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I'm not so sure that it's written in stone. The ECMWF model keeps on having it come farther and father north before it makes that left turn. Looks like landfall is now predicted between LBI and Sandy Hook. Bad news for NYC and LI. Keep in mind that the strongest winds and highest storm surges are on the east side of the storm, usually. Now they're saying TS force winds extending 500 miles from the center.
It won't go west very long, either. They have it turning straight north around the NY/PA border. Also very bad news for the areas drowned by Irene last year. It is now forecast to maintain hurricane strength until landfall.
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