|
POSSIBLY MOVING
OFFSHORE JUST AS A POTENTIALLY STRONG COASTAL OR OFFSHORE LOW
PRESSURE CENTER MAY TAKE SHAPE. MOST MODELS SIGNALING A STRONG STORM
DEVELOPING FRIDAY NIGHT...PASSING WELL SE OF NANTUCKET SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...THIS LOW MAY ACTUALLY SLOW DOWN...IF THE UPPER LEVEL
VORTEX CAPTURES IT.ONE THEME THAT CONTINUES THIS MORNING IS THAT THERE IS A GOOD
LIKELIHOOD OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS MOST OF THE REGION. THE QUESTION
IS HOW MUCH MOISTURE WILL FALL...WHICH IS ALL IMPORTANT AS IT APPEARS
THAT THE MAJORITY OF ANY PRECIP WILL BE SNOW THOUGH THERE MAY BE
SOME MIXTURE OR CHANGE TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST. HAVE CARRIED LIKELY
POPS FOR MOST AREAS...EXCEPT ALONG SECTIONS OF THE S COAST /FOR NOW/
ON FRIDAY...SHIFTING TO THE E COAST BY SATURDAY. DID NOT CARRY QUITE
AS MUCH QPF AS PREVIOUS FORECAST...BUT THIS ALONG WITH MANY OTHER
DETAILS ARE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.
THIS POTENTIAL SYSTEM WILL CONTINUED TO BE MONITORED CAREFULLY...AS
WE HAVE SEVERAL MORE MODEL RUNS TO EXAMINE PRIOR TO FRIDAY. THE LAST
SEVERAL EVENTS THIS WINTER HAVE SHOWN US THAT...IF THIS LOW BECOMES
MORE AMPLIFIED...THE SYSTEM/S TRACK COULD SHIFT CLOSER TO THE COAST.
WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR MODEL TRENDS FOR MORE CONSENSUS. STAY TUNED
FOR FURTHER UPDATES.
I'll know better tonight after I read the HPC discussions of the 12z runs this if from the 06z runs
|