Will do - on my end down this way, I'm hoping it won't be more than a 2 bottle storm...:gu:

Maybe Karl F will pipe up with a prediction for you guys on the Cape - he's usually right on the money...:laughs:

This is as close as the MSLP shows it
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwp...s_slp_108s.gif

GFS agrees for now.

Lotta bark, no bite.

http://weather.unisys.com/gfs/4e/gfs_pres_4e.gif

NS may get the crap kicked out of it though.

http://www.wunderground.com/modelmap...=NAM&domain=US


Look at the last few images...this is headed right at us. The next 24 hours will be tell us if it intends to turn. :hidin:

what?
 

Every year I look for one to come by and stir the pot for the doldrums to be no more, We want it close to push those fish off the bank and in our way. But not close enough for us to sustain alot of damage. BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

If it acts anything like it's namesake, it will get all spun up, followed by glancing "blow" and a little squirt onto the "beach"... I don't think we have anything to worry about :rotf2:

K.
No comment for now.

:hidin:

Yeah, the GFS model and the Euro models both show a slight shift to a more northerly track.
I really don't feel like going on a Hauling brigade for the boat(s) :wall:

bad juju.

we'll see.
I have faith in the high to keep it out to sea and keep us to T.S force wind gusts max... I haven't seen a model that puts the east side near S.E. New England, and NONE that have the freight train track of 38...

Still a bit too early to make any solid predictions.
Tomorrow night could be a go/no go.

:wave:... :hihi:...

we are due... been 18 years since Bob....
week without power...except at our store... only cold beer on lower cape for a week... man we was swamped... scored lotsa free firewood... but... I digress...a bit... the t-shirts... "I got Blown By Bob on Cape Cod"...guy that did those up that year made a killin... i ran into him tonight at work...asked him if he started on the "I got Blown By Bill on Cape Cod" t-shirts yet... :hihi:... he said he already had the art work done, and is gonna wait a day or so... to see the track... he know he has to blast them out before NSTAR pukes....IF we get it....

we is selling tons of bottles, regardless....but it will be at least a 2 bottle storm,:buds: no matter where it makes land fall... and I am making sure I have a full tank of chainsaw gas, atleast two extra sharp chains... and that the motorhome has a full load of gas, propane, and water, and made sure the generator is in good working order today.... plus the wife , I am sure, will load up on provisions.....just in case... :hihi:..

Just walked out of work a bit ago...it is a helluva lot more humid now, than earlier in the day...and the air is stagnant...no breeze...

my Mom would call this past weeks weather... a "weather breeder"....
an 83 year old I know told me tonight, his bones tell him it's coming..
and says it will pass right over Falmouth... :hihi:...

who knows??? :huh:

:D

Only Time will tell....

'38 Path Question
 

Hey Guys and Gals, chris here.

Just looked this up on wikipedia and thought it was interesting. Path of the '38 Hurricane. What caused it to straighten out there at the end when it looked like it would curve out to sea? I'm still learning and trying to understand how these troughs and ridges "steer" these massive storms.

http://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedi...cane_track.png

Yeah, Karl if I was gonna trust anyone it'd have to be someone old enough to have lived through the '38, '44 and '54 storms - I only qualify on one out of the three and my memories of Carol are still pretty vivid considering I was only 5 at the time

In all seriousness - which is fairly rare for me - can't say I like the predicted track going inside of Bermuda and now the high to our west looks to be stalling...:smokin:...gotta check a couple of weather maps

Worst case would be the cold front to our west slowing down allowing Bill to pass in between that one and the one responsible for our hot weather off the coast, funneling it this way

At the very least they're calling for swells between 12-20' by Sunday

I'll listen to the NHC morning report, but I may be moving up to DefCon 2 as of now for the storm - thank God we had a long-overdue new roof put on the house last week, just hope it stays there...:hs:

If nothing else at this point, it's at least worth making sure you're prepared - better safe than sorry

You've gotta admit, it's been a strange summer weather-wise...:huh:

went to check
 

SIGN on the old Indian's house

left town because of hurricane :confused:

I'm sticking with what I said above , maybe TS gusts, and maybe the extreme west edge brushes ACK....

Probably a Low that was sitting there pushing it out to sea fell apart and let it go thumping along. The ridges are the boundaries between systems.

If you get a High way out over Bermuda as well, it can ride the west edge of that, coupled with a dip near the coast in the jet stream... it will ride up, and come fast, typically forward speeds in new England are 40-60mph. makes the east side of the storm that much worse.

Updated runs still show it out to sea the closest model is the NGF model....

Hmmm...I noticed the old greenhorn up the street was out early this AM doubling up the lines on his tomato plants...:confused:

:rotf2:

Doesnt sound so bad according to Weather Manny

http://portuguesefireman.com/files/1...er_Manny_2.mp3

:rotf2: LMAO everytime I hear Weather Manny

I'll start worrying about it on Saturday. Maybe I should get another propane tank and fill it, so we'll have the grill. Or I can just grab an extra bag of charcoal for that other grill.

Maybe it'll hit us hard enough to get me out of jury duty on Monday :rotf2:

Bill has continued to move on a steady northwest track or 305
degrees at 16 knots...embedded within the flow surrounding the
Azores-Bermuda high. In about two days...the hurricane will become
steered northward and then northeastward by the flow between a
large mid-latitude trough swinging eastward across the eastern
United States and the subtropical high. Once the recurvature
begins...the hurricane should increase in forward speed. Most of
the track guidance shifted slightly to the west compared to the
previous run. This shift in guidance justifies a very small shift
to the west of the track official forecast...which indeed is very
close to the consensus.


Large swells generated by this hurricane are affecting the northern
Leeward Islands and should begin affecting the Bahamas...Bermuda...
most of the eastern U.S. Coast...and the Atlantic Maritimes of
Canada during the next few days. These swells will likely
cause extremely dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents.
Please consult statements issued by your local weather office for
more details.


This afternoon NOAA and the 53rd hurricane hunters will be
conducting a two-aircraft synoptic surveillance mission around
Hurricane Bill to improve the initial analysis for the numerical
models.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwp...s_slp_072s.gif


72 hour has precip right on top of the cape

oh he's a RIOT
 

listened to it ah Twice

wicked funny

Damn those new yorkers LOL

Hey, bahhhdy, we got troublesh ova heah...

Unplug everyt'ing, just like Avo used to do...:hihi: