OK;
A few things to consider...
Almost EVERY year we are due for a hurricane in the NE; it all depends on the position of the steering Bermuda High.
ON AVERAGE, we get ~1 major hurricane in the NE every 100ish years... through time the major ones on record are 1635, 1815, 1938 and 1954. There were obviously many smaller storms thrown in (i.e. the size of Bob, Gloria..)
The 100yr storm number is thrown out alot, but thats pure statistics. All it means is the storm has a 1% chance of occuring any year. You could get back to back seasons with a 100yr storm, hell they could be in back to back weeks. Still 100yr storms.
For reference; relative to South County, RI
1938 was a 100yr storm
1954 was a 50yr storm
1978 (Blizzard) was a 25yr storm
1992 (December) was a ~10year storm..
So yes, statistically we ARE due...
BW; Thats Simon Day (I think) working on The La Playa stuff in the Canary Islands is a possibility, but I wouldnt buy extra flood insurance. I'd say a nuke war is a better possibility than that happening any time soon.
I'd watch the Gulf for hurricanes this year. Obviously they are more susceptable given last years season, but they are expecting a nother high year for TC (tropical cyclones) in the Atlantic, and the water is pretty warm for this early in the gulf. Again, all about the steering H systems...
if you really want to see something cool, google hypercanes. These are theorized events that may have happened after the impact that killed the Dinosaurs.. basically a TC as big across as the east coast
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