Just checked the latest GFS Model. AT 6:00PM on Tuesday it puts the center just south of LI. Check out the pressure and gradients. Amazing!
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Model on early Wednesday...just about over NYC.
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Then late Wednesday the system actually backs up a little over LI again.
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The last image (which I was unable to post) shows the center in central Vermont on Thursday. After last year's storm I said screw it...I went out last night and bought a generator.