Here we go again...
 

Maybe it will miss entirely like last time.



SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAUNTON MA
359 PM EST THU FEB 9 2006

CTZ002>004-MAZ002>024-026-NHZ011-012-015-RIZ001>008-101000-
HARTFORD CT-TOLLAND CT-WINDHAM CT-WESTERN FRANKLIN MA-
EASTERN FRANKLIN MA-NORTHERN WORCESTER MA-CENTRAL MIDDLESEX MA-
WESTERN ESSEX MA-EASTERN ESSEX MA-WESTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-
WESTERN HAMPDEN MA-EASTERN HAMPSHIRE MA-EASTERN HAMPDEN MA-
SOUTHERN WORCESTER MA-WESTERN NORFOLK MA-SOUTHEAST MIDDLESEX MA-
SUFFOLK MA-EASTERN NORFOLK MA-NORTHERN BRISTOL MA-
WESTERN PLYMOUTH MA-EASTERN PLYMOUTH MA-SOUTHERN BRISTOL MA-
SOUTHERN PLYMOUTH MA-BARNSTABLE MA-DUKES MA-NANTUCKET MA-
NORTHERN MIDDLESEX MA-CHESHIRE NH-EASTERN HILLSBOROUGH NH-
WESTERN AND CENTRAL HILLSBOROUGH NH-NORTHWEST PROVIDENCE RI-
SOUTHEAST PROVIDENCE RI-WESTERN KENT RI-EASTERN KENT RI-
BRISTOL RI-WASHINGTON RI-NEWPORT RI-BLOCK ISLAND RI-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HARTFORD...WINDSOR LOCKS...UNION...
VERNON...PUTNAM...WILLIMANTIC...CHARLEMONT...GREEN FIELD...
ORANGE...BARRE...FITCHBURG...FRAMINGHAM...LOWELL.. .LAWRENCE...
GLOUCESTER...CHESTERFIELD...BLANDFORD...AMHERST... NORTHAMPTON...
SPRINGFIELD...MILFORD...WORCESTER...FOXBORO...NORW OOD...
CAMBRIDGE...BOSTON...QUINCY...TAUNTON...BROCKTON.. .PLYMOUTH...
FALL RIVER...NEW BEDFORD...MATTAPOISETT...CHATHAM...FALMOUTH...
PROVINCETOWN...VINEYARD HAVEN...NANTUCKET...AYER...JAFFREY...
KEENE...MANCHESTER...NASHUA...PETERBOROUGH...WEARE ...FOSTER...
SMITHFIELD...PROVIDENCE...WEST GREENWICH...WARWICK...BRISTOL...
NARRAGANSETT...WESTERLY...NEWPORT...BLOCK ISLAND
359 PM EST THU FEB 9 2006

...A POWERFUL NOREASTER WILL POTENTIALLY BRING HEAVY SNOW, VERY STRONG
WINDS AND POSSIBLY EVEN A ROUND OF COASTAL FLOODING TO THE REGION
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...

A RAPIDLY DEEPENING COASTAL STORM LOOKS TO PASS JUST SOUTHEAST OF
THE CAPE AND ISLANDS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. WE ARE CONFIDENT IN A
RAPIDLY DEEPENING COASTAL STORM...BUT THE TRACK MAY SHIFT UP TO 100
MILES NORTHWEST OR SOUTHEAST OF THIS POSITION. THE TRACK WILL HAVE A
HUGE IMPACT ON WHO GETS THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND THE STRONGEST WINDS.

IF THE TRACK IS OVER CAPE COD...THE HEAVIEST SNOW WOULD BE NORTHWEST
OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR. ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR...A
PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW WOULD STILL OCCUR BUT DRIER AIR WOULD SHUT OFF
THE PRECIPITATION FOR A TIME. THE SNOW WOULD EVEN CHANGE TO A PERIOD
OF RAIN ACROSS FAR SOUTHEAST MASSACHUSETTS...CAPE COD AND THE
ISLANDS.

THE OTHER OPTION IS FOR THE STORM TO TRACK A GOOD DISTANCE SOUTHEAST
OF THE CAPE AND ISLANDS. THIS TRACK WOULD RESULT IN HEAVY SNOW ALONG
AND SOUTHEAST OF THE I-95 CORRIDOR...WITH A LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW
ACROSS THE INTERIOR.

DEPENDING ON THE TRACK AND HOW QUICKLY THE STORM INTENSIFIES WIND
GUSTS BETWEEN 45 AND 60 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST LATE
SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THIS WILL ALSO DETERMINE IF WE SEE A MINOR
TO MODERATE COASTAL FLOOD EVENT AT THE TIME OF HIGH TIDE ON SUNDAY.
HIGH TIDE IN BOSTON OCCURS AT 1045 AM ON SUNDAY MORNING.

WE ARE STILL 2 TO 3 DAYS OUT FROM THIS STORM. HOWEVER...THE
POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A MAJOR WINTER STORM. STAY TUNED TO LATER
FORECASTS AND FOR POSSIBLE WATCHES IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

$$