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Mr. Sandman · 11-03-2005, 01:12 PM

If the over fishing threshold remained .41 and they tweaked the model and it now comes in at .40 where the previous model would predict .6 or more it begs to ask what is the error of the prediction. (All scientific measurements and predictions should have a formal error analysis. Results should some % confidence band.)

Moreover, if that is really the case (they change the model as Burns cites) That implies that in past several years that we have been way over fishing and it appears to me they the formula was conveniently tweaked to meet the sub .41 limit. It does smell a little fishy...

11-03-2005, 01:12 PM	#8
Mr. Sandman Registered User iTrader: (0) Join Date: Sep 2001 Posts: 7,649	Mako, Yeah But If the over fishing threshold remained .41 and they tweaked the model and it now comes in at .40 where the previous model would predict .6 or more it begs to ask what is the error of the prediction. (All scientific measurements and predictions should have a formal error analysis. Results should some % confidence band.) Moreover, if that is really the case (they change the model as Burns cites) That implies that in past several years that we have been way over fishing and it appears to me they the formula was conveniently tweaked to meet the sub .41 limit. It does smell a little fishy...