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They have 3 subs that are of questionable capability today. They do have another 20 midget subs. Their subs are not their strong suit.
They hardly have a surface fleet in the traditional sense. But they do have a lot of small boats to swarm and overwhelm ships. Plenty of anti-ship missiles.
It would also take much more than a carrier over there. While US forces certainly outclass them in the sky there is a numbers and distance game that is in their "home court" favor. 40 air combat capable jets on a carrier today are not the 60 often longer range combat capable jets of just 10-12 years ago.
All speculation on my part (clearly) ut not unreasonable.
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