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-   -   Hurricane Sandy (http://www.striped-bass.com/Stripertalk/showthread.php?t=79691)

cow tamer 10-24-2012 11:07 AM

Hurricane Sandy
 
Sandy is officially a hurricane.

FishermanTim 10-24-2012 11:35 AM

Hey, no offense to the weatherman on Fox, but if you need to explain every possible variable for where this storm MAY go, and it entails a catestrophic shift of the jet stream over the next 3 days, maybe you're reaching a little to far!

The forecast model for the predicted path of this storm only contains 2.....YES, ONLY 2 possible cases where the storm would be drawn in towards the coast and hit us squarely on the south coast.
The problem is that these 2 possiblities require the jet stream to drop down from Canada to Florida within the next 3 days.
Forgive, but if that were to happen, the hurricane would be our LAST concern!!!!!

(Sounds like someone is trying to glorify their position for contract renewal time!)

JohnnyD 10-24-2012 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FishermanTim (Post 965262)
Hey, no offense to the weatherman on Fox, but if you need to explain every possible variable for where this storm MAY go, and it entails a catestrophic shift of the jet stream over the next 3 days, maybe you're reaching a little to far!

The forecast model for the predicted path of this storm only contains 2.....YES, ONLY 2 possible cases where the storm would be drawn in towards the coast and hit us squarely on the south coast.
The problem is that these 2 possiblities require the jet stream to drop down from Canada to Florida within the next 3 days.
Forgive, but if that were to happen, the hurricane would be our LAST concern!!!!!

(Sounds like someone is trying to glorify their position for contract renewal time!)

The meteorologists have to be cover their tails so they don't get jail time like the Italians did.
Italian scientists resign over L'Aquila quake verdicts - CNN.com



While the above is said in jest, I do agree that it's rather silly how they make mountains out of molehills. But, I guess they have to talk about something.

striperman36 10-24-2012 12:06 PM

Say what you will, however, the models show more than 2 options. I've looked at and discussed with the metro guys I work with showing all models shifting to a more westerly track for Sandy.

Typhoon 10-24-2012 12:31 PM

Quickly turning from fun weather geek stuff at some outlying models to "holy sh*t".

That my friends is a monster storm.

http://i854.photobucket.com/albums/a...1293/slp24.png

striperman36 10-24-2012 12:38 PM

Look at the NOGAPS forcast winds for Sunday.

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi...6&set=Tropical

Ian 10-24-2012 02:38 PM

More and more models have the system over our head pulling strong enough to make next week interesting

wader-dad 10-24-2012 03:23 PM

1 Attachment(s)
3:00 US Model hanging a left.

There is a consensus forming in weather forecast models that hurricane Sandy is unlikely to go out to sea. Instead, it more likely will merge with a strong fall cold front and transition into a powerhouse, possibly historic mid-latitude storm along the mid-Atlantic and/or Northeast coast Sunday through Wednesday.

The majority of models now take Sandy from its current position over Jamaica northward over the Bahamas before curving the storm towards either the mid-Atlantic or Northeast coast. Models disagree on where the storm will recurve and make landfall: simulations vary from the mid-Atlantic to Maine. There remains a chance, though diminishing, the storm will slide harmlessly out to sea.

The location of the storm’s landfall is very important for determining exactly what local impacts will be. Not everyone will experience significant or dangerous storm conditions. But suffice to say, coastal regions from the Carolinas through eastern Canada are likely to get battered by tremendous surf and face a real risk of significant to severe coastal flooding. This storm will be a slow mover meaning large waves may pound the coast for lengthy time periods. Not to mention, the wind and waves will raise the water level, bringing ashore a multiple foot storm surge in regions close to where the storm makes landfall (assuming it does so).

Making matters worse, the storm will coincide with a full moon Monday night, meaning elevated tides above normal levels. Astronomically high tides have played a key role in historic coastal flooding events along the East Coast, such as the Ash Wednesday storm of March, 1962.

joebaggs99 10-24-2012 05:23 PM

Can you say "White Water"

spinncognito 10-24-2012 05:26 PM

Can you say "abrupt end to the season"? Of course the fishing leading up to the storm could prove epic for some....

striperman36 10-24-2012 05:28 PM

I'll be out Saturday

Rob Rockcrawler 10-24-2012 06:01 PM

Jim Cantore just said millions will be without power, we are so screwed. Just like this time last year but without the snow.

striperman36 10-24-2012 06:20 PM

NWS briefing today said 'potentially billions in damages'

Nebe 10-24-2012 06:41 PM

Crap. I just turned my glass furnace on today. Do you guys think Rhode Island will be without electricity for longer than a day??
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device

striperman36 10-24-2012 06:51 PM

ask me Sunday

Nebe 10-24-2012 06:55 PM

hahaha

bart 10-24-2012 06:57 PM

WOW

Clammer 10-24-2012 07:03 PM

well,,, fished today /

fishing tomorrow & Friday .

then I,m off . not cuz a storm But commitments Sat . thru Tuesday .

The good news is all this huff & puff .....will have guys pulling their boats ......... which is great by me .

Even thru ..........I have never seen so few boats fishing as I have this year.

I didn,t go to the Providence River in the spring & I don,t bother going to block S))))))) that eleminates 75% on them :fishin:

stripermaineiac 10-24-2012 08:42 PM

So much for goin back to Rhody this weekend through tues.

Tagger 10-25-2012 03:44 AM

Go out to sea please !!!!

PRBuzz 10-25-2012 04:52 AM

Maybe this says it all: "'We don't have many modern precedents for what the models are suggesting,' forecaster says".

likwid 10-25-2012 05:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rob Rockcrawler (Post 965328)
Jim Cantore just said millions will be without power, we are so screwed. Just like this time last year but without the snow.

Wherever Jim Cantore goes these day it misses.
I bet he goes to Long Island.

piemma 10-25-2012 05:31 AM

My new theory:
Weathermen are like politicians. Both of them are full of SHYT

DZ 10-25-2012 06:42 AM

I hate these storms. But there's always a chance of Snowstorm Blitz II. Piemma and crew would be in on it.

DZ

striperman36 10-25-2012 06:43 AM

http://meteocentre.com/models/gfs_am...N_120_0000.gif

http://meteocentre.com/models/ecmwf_...N_120_0000.gif


Not looking real SHYTTY

striperman36 10-25-2012 06:51 AM

https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/wxmap_cgi...8.atlantic.gif

Skishing anyone?

slow eddie 10-25-2012 07:07 AM

let's face it. it's 1600+ miles away. the weather people can't tell us what's happening tommorow.
except michelle m. my sweetheart...........

piemma 10-25-2012 07:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DZ (Post 965398)
I hate these storms. But there's always a chance of Snowstorm Blitz II. Piemma and crew would be in on it.

DZ

Dennis, I was thinking the same thing. I have heard rumors of a blizzard next weekend. WOW!!!

striperman36 10-25-2012 08:23 AM

if sandy hit us or northward
mid-atlantic states would have a blizzard

BigFish 10-25-2012 08:45 AM

I love the panic......betting sunny in the 60's all next week!


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