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There is no way we are going to get into a real fight with Iran. Unlike Afghanistan and Iraq they actually have a military and could put up a fight. I'm not saying we couldn't still kick their butts, but if we did anything on the ground it would be no cakewalk, and we simply do not have the troops to do it properly.
I could envision air strikes if they don't meet the IAEA goals by this fall, but even this is risky. Unless we are dead sure the EU and Russia are willing to play on our side, Iran may try to play it out long enough for them to get a stronger position.
-spence
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