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Sea Dangles 10-16-2019 06:04 AM

Landslide
 
New polling from Moody’s predicts Trumps re-election bid to win easily. But hey,what do they know?

spence 10-16-2019 06:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Dangles (Post 1176970)
New polling from Moody’s predicts Trumps re-election bid to win easily. But hey,what do they know?

Same polling model said Clinton would win n 2016 :jester:

With the lineup of govt officials testifying against the admin now his chances of a nomination diminish daily.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Sea Dangles 10-16-2019 06:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 1176972)
Same polling model said Clinton would win n 2016 :jester:

With the lineup of govt officials testifying against the admin now his chances of a nomination diminish daily.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

That was the one time their prediction was wrong in history. But she was a lock,right?
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

spence 10-16-2019 07:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Dangles (Post 1176973)
That was the one time their prediction was wrong in history. But she was a lock,right?
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Favored for sure.

The Ukraine cat is out of the bag and it's getting uglier every day.

Trump, wait, the USA is being absolutely humiliated with Turkey and Trump has made one of the biggest foreign policy blunders of my lifetime because of his incompetence or possibly personal interests.

Your poll cites one factor being the economy as being the decider. I hate to tell you but automotive is already in a recession and much of manufacturing is nearly there. Agriculture has been hammered. Doesn't mean we're in a free fall but things aren't headed in a good direction.

scottw 10-16-2019 07:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 1176977)

. I hate to tell you but automotive is already in a recession and much of manufacturing is nearly there. Agriculture has been hammered. Doesn't mean we're in a free fall but things aren't headed in a good direction.

cheer up buttercup

PaulS 10-16-2019 07:14 AM

If the economy remains strong he has a good chance. However, I doubt the polls can capture what people believe about his personality, vile nature, lies and the turmoil he is causing in the world.

JohnR 10-16-2019 07:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scottw (Post 1176979)
cheer up buttercup


He's partially right.

But I don't see alternatives on the left right now.

Pete F. 10-16-2019 07:16 AM

Polling from Gallup indicates 52% of Americans support impeachment.
Time will tell if obstruction works and if Republicans will continue to enable Trump’s stupidity.
Now you can do a chorus of but Kavanaugh and the Dow.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

scottw 10-16-2019 07:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pete F. (Post 1176984)

Polling from Gallup indicates 52% of Americans support impeachment.

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95% of Americans read that and think...."hmmmm....I've never been polled about anything"

scottw 10-16-2019 07:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnR (Post 1176983)
He's partially right.

But I don't see alternatives on the left right now.

I'd vote for AOC :smokin:

Pete F. 10-16-2019 07:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by scottw (Post 1176985)
95% of Americans read that and think...."hmmmm....I've never been polled about anything"

And only around 60% vote, polls show trends quite well and support for Impeachment is rising consistently.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

JohnR 10-16-2019 07:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pete F. (Post 1176988)
And only around 60% vote, polls show trends quite well and support for Impeachment is rising consistently.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device


I'll ask Spence to answer


Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 1176972)
Same polling model said Clinton would win n 2016 :jester:


Pete F. 10-16-2019 08:07 AM

Polls always have a margin of error.
They are useful if you look at data, sampling and how they are worded. They definitely show trends.
Fivethirtyeight.com has some decent poll analysis and some great sports predictions too.
Deciding the election at this point in time is like picking which teams will be in next years playoffs and who will win.
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wdmso 10-16-2019 08:42 AM

When Trump supports think he has done nothing wrong even with the Transcripts .. But firmly believe Biden and his son are corrupt. With zero evidence and their concern surfaced only after biden was up in the polls they insist are only legitimate when they benfit Trump..
rationality is not skill many Trump supporters possess.. gullibility they have in spades however
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Raider Ronnie 10-16-2019 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PaulS (Post 1176982)
If the economy remains strong he has a good chance. However, I doubt the polls can capture what people believe about his personality, vile nature, lies and the turmoil he is causing in the world.



Doubt the polls include much of a % of his supporters.
A good % hide under the radar to avoid the backlash.
A bigger % are at work all day and not available to be polled.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

PaulS 10-16-2019 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Raider Ronnie (Post 1177008)
Doubt the polls include much of a % of his supporters.
A good % hide under the radar to avoid the backlash.
A bigger % are at work all day and not available to be polled.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

So you don't believe the poll SD mentioned?

Most of his supporters are old (cranky) retired (non college educated) white men. When I get asked to respond to a poll it is usually at night.

How would there be backlash at responding to a poll that you answered in the privacy of your home?

Pete F. 10-16-2019 01:03 PM

Gallup has 52% of Americans supporting Trump's impeachment/removal from office.

For Clinton, that never got higher than 35% before the GOP-led House voted to impeach him.

For Nixon, it got to 58% by Aug 1974 and he resigned on August 9th.

And it get's worse for all the President's men

Fourth defendant in Giuliani associates’ case arrested at New York airport

Nebe 10-16-2019 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by wdmso (Post 1176993)
When Trump supports think he has done nothing wrong even with the Transcripts .. But firmly believe Biden and his son are corrupt. With zero evidence and their concern surfaced only after biden was up in the polls they insist are only legitimate when they benfit Trump..
rationality is not skill many Trump supporters possess.. gullibility they have in spades however
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

https://youtu.be/MIggDyEWrJE
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Sea Dangles 10-16-2019 03:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 1176977)
Favored for sure.

The Ukraine cat is out of the bag and it's getting uglier every day.

Trump, wait, the USA is being absolutely humiliated with Turkey and Trump has made one of the biggest foreign policy blunders of my lifetime because of his incompetence or possibly personal interests.

Your poll cites one factor being the economy as being the decider. I hate to tell you but automotive is already in a recession and much of manufacturing is nearly there. Agriculture has been hammered. Doesn't mean we're in a free fall but things aren't headed in a good direction.

Jeff,I admit to making a reference but that does not mean the poll belongs to me. Did you misplace the brain again?
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

spence 10-16-2019 04:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sea Dangles (Post 1177029)
Jeff,I admit to making a reference but that does not mean the poll belongs to me. Did you misplace the brain again?
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Landslide
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Sea Dangles 10-16-2019 06:12 PM

That is the title,but there is content. I guess we will see how it plays out. You know there are many whistle blowers who could change things.

In fact,things have gotten SO bad that PeteF took out his red crayon.

Next thing you know Mitt Romulan will be talking down the Orange Caligula.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Got Stripers 10-16-2019 06:17 PM

I think Rudy is in deep sh*t and it’s looking like he isn’t the only one and Trump is feeling the heat.
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device


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