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Back Beach makes some good points. I fish 3 spots 95% of the time, all around five minutes from my house. All 3 spots can produce big fish, but I've never experienced the big-fish bite to last more than a couple hours max. I try to keep a pretty detailed log, and up to this point I have not been able to predict with any certainty when a spot is guaranteed to fire. I believe it's possible to have a much better handle on things than I do, but I'm not there yet. Part of the fun for me is trying to make sense of it all. I think a lot of the appeal of fishing for large fish would evaporate if I had it all figured out.
Another good point BB makes is the difference between hooking and landing big fish. The spots I fish make it very tricky to land big fish. Since I like my spots I'm content to lose a lot of fish while trying to figure out how to improve my odds. This is an interesting thread.
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