AM

From the source for all fishing reports Facebook: P Santini wrote: "graves and b bouy, they ate 10 oz jigs with pelican green teaser 85 feet of water plenty of macs and a few huge squid yesterday as well"

Nice picture a a deck full of cod posted!

piemma 10-22-2012 07:51 AM

Suppose to get a really bad rain storm over the coming weekend. As much as I hate it, I'm pulling someday this week.

Clammer 10-22-2012 08:03 AM

what weather are you watching ????????

&&&&&&& since when to we go with what they prodict ???:fishin:

Mr. Sandman 10-22-2012 08:31 AM

Moved the boat out of the slip and to a mooring in a protected pond. Will not have to worry about weather but no power or water so I had to empty the frige ;). Plan on hauling in mid Nov. Hope to bass/tog/tuna as much as I can weather permitting til then....then....scallop and clam for a couple months then hang it up and work on boat projects over the winter.

striperman36 10-22-2012 08:59 AM

Be very careful this coming week. Am tracking a potential Hurricance or Tropical Storm to potential hit the area with a minimum of siginficant rainfall tuesday through thursday of next week.
Although the event is 216-240 hours out the potential is there for siginficant weather.
More to come.

Mr. Sandman 10-22-2012 09:08 AM

This Afternoon
NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight
NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt... diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tue
NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue Night
SW winds around 5 kt...becoming se after midnight. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Wed
Se winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming NE in the afternoon. Seas 1 foot or less. A chance of showers.
Wed Night
NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Thu
E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu Night
Se winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri
SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 foot or less.
Fri Night
W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 foot or less. Seas are reported as significant wave height...which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.

that is as far as I can see. I only plan 1 or two days out at the most. Weather forecasting beyond that is a total crap shoot IMO

MakoMike 10-22-2012 09:34 AM

That only because NOAA doesn't believe the model that shows the storm heading our way. Several other models show the storm going out to sea. We'll see which one is right as we get closer.

striperman36 10-22-2012 09:38 AM

TwisterData.com | GFS 850 MB RELV Forecast


Wind vorticity - rotation at 0850 mb (1500 meters) midnight next Tuesday

striperman36 10-22-2012 09:40 AM

there is a trough coming across the country, depending on the up the coast movement of the storm before or after the trough passes through will dictate where the tropical storm goes.

As I said, it's early in the game, but something is in play for the middle of next week

Scuttlebutt 10-22-2012 09:52 AM

Bad storms always seem to hit us around this time... remember last year? Couldn't find a generator between New Jersey and the Canadian border. My power was out for 5 days...friggin cold man. Approximately 1.7 million customers in the Northeast were without electricity three days after the storm.

Clammer 10-22-2012 10:39 AM

just got back from the boat ,

went & got the bluecrabs that I had in a pen ......... blowin pretty good .
I need a dead west for tomorrow if I want to fish up tight ><><>:fishin:

Typhoon 10-22-2012 11:06 AM

Full moon and big momma extra tropical storm next week.

http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories...ctstorm-bw.gif

piemma 10-22-2012 11:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clammer (Post 964762)
what weather are you watching ????????

&&&&&&& since when to we go with what they prodict ???:fishin:

You're right Mike. I didn't pull for Irene and it was no biggie.

Typhoon 10-22-2012 11:43 AM

There's a huge difference in professional meteorologists and TV meteorologists.

This is a great resource for learning how real mets think. These guys have a huge pants tent for next week.

New England - American Weather

striperman36 10-22-2012 11:44 AM

I am looking at the public weather models available via the NWS, and others not publicly available but are used as part of our day to day business activities.

striperman36 10-22-2012 11:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Typhoon (Post 964854)
There's a huge difference in professional meteorologists and TV meteorologists.

This is a great resource for learning how real mets think. These guys have a huge pants tent for next week.

New England - American Weather

Every professional meteorologist in the NE is pitching on this one. You'll hear alot about Hazel

Hurricane Hazel

Typhoon 10-22-2012 12:45 PM

superbomb

http://i854.photobucket.com/albums/a...N_168_0000.gif

http://i854.photobucket.com/albums/a...gemglbPR12.gif

striperman36 10-22-2012 01:16 PM

Check the 1200z run it's offshore.

Typhoon 10-22-2012 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by striperman36 (Post 964877)
Check the 1200z run it's offshore.

I'm going to be glued to the models runs for the next week.

striperman36 10-22-2012 01:53 PM

I am d#^&#^&#^&#^&#^& into offices to avoid hallway collisions with overly excited metrologists

Typhoon 10-22-2012 01:55 PM

http://i854.photobucket.com/albums/a...1293/lScy8.gif

striperman36 10-22-2012 02:02 PM

the canadian gfs run is still showing it as right on top of us on tuesday

striperman36 10-22-2012 02:06 PM

http://meteocentre.com/models/gfs_am...N_168_0000.gif

Clammer 10-22-2012 05:34 PM

thats over a week away .tomorrow is a go & looks like @ least 3 -5 more days ><><>

striperman36 10-22-2012 05:55 PM

yes this week is a good stretch of calm

Typhoon 10-23-2012 05:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by striperman36 (Post 964944)

http://www.reactiongifs.com/wp-conte...J0J1qjnfl4.gif

piemma 10-23-2012 07:44 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Think it's going away

Typhoon 10-23-2012 07:48 AM

Different storm


http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/dat...s/at201218.gif

piemma 10-23-2012 07:51 AM

Ah. Sorry

striperman36 10-23-2012 08:52 AM

http://meteocentre.com/models/gfs_am...N_180_0000.gif

moving east

PRBuzz 10-23-2012 10:46 AM

The Perfect Storm: Possible Next Week… But Is It Likely? CBS Boston

Maybe?

Typhoon 10-23-2012 11:52 AM

I love Matt Noyes...best read so far. He's a weather weenie.

MATTNOYES.NET - NEW ENGLAND WEATHER ANALYSIS: Tuesday Update: Predictability increases for Sunday to Tuesday time frame, powerful coastal storm still quite possible

PRBuzz 10-23-2012 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Typhoon (Post 965117)

Nice report from Matt, an excerpt:

Mariners: The Navy NOGAPS WaveWatch 3 model puts waves of 36 to 42 feet into the Cape and Islands Sunday night (see map below, click to enlarge), and at one point the storm produces a remarkably large area of 20+ foot seas from 600 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida, to Provincetown, Massachusetts. Though this forecast may NOT be correct on specific timing, this should put into perspective why I'm concerned about the storm - even a fraction of this would be a significant event. Though you have some time, we may need to pull some boats from exposed locations, and you absolutely must monitor for updates before making plans for late-season fishing trips, as even a miss of several hundred miles would still bring life-threatening seas to New England waters.

striperman36 10-23-2012 12:21 PM

here's the public viewer of the model

NWW3 Product Viewer

striperman36 10-23-2012 12:26 PM

Matt Noyes is a very thorough metrologist, not just a talking head. Although the best NE metrologists are schooled at Lyndon College, not Cornell (:p). Lyndon is known for it's practice not academic approach to weather.

PRBuzz 10-23-2012 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by striperman36 (Post 965126)
here's the public viewer of the model

NWW3 Product Viewer

That seems to be using a forecast model which has the storm moving significantly farther east sooner than most other models?

striperman36 10-23-2012 12:32 PM

the latest gfs run shows the same thing.

http://meteocentre.com/models/gfs_am...V_156_0850.gif

It's gonna get cold!!! That blocking high over Greenland is the negative NAO block, we're gonna get drilled

striperman36 10-23-2012 01:12 PM

Here's our viewer same model

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi...2&set=SeaState

Typhoon 10-23-2012 01:37 PM

Euro is west


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