Quote:
Originally Posted by striperman36
It the chance they will or they will end up in the wrong hands ala 24
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Yea, because after spending billions and making their people suffer (as that money isn't being spent on them) for years they're going to just let one get loose?
Doesn't sound very likely to me.
They hate al Qaeda, not going there.
Hamas? Not a chance...
Personally I think they're playing a dangerous game. If a nuke (god forbid) did go off somewhere, because of their programs they will be seen as a target of retaliation regardless of their true position. Ultimately, people are most interested in their own survival (Libya fits well here) and unless there really is a doomsday cult with their finger on the button there are few scenarios in which an Iranian nuke situation plays out.
Perhaps the most likely is a defensive position against Arabs to the southwest, and to maintain the military dictatorship against a rising populist movement.
Now all that's not to say that I think a nuclear Iran is a good thing, certainly a new arms race in the Middle East isn't in our interest. But if our policy is based only on extremes it's probably not going to deliver. To date we've wanted it all, disarmament and regime change...it's clear we're probably not going to get both, at least not at the same time.
-spence