I have a hunch that come May 15th the water temp will be +/- 1 degree from the average. That means that between May 1 and May 15 the average Temp at the Newport Tide gauge will be 52. I'd bet a beer on it being right around there..
As far as a hunch. I HOPE the cape has fish. and people talk about it... get em out of here

but... lesson learned here... good or bad fishing.. keep your mouth shut.....