Earl
 

Interesting track:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphi...085331W_sm.gif

For reference, the image track from 10am 8/31/2010

Should be fun driving over the newport bridge sat morn
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Will post the latest once the Navy and Air Force update their models.
The models are trending more westward as we get closer.

Don't bet any money on it until within the T-48 hour window. There is a 200-300 mi variance in the models at T-96 or greater.

That's quite the shift westward from yesterday's models.

Correct posted models are interpolated from the the 0200 run. Need to wait another hour or so to get this mornings runs.

Looking almost like the track of '38
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

but it'll be a cat 2 by then

You hope!

That's an often seen track for Hurricanes. Once it gets in the groove it just rides the coast , still s#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&g energy from the water but beating the heck out of the whole coast line.

Lets hope it goes East!

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/dat...1007_model.gif

still trending west, about 60 pct of the models have been updated to the 0800 EDT run

the 40N-70W benchmark is significant bellwether. We are going to get some weatha , how much. we'll find out tomorrow.

Hope it is over by Saturday night. One of the biggest bluefish tournaments in New england is here on Cape Ann with over 600 fishermen on Sunday. We have the Lanesville Bluefish Tournament on Sunday of labor day weekend.

dON'T OPEN THE DOOR FRIDAY IT MIGHT BE eARL

Guessing this one will be quite forgettable!:uhuh:

So was Bob, and Carol. I was only a year old when Carol hit the cape, but I've seen the pictures. And I remember good old Bob very well. Comm Electric had a 100% customer power outage--some for as long as 10 days. Thousands of downed trees, boats blown on shore. And that sucker hit us at low tide.

Believe me--110 to 120 mph sustained winds can cause plenty of damage, as can a 10' or greater storm surge.

200 pm runs show it moving more easterly, good alignment with most models, should see this more in the next few runs
http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/dat...1007_model.gif

I remember a pile of boats on the bar in Marblehead, MA for one of those storms. Had to clean it up with frontend loaders and trailer dumps.

Any room on the boat? That's a good money tourney that even a chump like me could win if the right Bluefish runs into my lure. Then again there could be only a few boats out there and a shore fish may take the prize...

The blues still here since the last storm? Did see a guy on Channel 7 with one grinning like an idiot in the story about a guy losing his life...

Yeah, i wonder, will the tourney still be on with the hurricane coming through?

The good news is that:

a) the storm is moving fast but the time it gets up here and we should not have any intense winds for long durations.

b) the fact that we are on the downwind side and the storm is advancing fast, the peak wind will be lower.

Unless this makes a move to the west (which is unlikely with the big front moving thru) we should be OK ...yes there will be trees down and power outages but again I think the good news is that it is outtahere fast.

I took my outriggers off and dropped antennas, removed all canvas and cushions outside...tomorrow will put it on a mooring in tashmoo and double up on the line and make sure there is a good chafe protection and keep my fingers crossed.

Just got back from doubling the lines. IMHO all we're going to see in RI is some tropical storm force winds.

unknown reason
 

my power was out this morning when we woke up...

talk about an electrical gizmo addiction fit... kinda feeling

plus, i had to much wine (it was free) ---> :point: hangover
and i couldn't make coffee :hs:

i hate when that happens.... friggan Earl's Fault i bet :grins:
in advance

Jinking west a little.

can't wait to see the 0800 models. the high pressure is moving off and the trough expected before the cold front is slowing down.
It could be an ACK smacker or the hooter in muskeget channel

Im going to go out on a limb and say im not the only one who is kind of excited for a good storm. Im not taking katrina type stuff. I remember Gloria from when i was a kid living in NYC and it was pretty cool, but id like to see another.

hold on to your hats boys, he's a comin!


I'm thinking of wearing my souwester into work on friday!

I have a backyard big enough for a double-wide FEMA trailer - I hope we get the new ones....

Ugh. Not liking this am's tracks. Two of five models now have it heading for the upper Cape.

just read that the track is 30 miles off nantucket, I think it was 60 yesterday