Mop up that mess quick... Is Katia next?
 

I hope this thing decides to avoid the lower 48 by a wide berth, the boat goes back in today:fury:

I like the name better.

-spence

Jim, just reading to newspaper on line Storm Erodes South Shore, Imperiling Homes - 8/30/11 - Vineyard Gazette Online

Looks like some things have changed :fishin: would love some first hand reports pictures :uhuh: Please

If I read this correct , the only way to Wasque is now from east beach ? :confused:

VB

they will NOT stop!

they just keep on coming

It's O'bamas fault

Al Qaeda has learned to manipulate weather

It was windy and some spill over but nothing compared to VT . The South side erosion is a cyclic thing and the storm did little to the breach. I went out right before the storm and will have to go out again and have a fresh look but from what I heard, it is pretty much the same. Over the winter we had new breaches into the ponds that closed up by summer. The storm was more of an inconvenience than a major catastrophe. Again, I feel sorry for the good folks of VT who had to witness historic covered bridges giving way and highways undermined and collapsed. We had nothing like that.

I was out on a boat today...the water was murky and very weedy. It will take some time to settle. That said, the morning after the storm at 7:00am right in front of the OB SSA dock erupted with either bones or albies....nobody was fishing them. Lots of small bait around.

Hoping we don't get another storm as I think the fishing will be very good here this fall otherwise, it was not that big of a disruption.

Damn! Better start bording up for the next one

one of these storms
is gonna put everyone out of work
rebuilding everything back....

it was a war that revived America
after the great depression

mother Nature's war of wind and water
may do the same thing.

cat1!

Couple of things concern me.

One, today's models have it coming farther west before turning NW, although most still have it going out to sea well south of us. The GFS model is the most favorable one for us.

Two, the developing TS in the Gulf can pull it farther west, according to some of the forecasters watching it. NOAA gives that a 70% of becoming a TS over the next few days.

They closed all the beaches after the storm. (typical) Keep in mind there was a hell of a lot of erosion BEFORE the storm. Norton point is history there is a 15' vertical wall of dirt dropping right off into the ocean in some places. It took out that pond and is working on the parking lot and a house near the air down lot.

Then, the storm hit. I am sure it made it worse. I probably will not go out there until next week. To be honest...the fishing from other places has been better this year and I see no reason to pay the ferry trip and be forced to leave at midnight.

Cat 3..........kitten 2

Big model shift today.
:devil2:

OK...Here is YOUR chance to play weatherman... What will Katia do.


a) will it hit the lower 48 ?
b) if so where will the first landfall be?
c) will NE be effected, if so how bad?
d) how strong will it get at landfall.


Should we :

a) not worry
b) through an extra set of lines on
c) seek safe harbor and haul
d) evacuate and abandon everything

give me your best guess

Sounds like it will likely be pushed far southeast of the Vineyard.
I hope.

Here is a link to the models Tropical Storm Katia : Computer Model Hurricane Forecasts : Weather Underground

Makes me want to get a generator.

just SE of ACK, which gets trop. storm force winds.

i just ordered a 6000 w natural gas one thur a friend, just have to get it installed when it arrives!!

love my natural gas generator...seamless power when the power goes out...

what brand and model number? Do they have transfer switches and auto start based on line voltage drops?

Thinking about getting something. What I lost in the freezer in food cost would have paid a big chunk of the gen. cost. :mad:

Watch just when I get my power back on, we'll get hit again!

For temp transportable:
Tractor Supply: Champion 4000w
Will run fridge/computer/modem & router/couple lights quite happily.

Bout $400-500 out the door.

my 3000w power inverter works great running of my truck.

Every model now has it going well west of Bermuda, and forecast to be at cat 3 strength by Monday.

Attachment 48282

Hate to wish misery on others but I hope it just keeps going towards the west!

It seems that our fate rests in the hands of Tropical Storm Talas in the Pacific- :

the long-range forecast for Katia has more than the usual amount of uncertainty, due to the inability of the computer models to agree on what will happen to Tropical Storm Talas in the Western Pacific. Talas is expected to hit Japan early on Saturday as a strong tropical storm, then race northwestwards into the Bering Sea off the coast of Alaska. Talas is then expected to transition into a powerful extratropical storm in the waters south of Alaska. This storm will create a ripple effect downstream in the jet stream, all the way to North America, by early next week. The timing and amplitude of the trough of low pressure off the U.S. East Coast expected to potentially recurve Katia out to sea next week is highly dependent upon the strength of Tropical Storm Talas during its transition to an extratropical storm. The computer models are not very good at handling these sorts of transitions, leading to more than the usual amount of uncertainty in the long-range outlook for Katia. It will probably be another 2 - 3 days before the models will begin to converge on a solution for the long-term fate of Katia. One almost certain impact of Katia on the U.S. will be large waves. Long period swells from Katia will begin affecting the Bahamas on Sunday night, then reach the Southeast U.S. by Monday morning. By Tuesday morning, the entire U.S. East Coast will see high surf from Katia, and these waves will increase in size and power as the storm grows closer. Given the slow movement of Katia as it approaches the coast, plus its expected Category 1 to 3 strength as it approaches, the storm will probably cause extensive beach erosion and dangerous rip tides for many days.