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Old 07-12-2019, 04:21 AM   #1
Pete F.
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Who’s winning?

China's imports from U.S. plunge 31.4 percent in June from year earlier amid tariff war, exports to US fall 7.8 percent.

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Old 07-12-2019, 07:07 AM   #2
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Old 07-12-2019, 07:46 AM   #3
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3.8%.

But let's not inject any positive facts, into a good liberal anti Trump rant.

He's right, that's not a good month's data in terms of trade numbers. But it's one data point. If Trump solidifies a trade deal with China that's beneficial to us, that's a lot of political capital for him heading into the election. They're scared.
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Old 07-12-2019, 07:56 AM   #4
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Stocks are hitting record highs and layoffs and unemployment are at 50-year lows. Believe it or not, the Federal Reserve is prepared to cut interest rates soon because it’s worried about the economy.

Trump, who demanded the independently run central bank cut rates, is likely getting his wish, because his policies have the Fed concerned.

The central bank thinks White House trade wars with China and other countries hurt farmers, manufacturers and exporters, slowed the U.S. economy and reduced business investment.

With the reduction in business investment, investors still need a place for money and have put it in the market. That's why the Russell 2000 doesn't mirror the Dow. Big caps are safer than small caps. S+P was inside and the Nasdaq was down.

But keep believing the Stable Genius

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Old 07-12-2019, 08:08 AM   #5
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Old 07-12-2019, 08:33 AM   #6
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Stocks are hitting record highs and layoffs and unemployment are at 50-year lows. Believe it or not, the Federal Reserve is prepared to cut interest rates soon because it’s worried about the economy.

Trump, who demanded the independently run central bank cut rates, is likely getting his wish, because his policies have the Fed concerned.

The central bank thinks White House trade wars with China and other countries hurt farmers, manufacturers and exporters, slowed the U.S. economy and reduced business investment.

With the reduction in business investment, investors still need a place for money and have put it in the market. That's why the Russell 2000 doesn't mirror the Dow. Big caps are safer than small caps. S+P was inside and the Nasdaq was down.

But keep believing the Stable Genius
i’m not believing trump. i’m believing the stock market returns, published unemployment numbers, published gdp numbers. is trump
somehow getting fake numbers published?

You’re the one irrationally believing fanatics - those who simply cannot bring themselves to say anything good. because orange man bad.

i’m responding to actual facts.
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Old 07-12-2019, 08:44 AM   #7
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Stocks are hitting record highs and layoffs and unemployment are at 50-year lows. Believe it or not, the Federal Reserve is prepared to cut interest rates soon because it’s worried about the economy.

Trump, who demanded the independently run central bank cut rates, is likely getting his wish, because his policies have the Fed concerned.

The central bank thinks White House trade wars with China and other countries hurt farmers, manufacturers and exporters, slowed the U.S. economy and reduced business investment.

With the reduction in business investment, investors still need a place for money and have put it in the market. That's why the Russell 2000 doesn't mirror the Dow. Big caps are safer than small caps. S+P was inside and the Nasdaq was down.

But keep believing the Stable Genius
you’re talking about the Phillips Curve, the belief that at some point, low unemployment causes runaway inflation which can be countered by lowering interest rates.

here’s a video, where AOC of all people, gets Fed Chair Powell to say very explicitly, that the link between low unemployment and inflation is much weaker than we had thought. son not sure where you’re getting that the fed is worried about the economy. other than orange man bad, that is...

so who are you believing, exactly, when you say the fed is worried about the health of our economy?


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Old 07-12-2019, 09:43 AM   #8
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i’m not believing trump. i’m believing the stock market returns, published unemployment numbers, published gdp numbers. is trump
somehow getting fake numbers published?
What fake numbers are you talking about? I said "Stocks are hitting record highs and layoffs and unemployment are at 50-year lows." Or do you refer to them as fake unemployment numbers that Trump claimed were phony till he was elected, that henceforth became true?

You’re the one irrationally believing fanatics - those who simply cannot bring themselves to say anything good. because orange man bad.

i’m responding to actual facts. Which of the facts I cited are incorrect?
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you’re talking about the Phillips Curve, the belief that at some point, low unemployment causes runaway inflation which can be countered by lowering interest rates.
How does that relate to anything I wrote?

here’s a video, where AOC of all people, gets Fed Chair Powell to say very explicitly, that the link between low unemployment and inflation is much weaker than we had thought. son not sure where you’re getting that the fed is worried about the economy. other than orange man bad, that is...

so who are you believing, exactly, when you say the fed is worried about the health of our economy?
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I think you have some kind of AOC syndrome, you certainly are infatuated with her.

As to who I'm believing, try these guys.

Fed chairman Jerome Powell has pointed to a number of national surveys as evidence business confidence took a hit recently, particularly in May after President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on Mexican imports unless his demands about tougher immigration enforcement were met.

The tariffs were not levied, but “it was a bit of a confidence shock" Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on July 11th.

In Albany, New York Thursday, New York Fed President John Williams, added his voice in support of a rate cut, citing uncertainties around trade and global growth and soft inflation. “The arguments, for adding policy accommodation have strengthened over time.”

Fed Governor Lael Brainard, in a separate appearance in Scranton, Pennsylvania, piled on. “Taking into account the downside risks at a time when inflation is on the soft side would argue for softening the expected path of monetary policy according to basic principles of risk management,” she told a community banking group.

Perhaps you can explain why the Fed might cut rates, instead of just claiming your hero (who you don't really like) is a stable genius?

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Old 07-12-2019, 10:45 AM   #9
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I think you have some kind of AOC syndrome, you certainly are infatuated with her.

As to who I'm believing, try these guys.

Fed chairman Jerome Powell has pointed to a number of national surveys as evidence business confidence took a hit recently, particularly in May after President Donald Trump threatened to impose tariffs on Mexican imports unless his demands about tougher immigration enforcement were met.

The tariffs were not levied, but “it was a bit of a confidence shock" Powell told the Senate Banking Committee on July 11th.

In Albany, New York Thursday, New York Fed President John Williams, added his voice in support of a rate cut, citing uncertainties around trade and global growth and soft inflation. “The arguments, for adding policy accommodation have strengthened over time.”

Fed Governor Lael Brainard, in a separate appearance in Scranton, Pennsylvania, piled on. “Taking into account the downside risks at a time when inflation is on the soft side would argue for softening the expected path of monetary policy according to basic principles of risk management,” she told a community banking group.

Perhaps you can explain why the Fed might cut rates, instead of just claiming your hero (who you don't really like) is a stable genius?
pete, you’re trying to suggest that the fed cutting rates, is a sign they’re worried about the economy in a macro sense. i don’t think there’s any evidence of that. you are right that trumps trade fits are hurting some people, and trump deserves criticism for that. but the economy is roaring. healthier than
it’s been in my lifetime. it’s not perfect for all 320 million of us and never will be. but it’s the best it’s been in 50 years. yet you spend most of your time, despite this one post, dismissing that. because you have an agenda to bash him, and nothing else matters.
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Old 07-12-2019, 11:05 AM   #10
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Perhaps you can explain why the Fed might cut rates, instead of just claiming your hero (who you don't really like) is a stable genius?

Frasier: Niles, I’ve just had the most marvelous idea for a website! People will post their opinions, cheeky bon mots, and insights, and others will reply in kind!

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Old 07-12-2019, 11:53 AM   #11
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So at what point did you sacrifice your morals for the dow?



On Monday, Donald Trump disinvited the then-British ambassador, Kim Darroch, from an official administration dinner with the emir of Qatar, because he was mad about leaked cables in which Darroch assessed the president as “insecure” and “incompetent.”

There was room at the dinner, however, for Trump’s friend Robert Kraft, owner of the New England Patriots, who was charged in a prostitution sting this year. Kraft was allegedly serviced at a massage parlor that had once been owned by Li Yang, known as Cindy, a regular at Trump’s club Mar-a-Lago. Yang is now the target of an F.B.I. inquiry into whether she funneled Chinese money into Trump’s political operation.

An ordinary president would not want to remind the world of the Kraft and Yang scandals at a time when Jeffrey Epstein’s arrest has hurled Trump’s other shady associations back into the limelight. Epstein, indicted on charges of abusing and trafficking underage girls, was a friend of Trump’s until the two had a falling out, reportedly over a failed business deal. The New York Times reported on a party Trump threw at Mar-a-Lago whose only guests were him, Epstein and around two dozen women “flown in to provide the entertainment.”

Epstein, of course, was also linked to the administration in another way. The president’s labor secretary, Alexander Acosta, was the United States attorney who oversaw a secret, obscenely lenient deal that let Epstein escape federal charges for sex crimes over a decade ago. On Friday, two days after a tendentious, self-serving news conference defending his handling of the Epstein case, Acosta finally resigned.

Even with Acosta gone, however, Epstein remains a living reminder of the depraved milieu from which the president sprang, and of the corruption and misogyny that continue to swirl around him. Trump has been only intermittently interested in distancing himself from that milieu. More often he has sought, whether through strategy or instinct, to normalize it.


This weekend, Trump National Doral, one of the president’s Florida clubs, planned to host a fund-raiser allowing golfers to bid on strippers to serve as their caddies. Though the event was canceled when it attracted too much attention, it’s at once astounding and not surprising at all that it was approved in the first place.

In truth, a stripper auction is tame by the standard of gross Trump stories, since at least the women were willing. Your eyes would glaze over if I tried to list every Trump associate implicated in the beating or sexual coercion of women. Still, it’s worth reviewing a few lowlights, because it’s astonishing how quickly the most lurid misdeeds fade from memory, supplanted by new degradations.

Acosta, you’ll remember, got his job because Trump’s previous pick, Andrew Puzder, withdrew following the revelation that his ex-wife, pseudonymous and in disguise, had appeared on an Oprah episode about “High Class Battered Women.” (She later retracted her accusations.)

Steve Bannon, Trump’s former chief strategist, was once charged with domestic violence, battery and dissuading a witness. (The case was dropped when his former wife failed to appear in court.) After Bill Shine, a former co-president of Fox News, was forced from his job for his involvement in Fox’s sprawling sexual harassment scandals, Trump hired him.

The White House staff secretary Rob Porter resigned last year after it was revealed that both of his ex-wives had accused him of abuse. The White House speechwriter David Sorensen resigned after his ex-wife came forward with stories of his violence toward her.

Elliott Broidy, a major Trump fund-raiser who became the Republican National Committee deputy finance chairman, resigned last year amid news that he’d paid $1.6 million as hush money to a former playboy model, Shera Bechard, who said she’d had an abortion after he got her pregnant. (In a lawsuit, Bechard said Broidy had been violent.) The casino mogul Steve Wynn, who Trump installed as the R.N.C.’s finance chairman, resigned amid accusations that he’d pressured his employees for sex. He remains a major Republican donor.

In 2017, Trump tapped the former chief executive of AccuWeather, Barry Myers, to head the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Then The Washington Post discovered a report from a Department of Labor investigation into Myers’s company, which found a culture of “widespread sexual harassment” that was “severe and pervasive.” The Senate hasn’t yet voted on Myers’s nomination, but the administration hasn’t withdrawn it.

And just this week, a senior military officer came forward to accuse Gen. John Hyten, Trump’s nominee to be the next vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, of derailing her career when she turned down his sexual advances. “My life was ruined by this,” she told The Associated Press. (The Air Force reportedly cleared him of misconduct.)

Trump will sometimes jettison men accused of abuse when they become a public relations liability. But his first instinct is empathy, a sentiment he seems otherwise unfamiliar with. In May, he urged Roy Moore, the theocratic Alabama Senate candidate accused of preying on teenage girls, not to run again because he would lose, but added, “I have NOTHING against Roy Moore, and unlike many other Republican leaders, wanted him to win.” The president has expressed no sympathy for victims in the Epstein case, but has said he felt bad for Acosta.

Trump seems to understand, at least on a limbic level, that the effect of this cavalcade of scandal isn’t cumulative. Instead, each one eclipses the last, creating a sense of weary cynicism that makes shock impossible to sustain.

It was just three weeks ago that E. Jean Carroll, a well-known writer, accused Trump of what amounted to a violent rape in the mid-1990s, and two friends of hers confirmed that she’d told them about it at the time. In response, Trump essentially said she was too unattractive to rape — “No. 1, she’s not my type” — and claimed that he’d never met her. That was a provable lie; there’s a photograph of them together. It didn’t matter. The story drifted from the headlines within a few days.

Since Epstein’s arrest, many people have wondered how he was able to get away with his alleged crimes for so long, given all that’s publicly known about him. But we also know that the president boasts about sexually assaulting women, that over a dozen have accused him of various sorts of sexual misconduct, and one of them has accused him of rape. We know it, and we know we can’t do anything about it, so we live with it and grow numb. Maybe someday justice will come and a new generation will wonder how we tolerated behavior that was always right out in the open.
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Old 07-12-2019, 12:00 PM   #12
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pete, who is sacrificing their
morals? did you vote for hilary? is she virtuous?

obama also kicked foxnews off his campaign jet because they didn’t kiss his ring, but that was ok. but it’s sinister when trump does it, because orange man bad.
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Old 07-12-2019, 01:14 PM   #13
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pete, who is sacrificing their
morals? did you vote for hilary? is she virtuous?

obama also kicked foxnews off his campaign jet because they didn’t kiss his ring, but that was ok. but it’s sinister when trump does it, because orange man bad.
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That was PaulS but I voted for Johnson, I did not and still do not believe either Hillary or Trump should have been President.

Trump is not even close to Obama, by most any measure.
Chris Wallace of Fox: "Barack Obama whined about Fox News all the time but he never said we were the enemy of the people."

Remember, attacking the press is the central policy of Trump's administration. In fact, it may the only consistent one.

Last edited by Pete F.; 07-12-2019 at 01:23 PM.. Reason: Add

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Old 07-15-2019, 06:49 AM   #14
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pete, here’s an article from CNBC ( not a conservative outlet ), saying that thanks in part to the tariff and trade war, china’s economic growth was the lowest in 27 years.

i don’t know
much about international economics. but i do think that it’s not as simple as your original post made it out to be. if your only goal is to bash trump, you’ll find plenty of ammunition to do that. if your goal is to figure out what’s going on, it helps
to listen to people who are on opposite sides of an issue, and decide who makes more sense.

it’s not as simple
as orange man bad.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/15/chin...tbaSBn_v8sBMhE
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Old 07-15-2019, 07:35 AM   #15
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pete, here’s an article from CNBC ( not a conservative outlet ), saying that thanks in part to the tariff and trade war, china’s economic growth was the lowest in 27 years.

i don’t know
much about international economics. but i do think that it’s not as simple as your original post made it out to be. if your only goal is to bash trump, you’ll find plenty of ammunition to do that. if your goal is to figure out what’s going on, it helps
to listen to people who are on opposite sides of an issue, and decide who makes more sense.

it’s not as simple
as orange man bad.

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/15/chin...tbaSBn_v8sBMhE
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My original post simply listed the change in trade between China and USA. Those are facts so in typical Trumplican fashion, you called them a liberal rant. Anything that can be construed as anti Trump is immediately labeled bad.

I'll see your CNBC article and raise you one WSJ
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/17/stoc...uts-rates.html

Amid all the fuss about a multi-decade low in Chinese GDP growth, there are early signs that easier fiscal and monetary policy are starting to help:
https://on.wsj.com/2XLCayH

Perhaps you can explain why the Fed might cut rates, instead of just claiming your leader (who you don't really like) is a stable genius?

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Old 07-15-2019, 08:54 AM   #16
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My original post simply listed the change in trade between China and USA. Those are facts so in typical Trumplican fashion, you called them a liberal rant. Anything that can be construed as anti Trump is immediately labeled bad.

I'll see your CNBC article and raise you one WSJ
https://www.cnbc.com/2019/06/17/stoc...uts-rates.html

Amid all the fuss about a multi-decade low in Chinese GDP growth, there are early signs that easier fiscal and monetary policy are starting to help:
https://on.wsj.com/2XLCayH

Perhaps you can explain why the Fed might cut rates, instead of just claiming your leader (who you don't really like) is a stable genius?
the title of your post is “who’s winning”. obviously you found one factoid that makes trump
look bad, and implied that the one fact means we aren’t winning the economic battle with china. don’t tell us you were simply posting a fact and not trying to derive a conclusion from that fact, a conclusion which you happened to really like.
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Old 07-15-2019, 09:44 AM   #17
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the title of your post is “who’s winning”. obviously you found one factoid that makes trump
look bad, and implied that the one fact means we aren’t winning the economic battle with china. don’t tell us you were simply posting a fact and not trying to derive a conclusion from that fact, a conclusion which you happened to really like.
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The title of the post is Who's Winning?

You get to choose, but as usual you just agree with the "Greatest President Ever"

Perhaps you can explain why the Fed might cut rates, instead of just claiming your leader (who you don't really like) is a stable genius?

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Old 07-15-2019, 10:01 AM   #18
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the title of the thread, which you started, is who’s winning. right?

i disagree with trump all the time, Pete. his “go back where you came from” comment was inexcusable. better to simply show the country how wrongheaded they are, which is beyond easy.

the fed is probably cutting rates because it raised them too aggressively - 8 times since 2016? it’s not because the economy is stalling. though that will inevitably occur too.
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Old 07-15-2019, 10:09 AM   #19
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Don't feel bad, you're a typical Trumplican.
Wonder if there is a Epstein tape on this guy.

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Old 07-15-2019, 10:13 AM   #20
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yeah, you sure showed me, you’ve really got me on the ropes.
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Old 07-15-2019, 10:17 AM   #21
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Trump is Winning !!!

Those who sopport him, love him & what he has done !
Those who oppose him, Obsess over him 24/7
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Old 07-15-2019, 10:18 AM   #22
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Don't feel bad, you're a typical Trumplican.
Wonder if there is a Epstein tape on this guy.
Graham ( always a friend to liberals, he voted to confirm Kagan and Sotomayor), made liberals look really bad during the kavanaugh hearings. liberals responded in true liberal fashion, attacking his character, and doing a LOT of gay bashing ( he is rumored to be gay).

i thought liberals were opposed to gay bashing? can we finally say out loud, that’s liberals only oppose
bashing victims, when the victims are fellow
liberals?

https://en-volve.com/2018/09/30/vide...kes-and-slurs/
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Old 07-15-2019, 10:30 AM   #23
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Wonder if there is a Epstein tape on this guy.
..
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Old 07-15-2019, 10:53 AM   #24
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..
could easy be...........

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Old 07-15-2019, 11:11 AM   #25
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Graham ( always a friend to liberals, he voted to confirm Kagan and Sotomayor), made liberals look really bad during the kavanaugh hearings. liberals responded in true liberal fashion, attacking his character, and doing a LOT of gay bashing ( he is rumored to be gay).

i thought liberals were opposed to gay bashing? can we finally say out loud, that’s liberals only oppose
bashing victims, when the victims are fellow
liberals?

https://en-volve.com/2018/09/30/vide...kes-and-slurs/
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Are you trying to say that Epstein wouldn't have a tape on him?

Gay people are only scary if you are homophobic.

Did Lindsey come out?

Probably wouldn't work well if he did in the SC republican party or the national for that matter, it didn't for Ninth Circuit Solicitor David Schwacke and others.

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Old 07-15-2019, 11:15 AM   #26
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"Donald Trump is a race-baiting, xenophobic, religious bigot. He doesn't represent my party. He doesn't represents the values that the men and women who wear the uniform are fighting for." — Senator Graham, December 2015

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Old 07-15-2019, 11:19 AM   #27
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Are you trying to say that Epstein wouldn't have a tape on him?

Gay people are only scary if you are homophobic.

Did Lindsey come out?

Probably wouldn't work well if he did in the SC republican party or the national for that matter, it didn't for Ninth Circuit Solicitor David Schwacke and others.
i’m not worried about Graham
getting caught up with epstein. if he did, lick him
up and throw away the key. i’d assume bill clinton is way, way more worried.

Graham has not come
out. Didn’t stop liberals from gay bashing him, and that won’t stop them from claiming to advocate for gays. i doubt jimmy kimmel sees any irony or hypocrisy.

i agree with you, the gop is t doing itself any favors with its attitudes toward gays, i was in favor
of gay marriage when hilary and obama were still
opposed. and no one called them homophobic. and it wasnt that long ago. different standards.
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Old 07-15-2019, 11:30 AM   #28
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So why would Clinton have to worry? There was an investigation and Acosta would know if any one else was involved other then Epstein. So there is either no evidence Clinton did anything wrong or there is evidence and Acosta knows and that would mean Trump knows. And we all know that Trump being the classless individual that he is would have been tweeting about Clinton - unless of course Trump took part in raping an underage girl when he was with Epstein (trump is on the record as saying Epstein was like Trump and liked beautiful woman, and young ones at that).
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Old 07-15-2019, 11:46 AM   #29
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So why would Clinton have to worry?
Have you seen his wife?

"If you're arguing with an idiot, make sure he isn't doing the same thing."
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Old 07-15-2019, 12:15 PM   #30
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