View Single Post
Old 12-17-2014, 01:45 PM   #8
JFigliuolo
Registered User
iTrader: (0)
 
JFigliuolo's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Cumberland, RI
Posts: 2,264
I’ve been keeping out of this.... But F IT!
Here’s the little gem of knowledge people conveniently keep missing.
EQUIVALENCY ONLY WORKS IF IT IS APPLIED ACROSS THE ENTIRE POPULATION EQUALLY!!!

Either ALL fisherman get 1@28 or ALL get 2@33.

Let me break it down for you like you are a 6 year old...

A. If the limit for EVERYONE is 1 @28 then shmucks who can’t fish KILL SLIGHTLY Less. (Cause they aren't very good). Better Fisherman (CHARTERS) will KILL MUCH LESS (1/2 as much likely)

B. If the limit for EVERYONE is 2@33 Shmucks will KILL MUCH LESS, because they can’t catch fish that big. Better fisherman (CHARTERS) will kill SLIGHTLY less.

C. If the limit for Shmucks is 1@28 They kill SLIGHTLY LESS, If the limit for better fisherman (CHARTERS) is 2@33 they kill SLIGHTLY less.

A 25% reduction can be achieved (if you believe the science) with A and B. The difference being WHAT users group takes the bigger hit. C Does not work as NEITHER group takes a BIG ENOUGH reduction.

I work with statistics day in and day out and know more than I care to about applying statistics across populations and sub populations.

Anyone who says that you can have 2 sets of different rules for 2 VERY different populations is either incompetent or deceitful

Good judgement comes from experience, and experience comes from bad judgement -- Keith Benning
JFigliuolo is online now   Reply With Quote