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| The Scuppers This is a new forum for the not necessarily fishing related topics... |
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08-22-2011, 09:27 AM
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#1
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BuzzLuck
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Brockton
Posts: 6,414
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Future Weather: Irene
Latest computer predictions: AM hurricane guidance has Irene just south of N.Carolina Sat AM as Cat 2/3 storm, ready to run the coast. Long ways out but interesting track up the east coast, especially if it moves slightly farther east.
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 Given the diversity of the human species, there is no “normal” human genome sequence. We are all mutants.
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08-22-2011, 10:02 AM
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#2
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sick of bluefish
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: TEXAS
Posts: 8,672
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got to watch this one closely, I have a connecting flight in Miami friday morning!
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making s-b.com a kinder, gentler place for all 
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08-22-2011, 10:10 AM
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#3
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 34,966
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What would a North Shore leg be without threat of a Hurricane?
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~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-22-2011, 02:22 PM
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#4
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Great White Scup Hunter
Join Date: Nov 2006
Location: In the Corner...
Posts: 2,251
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This just might be interesting....
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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08-23-2011, 05:24 AM
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#5
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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More east in the forecast this AM.
Potential for a bounce off Hatteras then nailing us.
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Ski Quicks Hole
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08-23-2011, 05:32 AM
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#6
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BuzzLuck
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: Brockton
Posts: 6,414
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Repeat of BOB? Only land falling hurricane of 1991, direct hit on NE.
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Given the diversity of the human species, there is no “normal” human genome sequence. We are all mutants.
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08-23-2011, 05:49 AM
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#7
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PRBuzz
Repeat of BOB? Only land falling hurricane of 1991, direct hit on NE.
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Similar is possible.
NOGAPS shows it taking a similar track except a little more East at Hatteras then running us down, GFS mean (consensus) shows Nantucket getting a direct hit.
General consensus shows somewhere between Patchogue LI and Nantucket. Basically nothing good. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-23-2011, 06:47 AM
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#8
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 34,966
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This morning's model:  |
~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-23-2011, 07:11 AM
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#9
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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8am refresh looking a bit better, but its still a week away and the resolution is crap.
Showing staying offshore along the canyons which means lots of wind/rain/waves/surge.
This could change.
GFS doesn't make me happy.
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Ski Quicks Hole
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08-23-2011, 07:24 AM
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#10
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,349
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another day of model verification will start to tell the tale. Watch the position of the two High's and the upper atmosphere trough over NE later in the week.....
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-23-2011, 11:44 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: cranston
Posts: 815
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May finally get some decent waves!  |
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08-23-2011, 01:49 PM
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#12
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sick of bluefish
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: TEXAS
Posts: 8,672
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looks better for my flight from miami.
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making s-b.com a kinder, gentler place for all
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08-24-2011, 05:57 AM
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#13
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnR
This morning's model: |
6am = more left again.
Landfall still somewhere between LI and Nantucket. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-24-2011, 11:05 AM
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#14
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,121
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Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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08-24-2011, 11:11 AM
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#15
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 34,966
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11am model - a little more east - local stations saying though that it may be at Cat 2 when it comes to New England over the previous Cat 1
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~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-24-2011, 11:12 AM
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#16
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No Shorts On
Join Date: Sep 2000
Location: Bassachusetts
Posts: 1,109
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I hear ya mike. Debating in whether to drop the tent trailer or risk it. Back section on BSP might be safe enough, wind being the only concern
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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08-24-2011, 11:17 AM
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#17
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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John, combine the models and they go straight up my yard.  |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-24-2011, 11:53 AM
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#18
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 34,966
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Quote:
Originally Posted by likwid
John, combine the models and they go straight up my yard. |
They were going straight through my yard.
With the harder Northeast quadrant, the more east the better. |
~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-24-2011, 12:05 PM
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#19
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,121
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NOAAs latest track has the eye pretty much going right up Narragansett Bay.
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Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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08-24-2011, 12:09 PM
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#20
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,121
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The other thing I'm not loving is their model that has it still a cat 1 a good bit inland, in Maine, on Monday.
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Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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08-24-2011, 12:13 PM
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#21
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,349
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It will be intersting the next couple of days, but as always, the track won't be close to 'locked in' until it crosses 40/70, at which point we'll be all sleeping Sunday night.....
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-24-2011, 12:16 PM
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#22
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnR
They were going straight through my yard.
With the harder Northeast quadrant, the more east the better.
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If you enjoy major flooding, yes. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-24-2011, 12:21 PM
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#23
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,349
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Quote:
Originally Posted by likwid
If you enjoy major flooding, yes.
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50miles either side of 95 calling for potentially 10" |
Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-24-2011, 12:34 PM
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#24
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND
50miles either side of 95 calling for potentially 10"
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The causeway down the street here will be underwater with boat like ornaments. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-24-2011, 12:41 PM
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#25
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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i,ll stay away up here in kennebago
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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08-24-2011, 12:46 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2005
Location: Westport
Posts: 840
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND
50miles either side of 95 calling for potentially 10"
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Plus this:
Forecast details this weekend... regardless of the track...it does appear the stage is being set for a predecessor heavy rain event sometime Saturday and especially Saturday night. Deep tropical moisture streaming well in advance of Irene will interact with a middle level trough. This has the potential to produce heavy rain and flooding ahead of Irene into early Sunday morning. 
from nws taunton |
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08-24-2011, 02:05 PM
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#27
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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well #^&#^&#^&#^&
2pm models have tightened up on the south coast/south county again.
GFS has crept left again along with NOGAPS
not liking this at all
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Ski Quicks Hole
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08-24-2011, 02:48 PM
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#28
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,121
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Quote:
Originally Posted by likwid
well #^&#^&#^&#^&
2pm models have tightened up on the south coast/south county again.
GFS has crept left again along with NOGAPS
not liking this at all
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Yeah, I saw that. Guess I should buy some rope and replace what I tied the grill down with last year when Earl was making noises, and maybe truck on up to my sister's in RI and reclaim my chain saw. I think I have some 2-cycle pre-mix in the shed, still.  |
Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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08-24-2011, 03:29 PM
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#29
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Mansfield
Posts: 4,834
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I'm seeing a great weather window for Sat morning tuna!!!
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08-24-2011, 03:40 PM
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#30
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Ruled only by the tide
Join Date: Mar 2004
Location: Truro
Posts: 801
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Too many models put Truro on the dangerous right-side of the storm. This does not make me happy. However, I am wondering which beach I'm going to fish on Saturday.   |
Three-fourths of the Earth's surface is water, and one-fourth is land. It is quite clear that the good Lord intended us to spend triple the amount of time fishing as taking care of the lawn.
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