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Water level or tide. My high tide spots are dried out at low tide. From there, experience or historical perspective.
There are guys out there with "fish sense" who can tell where the fish will be, if you look close, you'd probably find a lateral line on them someplace. I'm not one of those guys. Iron Mike, Stevie, Tony Steztco - they feel the need to go to a certain place at a certain time.
Migration is tougher than residency, but being among the many, I'll take the percentages and fish the fall spots during the fall, under conditions that have produced before, over my hunches - because my hunches are not as good as other people's. There's a maturation process that we go through when we recognize who we are and who we are not.
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