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| StriperTalk! All things Striper |
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09-14-2003, 09:59 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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Hurricane Isabel Landfall Prediction Contest
Objective: Predict Hurricane Isabel’s Landfall –he who is closest to where the center of the eye comes ashore, wins. It looks as though landfall is going to happen. But who ever is closest, even if it goes out to sea, wins....
Time Limit: All guesses must be made by 5:00 pm Monday, 9/15/03
Prize: A Tattoo 2.5oz Swimmer & a couple of Bombers
Cost: 1$ donation to S-B com - use button at bottom of page
Rules:
Pay 1$ before guess
No duplicate locations.
Guess must be a city or town name.
No latitude longitude numbers.
Only one guess (named place) per 1$.
No changing your guess as landfall becomes nearer.
Sponsor: Surfcasting Rhode Island (AKA: Joe)
http://surfcasting-rhodeisland.com/
Last edited by Joe; 09-14-2003 at 04:01 PM..
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09-14-2003, 10:22 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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I changed tyhe rules after the initial post...re-read orig mesage
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09-14-2003, 10:23 AM
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#3
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,270
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Seeing that I can't e-mail myself PayPal donation money  ...
It's going to make landfall and really screw up between Chincoteague and Assateague, so I'm saying Assateague Island, the barrier beach area in VA/MD area south of Ocean City, MD. OC is going to get HAMMERED...
This storm will then strut up the coast staying within 50 miles either way of the coastline till getting up to NE and then it will run over Woostah and into NH.... Unless it goes east or west of all I just said 
Greta contest! Thanks Joe! Wanna fish this week sometime? |
~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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09-14-2003, 10:28 AM
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#4
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Virginia Beach work?
Last edited by likwid; 09-14-2003 at 10:36 AM..
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Ski Quicks Hole
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09-14-2003, 10:29 AM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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Yeah - I changed the rules, first it was $1, then free, now back to a dollar -
I had too much coffee....
But it is back to a dollar entry fee - where it will stay...
Likwid - don't worry about whether or not you paid the 1 - but pick a city/towm
Last edited by Joe; 09-14-2003 at 10:32 AM..
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09-14-2003, 10:35 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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John -
I have some deadlines but maybe Tues/Wed night....Can you do a late night trip?
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09-14-2003, 10:50 AM
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#7
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,270
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Sure - define late night ? |
~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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09-14-2003, 11:32 AM
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#8
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Below Me
Join Date: May 2003
Location: low
Posts: 2,909
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Given the roughly 300nm variance in track certainty for weds/thurs AND the larger potential for an eastward drift (reliant on the position of the current Atlantic High) my guess is that it will make a landfall directly across Long island (Sayville). It will graze the Mid-Atlantic and, losing strength, will begin to gain pace as it moves toward NY/Conn. This will bring Category 1-3 conditions from Hatteras to the North. It will seriously threaten where John's has placed his bet with Category 4 + and then.........
Oh man, I obviously don't feel good about this one. No matter where it hits.
One thing for sure:
Sharp hooks and new leader all the way around for next week !
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09-14-2003, 12:22 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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Beachwalker....So you are buying Sayville, NY for landfall?
That Means:
John R. = Assateague Island
Beachwalker = Sayville
Likwid = Virgina Beach
Do we have any others?
John - I'll pm you with the fishing trip details.
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09-14-2003, 01:09 PM
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#10
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Below Me
Join Date: May 2003
Location: low
Posts: 2,909
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Aye
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09-14-2003, 02:24 PM
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#11
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Ledge Runner Baits
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: I live in a house, but my soul is at sea.
Posts: 8,615
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Send it paking, I'm trying to sell a house, I don't need more work and I've got a couple ancient bid arse pines in my front yard. The only thing worse would be big arse ancient willow trees, which I had come through a roof during Bob, back in my Braintree days.
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09-14-2003, 03:25 PM
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#12
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viva the plug-o-lution
Join Date: May 2002
Location: notsob
Posts: 3,476
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live to fish. fish to live. rod tips high.
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09-14-2003, 03:35 PM
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#13
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,158
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Thanks, beachwalker. Sayville is about 15 miles due south of me 
Maybe I should do some early prophylatic tree limb trimming
Good thing is, I'm right on top of a hill, about 100' above sea level, so flooding won't be an issue---I hope. |
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09-14-2003, 05:12 PM
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#14
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Below Me
Join Date: May 2003
Location: low
Posts: 2,909
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Sorry Mike
But the Medium Bam computer model puts right on me so......... 
Good luck everyone |
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09-14-2003, 05:43 PM
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#15
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Guest
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: RI
Posts: 815
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Not Virginia Beach!!!!!!!1
I sure hope it doesnt parlay Virginia Beach as I am supposed to go down there to fish with an internet friend over Columbus weekend!!
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09-14-2003, 06:37 PM
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#16
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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bud8fan just sealed it with a "i hope it dosen't..."
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Ski Quicks Hole
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09-15-2003, 12:05 PM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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4 more hours and contest closes
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09-15-2003, 12:15 PM
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#18
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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I'm guessing that the eye will pass over/near Cape Hatteras, N.C.
Bryan
aka
'hound
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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09-15-2003, 01:56 PM
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#19
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All up in the Interweb!
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: In the dog house.
Posts: 5,205
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myrtle beach, SC.  |
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09-15-2003, 02:08 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Bedford, NH
Posts: 626
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Wilmington/Cape Fear NC
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09-15-2003, 02:42 PM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: cranston
Posts: 815
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Morehead City, NC
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09-15-2003, 07:42 PM
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#22
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Below Me
Join Date: May 2003
Location: low
Posts: 2,909
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Joe,
Good contest and good cause. If I had any brains I would have waited until the last specified minute and submitted my guess.
It looks as though Hatteras is going to get hit with a Category 3.
We hope everyone will be safe there.
The forecast figures we can expect swells and rips only the south into the weekend. A benfit for the bite here is that eventually it goes to SW flow and we never really get the dirty water.
I'm a goin' fishin'
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09-15-2003, 08:04 PM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Taunton, MA
Posts: 1,022
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Whether there's dirty water or not, I'm still taking my chances and going fishing before and after the Hurricane blows by... after all, you never really know unless you try....
and the Hurricane is going to blow out to sea... that's my hope.
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"Remember Amateurs built the Ark -- Professionals built the Titanic."
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09-16-2003, 12:41 AM
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#24
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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OK - Now we'll wait and see....
I just got in from fishing (it's 2:00 am, Tuesday)....
Conditions went downhill in the 4 hours I was out, wind picked up as did the surf....I was in J-Town...
There was no space between the sets and it was almost impossible to stay in contact with anything...I did manage one small keeper on a big eel.
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09-16-2003, 06:58 AM
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#25
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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Joe, found the same thing in So. County.. I dont mind big swells, but there was about a 6 sec period and it was 'primal' fishing..
I got the skunk.... glad to hear you did ok...
'hound
aka
Bryan
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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09-16-2003, 12:37 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2001
Posts: 7,649
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How late can you post a location?
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09-16-2003, 03:44 PM
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#27
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All up in the Interweb!
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: In the dog house.
Posts: 5,205
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Re: Hurricane Isabel Landfall Prediction Contest
Mr. Sandman:
Quote:
Originally posted by Joe
Time Limit: All guesses must be made by 5:00 pm Monday, 9/15/03
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i would assume it is ok to post a guess, just not for the contest.  |
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09-17-2003, 02:24 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Vero Beach Florida
Posts: 1,597
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Just south of Morehead city folks!...
My 2cents...
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09-19-2003, 06:53 AM
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#29
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,270
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And the Winner is ? |
~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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09-19-2003, 06:55 AM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2002
Location: Vero Beach Florida
Posts: 1,597
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Not you! |
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