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StriperTalk! All things Striper |
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12-18-2011, 06:41 AM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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Talked to Rappin Mikey yesterday. He's nervous about the ice. Here is what I see:
Today
Plentiful sunshine. High 27F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.
Tonight
Mainly clear. Low 13F. Winds light and variable.
Monday December 19
Day
Partly cloudy and windy. High 39F. Winds SSW at 15 to 25 mph.
Night
A few snow showers around in the evening, otherwise mostly cloudy. Low 24F. Winds W at 10 to 20 mph. Chance of snow 30%.
Tuesday December 20
More sun than clouds. Highs in the low 30s and lows in the mid 20s.
Wednesday December 21
Chance of showers. Highs in the mid 40s and lows in the low 30s.
Thursday December 22
Occasional showers possible. Highs in the mid 40s and lows in the upper 20s.
Friday December 23
Considerable cloudiness. Highs in the low 40s and lows in the low 20s.
Saturday December 24
Mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the low 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Sunday December 25
Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Monday December 26
Sunny. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the upper teens.
Tuesday December 27
Times of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 20s.
I think with the long nights, we should be fine with no more 40's after next week. I can still remember driving past Long Pond on the way to Naked Xmas with no ice there on the 24th, and we had plenty of ice by the tourney.
Have faith!
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-22-2011, 07:35 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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Here's the forecast until NYE. I think we'll be in business...
Tonight
Cloudy this evening with periods of light rain and snow after midnight. Low around 30F. Winds light and variable. Chance of precip 90%. Snow accumulations less than one inch.
Friday December 23
Day
Snow during the morning will taper off as a few snow showers during the afternoon. High 38F. Winds NNW at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 70%. About one inch of snow expected.
Night
On and off snow showers early. Breaks in the overcast later. Low 17F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of snow 30%.
Saturday December 24
Partly cloudy skies. High around 30F. Winds N at 5 to 10 mph.
Sunday December 25
Times of sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Monday December 26
Snow showers at times. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the upper teens.
Tuesday December 27
Mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the mid 20s.
Wednesday December 28
Times of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Thursday December 29
Mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Friday December 30
Mix of sun and clouds. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Saturday December 31
Mostly Cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the low 20s.
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-22-2011, 09:28 PM
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#3
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Work hard. Fish harder.
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 764
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The weather forecast looks good. I was beginning to wonder if I was going to bring my ice fishing sled or my canoe. 
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12-23-2011, 09:00 AM
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#4
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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just a thought
but the bar looks rather small at Williams restaurant
so you might want to reserve the function room if
your expecting a crowd of thirsty guys

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12-23-2011, 12:27 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Holyoke, Ma
Posts: 1,183
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Getting up over 50 yesterday sure isn't helping for the ice over.
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12-23-2011, 12:29 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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Just talked to Doctor's of Da Bait, which is the tackle shop across the street from the pond... He will be open and stocked with shiners at 5 AM on the 14th for anybody who needs anything.
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-23-2011, 12:30 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
but the bar looks rather small at Williams restaurant
so you might want to reserve the function room if
your expecting a crowd of thirsty guys

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I'm thinking that we may spend more time at the motel, as last year the afterparty got a little, como say llama, "festive."
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-23-2011, 01:19 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 2,939
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RickBomba
I'm thinking that we may spend more time at the motel, as last year the afterparty got a little, como say llama, "festive."
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Wasn't me. Lol. But it was surely a blast!
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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12-27-2011, 07:04 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Sturbridge MA
Posts: 3,127
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Ive never gotten worried about the ice in the past but this year im beginning to wonder.
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Everything is better on the rocks.
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12-28-2011, 04:18 PM
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#10
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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Nao is still positive, trending towards neutral . la Nina year. With both normal or below normal conditions
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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12-28-2011, 04:53 PM
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#11
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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thinking...............um
how long does it take to create safe ICE anyways?
and since winter is LATE a back up date
maybe...could/should be considered.
that sounds unusual Bill, on the Nino.
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12-28-2011, 05:06 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 2,939
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If we back up the date let's find a better pond or lake
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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12-28-2011, 05:33 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Holyoke, Ma
Posts: 1,183
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When would we know if it does get postponed?
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12-28-2011, 07:39 PM
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#14
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SurfCaster413
When would we know if it does get postponed?
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just 14 miles drive from MY house to check for ice thickness
but someone else may live closer i think...
that's why i asked: (given cold enough temperatures)
how long does it take to make ice what....4- six inches thick?
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12-28-2011, 06:41 PM
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#15
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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Next week will be in the teens, singles out there, twenties during the day
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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12-28-2011, 07:12 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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We're going to make a call a week from Saturday. I've been looking at the weather and we should have a decent 9 day stretch starting tomorrow.
I'm already booked for the motel for two unrefundable nights, so I wouldn't like to lose the $130 on the lodgings. I plan to take a trip out there a week from Saturday.
Tonight
Windy with mostly clear skies. Low 13F. Winds W at 20 to 30 mph.
Thursday December 29
Day
A mainly sunny sky. High around 30F. Winds W at 10 to 20 mph.
Night
Partly cloudy skies early with a few snow flurries later at night. Low near 20F. Winds SSW at 5 to 10 mph.
Friday December 30
Flurries or a mix of rain and snow showers throughout the day. High 38F. Winds S at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of precip 40%.
Saturday December 31
A few snow showers. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the low 20s.
Sunday January 1
Times of sun and clouds. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the mid 20s.
Monday January 2
More clouds than sun, windy. Highs in the upper 30s and lows in the low teens.
Tuesday January 3
Windy with times of sun and clouds. Highs in the upper teens and lows in the mid single digits.
Wednesday January 4
Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s and lows in the mid teens.
Thursday January 5
Mostly Cloudy. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the mid teens.
Friday January 6
More clouds than sun. Highs in the mid 30s and lows in the mid 20s.
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-28-2011, 07:40 PM
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#17
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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Depends who's walking
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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12-28-2011, 08:01 PM
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#18
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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ahhhh ha ha ha
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12-29-2011, 05:45 AM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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It all depends on the conditions. I've seen it go 4" with temps low at night and just above freezing during the day in two weeks (it was more like 5"). It's all about when the skim ice sets up, really. If it sets up today, then we could get good progression until early next week, when it should really start to thicken.
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-29-2011, 06:40 AM
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#20
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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i think you have to factor in the WIND Chill
because it is real Nasty cold today 31 with high wind
in my neck of the woods, so colder up there
so Bill's prediction by new years is spot on...
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12-29-2011, 09:23 AM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Reading Mass/Newburyport/merrimack river
Posts: 3,748
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
i think you have to factor in the WIND Chill
because it is real Nasty cold today 31 with high wind
in my neck of the woods, so colder up there
so Bill's prediction by new years is spot on...
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what kevin said... also.. wind tends to catch the open pockets of water and rip up the "caught" areas.. piling the ice on windward shores... the wind is NOT your friend when making ice...
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A good run is better than a bad stand!
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12-29-2011, 07:39 AM
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#22
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Super Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Georgetown MA
Posts: 18,203
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Wind Chill has no effect on making ice, Air Temp is Air temp....that just has to do with how cold we feel
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"If you're arguing with an idiot, make sure he isn't doing the same thing."
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12-29-2011, 08:32 AM
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#23
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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i thought it chilled the ground too...
and the soil is the biggest heat insulator
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12-29-2011, 09:14 AM
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#24
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Super Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Georgetown MA
Posts: 18,203
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all wind will do is chill the Water/Land down quicker to the current Air Temp....so if its 33 Deg. with 50 mph winds and a wind chill of 15 deg. the water still won't get any colder than the Air Temp of 33 Deg.....it will just get there faster
Wind Chill is the Effective Temperature that we feel from the Wind+Temp. Body Heat will leave your body at the effective temperature rate vs the actual Air Temp rate.
If its 33 Deg Air temp and a Windchill of 15 Degrees....your body will lose its body heat as if it were a 15 Deg Air temp w/ no wind.....but your body temp still wouldn't drop below the air temp of the actual 33 Deg. Air Temp...you'd be dead....but you'd still only be at 33 Deg.
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"If you're arguing with an idiot, make sure he isn't doing the same thing."
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12-29-2011, 09:41 AM
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#25
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Super Moderator
Join Date: Sep 2003
Location: Georgetown MA
Posts: 18,203
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That all being said...the projected forecast for Hubbardston before the tournament is looking good...I think we'll be all set.
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"If you're arguing with an idiot, make sure he isn't doing the same thing."
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12-29-2011, 05:27 PM
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#26
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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was just noticing that a day of 2 degrees...... yours says 1
that'll make some friggan ICE
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12-30-2011, 02:25 AM
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#27
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Stuck In Reality
Join Date: May 2004
Location: Holden MA
Posts: 4,519
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I will check the pond tomorrow and let you know the status. Wednesday a lot of ponds that had ice in the days prior opened back up.
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Go Ugly Early
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12-30-2011, 05:41 AM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2001
Posts: 4,449
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Yeah Casey,
Even if there is ice there today, I'm not sure it will make it through the next three days...Tuesday on is where I think we will really start to build. What I'm hoping is that when I head out there on Saturday 1/7, that I can see people fishing or a couple inches of good ice. That would mean that in the next week after that, we should get up to around 5 inches.
Pray for cold!
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John Redmond Thinks He's Smart By Changing My Avatar
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12-30-2011, 08:27 AM
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#29
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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in the meantime consider Plan B
and how to best use your pre paid stay
if "no ice"
(I knocked on wood before posting this)
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12-30-2011, 09:01 AM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 3,595
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gar-on-tee
Ice on jan14th
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