Rut roooooo

[UserRemoved1]

http://today.reuters.com/news/newsar...HER.xml&rpc=22

This don't sound too good.

[BigFish]

Pure speculation....like when the Farmers Almanac says its going to be a cold winter....as opposed to a warm winter? They have a 50/50 shot at being right and the odds are stacked that it will be cold because it is friggin winter! These clowns have no idea how to "forecast" these things....its all guess work.......that agency probably has stock in oil refineries someplace!

[SAXATILUS]

We certainly are due for one, it's been a while. Only a matter of time.

[Joe]

I hope it washes away all the "No Parking" signs.

[Karl F]

I hope all the hurricanes hits all those skyscapers owned by them fat %#*@in' Insurance Companies, and wipes out all their fat overpaid CEO's...
Shame on them for pulling out of the coastal regions, and pocketing billions in excess premiums.
If there is Karma, let it be for them.

[Raven]

was in 54 that took away houses....off the cape

so its due..... if you consider that
there's supposed to be a fifty year cycle...
were now in year 52 since then...

and even in a forest when a huge area of pines
gets burned away that in turn yeilds a fertilized spot
for a deciduous forest to grow.............

so Mother nature will do her thing...

Beaches what beaches?
plovers? what plovers?

[RIROCKHOUND]

OK;
A few things to consider...
Almost EVERY year we are due for a hurricane in the NE; it all depends on the position of the steering Bermuda High.
ON AVERAGE, we get ~1 major hurricane in the NE every 100ish years... through time the major ones on record are 1635, 1815, 1938 and 1954. There were obviously many smaller storms thrown in (i.e. the size of Bob, Gloria..)
The 100yr storm number is thrown out alot, but thats pure statistics. All it means is the storm has a 1% chance of occuring any year. You could get back to back seasons with a 100yr storm, hell they could be in back to back weeks. Still 100yr storms.
For reference; relative to South County, RI
1938 was a 100yr storm
1954 was a 50yr storm
1978 (Blizzard) was a 25yr storm
1992 (December) was a ~10year storm..
So yes, statistically we ARE due...

BW; Thats Simon Day (I think) working on The La Playa stuff in the Canary Islands is a possibility, but I wouldnt buy extra flood insurance. I'd say a nuke war is a better possibility than that happening any time soon.


I'd watch the Gulf for hurricanes this year. Obviously they are more susceptable given last years season, but they are expecting a nother high year for TC (tropical cyclones) in the Atlantic, and the water is pretty warm for this early in the gulf. Again, all about the steering H systems...

if you really want to see something cool, google hypercanes. These are theorized events that may have happened after the impact that killed the Dinosaurs.. basically a TC as big across as the east coast

[In The Surf]

Saw something on the news yesterday about a cyclone somewhere that was worse than Katrina. Also the report about this possibly being a record year for hurricanes in the NE has been in many papers and local news quite a bit in the last day.

[Pete F.]

Originally Posted by In The Surf

Saw something on the news yesterday about a cyclone somewhere that was worse than Katrina. Also the report about this possibly being a record year for hurricanes in the NE has been in many papers and local news quite a bit in the last day.

The media knows that bad news spreads way better than good news, so they take a statistical probability and make it news.

[RIROCKHOUND]

There was a big storm down under in australia... thats been on the news.
My understanding of predicting hurricanes and TS'es are more a metter of predicting the conditions that make it favorable to form. Predicting the where/when of storms is dicey 24hrs from landfall let alone 5-6 months!