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The lag times between slack at the breachways are also influenced by wind, surf, tide extremes, the influence of tropical storms, etc.
Its a tough one to peg - the only way to be sure not to miss it is to always be early.
David Pickering did a good article about it in the NEF about 15 years ago - I'm surprised nobody remembers it. Maybe I'll approach him about buying the reprint rights for the web - unless one of you guys want to.
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