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I never thought the bass say "lets hang around the water is warm" the migrate on instinct and the need to feed. when the bait moves, the bass move regardless of water temp, if the bait is at montauk then so are the fish. The bait migrates also and the bass follow. In the fall bass will pop up one night and not the next, it hit and move. A certain area may be doing well and that is beacise the bait has hung around. All it takes is one good blow this time of the year to shut that right off. No matter how its sliced, the season is nearing a rapid end. I dont consider blizes of fish iin the 20 to 30inch range to be a big deal , I am talking about the large fish, even teen size fish are school bass. The first fish to arrive in the spring are schoolies and, the last to leave are schoolies...........
When I see the reports of blitzing school bass for 3-4 hours some afternoon, I know that signals the last fish to leave. I dont chase that stuff and still fish at night hoping for the occasional brute to swim past.
The latest I have ever got a fish on an eel was at block Island the first week of december and on the mainland it was always two weeks before that when it came to a rapid stop with "wader watchers" driving up and down the beach all day screaming and yelling that they saw some gannets.....big deal...its herring and 9 times out of ten its bluefish under them and 1/2 mile off shore to boot!
These are just my opinions and observations.
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