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Old 03-24-2020, 08:20 AM   #151
Pete F.
Canceled
 
Join Date: Jun 2003
Location: vt
Posts: 13,429
Quote:
Originally Posted by scottw View Post
Pete....updated March 24 using worldometers

SK has 9,037 cases and 120 deaths 1.32%
US has 48,168 cases and 582 deaths 1.204%

if you claim that SK had tested "massively" more .....then those case numbers should pretty accurate and if you claim that we have thousands of cases running around yet untested our % should be an even lower number...

try to make sense , I know it's difficult in these challenging times
How does that possibly make sense?
With dates roughly the same:
South Korea has tested 6109 people per million out of about 52 million.
USA has tested 339 per million out of 327 million.

Death rates are only reasonably certain as historical records, not determinable until you can determine how many people actually had the disease.
Start with one case, and there is no reason to believe that when it was discovered there was only one case. Take a guess from there as to how many people are infected in the US.
Currently the Ro is not determined for the US, it is dependent on a number of factors, duration, opportunity, probability and subseptibility.

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