Do yourself a favor. Start with a hardwood dowel. Find the center and use a compass to draw concentric circles on each end. Use a rasp (or microplane tool even faster) to bring your diameters down to the line, draw another concentric circle and bring it down some more, until you have the shape you want. Then mark off your slope and chin shape (use a papertowel tube, cut it length wise and reduce the diameter to what you need, draw a profile and cut it out). Use a coping saw (they are cheap) to rough it out, then your rasp and sand paper to get it right.
Better yet, start with surface plugs that use softer wood and leave the darter for later.
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