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The global warming debate and storm intensity is an interesting one, very controversial, and unproven... in my opinion what you need to be watching as soon as a storm is formed/named is look for the bermuda high, which may or may not be controlled by the North Atlantic Oscillation; it steers the storms this way or that...
if it's cooler water it will drop the intensity but not change the storm track...
As far as being due... there are statsitical storms calculated out, for 10yr, 25yr, 50yr and 100yr storms; this means that a 100 year storm has a 1% chance of occuring any given year, and we could have one 3 years in a row, or two a year; its purely modeled and statistics;
For SoCo RI, an example of a 10yr storm = Bliz of Dec 1992
example of a 25yr storm = Bliz of 1978
example of a 50yr storm = hurricane carol
example of a 100yr storm = 1938...
So are we due? you do the math.....
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