Okay, here goes. my estimate would be 8 fish. I use the theory of letting big fish on an open beach tire themselves out. A tired fish is easier to land in a moderate swell with the effects of the new moon pulling water across the bars. June fish, as EdB pointed out are in cooler water and that makes them, in my experience, and especially after just swimming 900 plus miles, some of the toughest fighting fish of the year. Also, as KarlF and a few others pointed out the bite is steady and a five cast to one fish ratio is right on the money and I work needles very very slowly. Add the inevitable dropped fish or two and you have the 8 count as far as my calcs go.
There are other mitigating factors as well. Leader chafe, knot strength (was that improved clinch knot on the clip snug enough???)
The water is lowering constantly and some of these fish are going over the bar and dragging the braid through the sand, braid doesn't really respond well to that. Furthemore, is that last years braid?
Many factors to think about and consider plus the level of excitement of the angler. Some are calm and cool, some, like myself, get wired when fish are hitting and caution can be somehow overshadowed by the thought of is this the "big one" I have been waiting for for 40 years.
There is no real right answer. It's based on personal skill levels and experience and your fish catching methodologies.
Thanks for your responses!
