Sandy's Visit
 

Models are moving more into agreement with a westward movement of Sandy across LI into the CT River Valley as shown yesterday.
Most US meteorologic organizations are starting to compare this to Hurricane Hazel or the gale of 1878

Hang out here for updates.


http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb...N_180_0000.gif

http://meteocentre.com/models/ecmwf_...N_168_0000.gif

Hurricane sandy now.

What amazes me is the model agreement this far out and major mets talking in absolute terms.

This is still 6 days away.

Yes, it is amazing

Here is the blended 4-7 map from the hpc center

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/5dayfcst_wbg.gif

That should take care of all the leaves in my yard

well this is 2 threads ya have going on about Sandy ;;

better hurry .........ya got alot more forums to put the {STORM} in .

Idle time .leaves wondering minds :smash:

I had this one cow tamer opened the other one.

Who has time to read them? How's Paul's rock btw

Met is showing it around 935-940 when it gets here.

Knox isn't buying it
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Not holding my breath either way.

S-36

he has it posted ...........off limits >>500 feet :fishin:


Paul told me today he is going to pull the rock before the storm :wall:

Latest model runs could bring a direct hit!

thanks for the Heads up Bill :wave:

Wobbling left.

Most recent model runs have it coming ashore somewhere between Block Island and Atlantic City.

Here's the latest GFS Wind Model - OMG noonish on Monday through THURSDAY 30 KT +

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi...au=000&set=All

Just checked the latest GFS Model. AT 6:00PM on Tuesday it puts the center just south of LI. Check out the pressure and gradients. Amazing!

Attachment 53431

Model on early Wednesday...just about over NYC.

Attachment 53432

Then late Wednesday the system actually backs up a little over LI again.

Attachment 53433

The last image (which I was unable to post) shows the center in central Vermont on Thursday. After last year's storm I said screw it...I went out last night and bought a generator.

the NAO has this thing blocked from going North
the tilted trough/front is not moving fast enough to consume it

it is not going to be a pleasant week.

Now another GFS run just came out...this is amazing. Now they have the center moving further off shore then taking a left turn just south of LI...then moving counter clockwise back over NYC, New Jersey and Pennsylvania...then looping back over LI again...then over central Mass...I give up...never seen anything like this...guess we will just wait and see. Here is the animated link.

GFS : Animations

that's wild

GFS : Animations

Still rumbling around on the 12z run

Now its gonna plow us down and take a victory lap down through LIS.

And I just changed my damn truck rental (for the third time) to Wednesday. Should be an interesting trip up the eastern seaboard on Thu/Fri.

take the inland route through Hartford Kevin

Dud!
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

Definitely... I hate I95 with a passion. Looks like we're gonna get smoked down here in PA. Will be a long night monitoring the basement- as long as the power holds up I'll be OK with the sump pump, but if not it's gonna be a lot of towel wringing

NHC has Sandy turning left on Tuesday into the Delmarva Peninsula. Chicken Country

http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/dat...01218_5day.gif

good, I'm sick of chicken

Altough our buds in south jersey have to bear the brunt of Sandy's landfall, NWS has identified a SECOND area of hurricane force winds caused by the pressure compression of the colliding cold front heading south and the expansive wind field of Sandy along all southern MA, RI coasts

be careful, very careful

I left the boat in....I still want to tog fish when everything settles out next week.
This should stress test my new custom R&W pennant (dual 1" double braid with a heavy sling link) . I should be OK.

Looks like mainly a wind event for us. My worry now is that there are a few comm guys who don't take care of anything who stay in the same mooring field, some of their pennants are old worn out crap and none of them carry any insurance. Almost every comm guy I met out here does not believe in insurance. If his boat hits mine I will probably have to take matters into my my own hands, lets hope it does not come to that! Also there is a sail boat behind me that has not moved in 8 years. Looks like hell. The mooring gear is solid though.

Monday night should be interesting.

watch out for surge, remember the foot shot from the dock from Irene.

We really won't know until she turns left where we are going to be weathewise