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It'll probably be the isobar crunch more then Ernesto itself causing the issues. We're going to be sitting in the middle of the blocking high and Ernesto to some degree. Maybe less rain but plenty of wind? I'm just playing amateur meteorologist, but that would be my guess as to why the NWS has such a negative marine forecast.
6 to 9ft though? I'll beleive it when I see it...
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