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Joe, good thing you replied to this thread because you are in one of the pics that accompanies the article and named in the caption.
I think it is because the first cast is so high percentage, as Joe pointed out, that the first cast curse is actually a real thing. I know it's incorrect to draw behaviorial comparisons to humans, but if I saw one of my buddies get yanked out of the water, I would get the hell out of there!
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