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Does this theory hold water (no pun intended)¿
If the water temps got uncharacteristically warm this summer, then the time it takes them to come back down in the fall would also extend out past traditional times. If the water temps are remaining warmer, longer in Northern locations, then you have a clash.
Some of these fish probably rely on the conditions to dictate their migratory patterns. (When the water gets colder, time to move south.) While others are driven by habit (doesn't matter how warm it is, October comes, I head south.)
If this time for water temps to cool off to winter temperatures is getting drawn out, then the concentration of migrating fish at any one time would take a hit. Might help explain why the fish have been around but difficult to find...
Of course there is that whole, "the fishery is dying" thing too.... I just feel like a glass half full kinda guy today.
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