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Old 08-18-2009, 07:25 AM   #1
JohnR
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Hurricane Bill - interesting path

Interesting early forecasted path


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Apocalypse is Coming:
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Old 08-18-2009, 07:33 AM   #2
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Looks like a slim chance it could stay south and miss the low pressure front that's supposed to push it offshore.

-spence
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Old 08-18-2009, 07:35 AM   #3
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their predicting the low presure area will be over n.j. by the weekend and will push it out to sea. meanwhile, i'm putting oar locks on the house.
batten down the hatches matey.

put them back alive. i do have grandkids.
as your hair gets whiter, your gear gets lighter.
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Old 08-18-2009, 07:36 AM   #4
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whama jammer - we're over due

maybe we should hire Monica to do a beach exorcism
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Old 08-18-2009, 07:44 AM   #5
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Watch out on the rocks this weekend. Higher than usual tides coupled with a big swell can be quite dangerous. Even if the storm misses us way east, there's still going to be some impact.

It's not the bait
At the end of your line
It's the fishing hole
Where all the fish is blind
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Old 08-18-2009, 08:33 AM   #6
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I hate these %$%$%$%$ing things...this is headed right at us. I hope it goes away. Then again, it could screw up Obama's vacation and that is worth something.
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Old 08-18-2009, 08:37 AM   #7
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Al Roker says headed out to sea! You alarmists better gas up the car and stock up on water, milk, bread, batteries and candles!

Almost time to get our fish on!!!
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Old 08-18-2009, 08:47 AM   #8
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This will light up the choggie bite. I cant wait.
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Old 08-18-2009, 08:57 AM   #9
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similar storm: August Gale

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1927_Nova_Scotia_hurricane
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Old 08-18-2009, 09:45 AM   #10
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Quote:
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Interesting find - BTW - welcome to S-B

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Old 08-18-2009, 10:15 AM   #11
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At this point one of two things can happen.
1) The storm hits us head on, we batten down the hatches and ride it out. the fishing will be shut off for about a week while we all go into disaster recovery mode.
2) It goes out to sea as the current weather models predict. It churns up the surf, might create a late season algae bloom (red-tide), and may even push some of those large bass off of the tuna grounds back into the shallower shores.
Either way it'll be a change in what has been a very boring summer.
If it weren't for fresh water and my kayak, I wouldn't have much to brag about.
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Old 08-18-2009, 11:00 AM   #12
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Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnR View Post
Interesting early forecasted path
'Interesting' is not the first choice of description when your first family vacation in six years (small kids) is on the shore in East Falmouth friday for a week .........

In fact, I can think of several very Saxon ones. All I can do is hope that the meteorologists are as accurate at soothsaying as they usually are, and that the blasted storm heads way out east.
Probably hubris, but.....

Last edited by SirWinston; 08-18-2009 at 01:52 PM..

"When you stare into the abyss....wink. It'll confuse the hell out of it."
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Old 08-18-2009, 11:03 AM   #13
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The really long range forecasts have it spinning further out that that picture, but still coming roughly as close before turning....

Bryan

Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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Old 08-18-2009, 11:25 AM   #14
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I've had some of my best fishing during hurricanes. I do like the name too.
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Old 08-18-2009, 11:49 AM   #15
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I'm going down to Hazard Ave and get a video for my site of somebody getting washed away - then I'll get some PFD's and Korkers and make a killin'

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Old 08-18-2009, 12:05 PM   #16
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HALLELUJAH!!!
funny sheeeet, as always, Joe!

this could be the END of the doldrums

and the beginning of the BITE

thanks to you Bill and the Boss for the projected path.
FINALLY, there WILL be SURF and just in tiime for the New!!!

"The first condition of happiness is that the connection
between man and nature shall not be broken."~~ Leo Tolstoy

Tight Lines, and
Happy Hunting to ALL!
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Old 08-18-2009, 12:07 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SirWinston View Post
'Interesting' is not the first choice of description when your first family vacation in six years (small kids) is on the shore in East Famouth friday for a week .........

In fact, I can think of several very Saxon ones. All I can do is hope that the meteorologists are as accurate at soothsaying as they usually are, and that the blasted storm heads way out east.
Probably hubris, but.....
sorry about your vacation plans, SW.
hope it's just a glancing blow and not a stiff Noreaster uppercut.

"The first condition of happiness is that the connection
between man and nature shall not be broken."~~ Leo Tolstoy

Tight Lines, and
Happy Hunting to ALL!
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Old 08-18-2009, 12:32 PM   #18
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we're flying out Monday am, I hope all is quiet by then, I need a vacation bad.

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Old 08-19-2009, 05:51 AM   #19
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Cape Cod now in the cone of uncertainty. Watch out...this one could be the one. I don't like this path.

Al Roker... he is not weatherman, he is a TV personality.
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Old 08-19-2009, 05:57 AM   #20
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Sunday/Monday forecasts showing 8-12' coastal, 10-15' outer coastal, and up to 35' on the Grand Banks.... Looks like the tuna trip window closes Saturday, at least for a few days.

Should at least have some good surf for Saturday's North Shore Leg at Plum Island.

“Americans have the right and advantage of being armed, unlike the people of other countries, whose leaders are afraid to trust them with arms.” – James Madison.
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Old 08-19-2009, 06:03 AM   #21
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Quote:
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Cape Cod now in the cone of uncertainty. Watch out...this one could be the one. I don't like this path.
Yeah, I was with you a day or so ago, but that High coming in should be big enough to block it and send it out to the Maritimes...

What do you mean? I saw Al Roker interviewing the cast of the Office...

Bryan

Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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Old 08-19-2009, 06:21 AM   #22
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Look, look at this. We got Hurricane Bill moving north off the Atlantic seaboard. Huge... getting massive. Two, this low south of Sable Island, ready to explode. Look at this. Three, a fresh cold front swooping down from Canada. But it's caught a ride on the jet stream... and is motoring hell-bent towards the Atlantic. What if Hurricane Bill runs smack into it? Add to the scenario this baby off Sable Island, scrounging for energy. She'll start feeding off both the Canadian cold front... and Hurricane Bill. You could be a meteorologist all your life... and never see something like this. It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be... the perfect storm.

thats why they call it fishing not catching
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Old 08-19-2009, 06:22 AM   #23
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From a weather router:

Quote:
Only the GFS model takes Bill right down the pipe for Bermuda. The rest of the models are more westerly in their tracks and the official forecast from NHC/NWS assumes the western models are correct and takes a slightly west biased route.

All of the guidance is predicated on the troughs out in the Atlantic and the yet to form trough in the far Eastern US to affect the high pressure out in the Atlantic (Bill's steering wheel).

As the storm only appears to be threatening Bermuda at the moment, Bill will need to find the needle in the haystack to threaten life and property and while that is possible, I am not losing any sleep over his forecast path....Yet. Let's see how dramatic the NW turn is in 36-72 hours and that will give us a much better sense of where he is going.

Also keep your eye on the disturbed weather between Cuba/ Bahamas/Florida. Nothing yet and the NHC says "low probs" but they had "No Probs" in the area where Claudette formed...

Ski Quicks Hole
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Old 08-19-2009, 08:01 AM   #24
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I dunno, they changed the predicted track as of this AM bringing it closer to the Cape

Without a doubt, it bears watching at this point...

Raven, ya might wanna check with your Indian friend on this one...I've got a call in to the old Portagee down the street but he's out right now

He may be in the yard securing his tomato plants

"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
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Old 08-19-2009, 08:06 AM   #25
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Quote:
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I dunno, they changed the predicted track as of this AM bringing it closer to the Cape
NHC doesn't have much faith in that


Ski Quicks Hole
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Old 08-19-2009, 08:12 AM   #26
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NHC doesn't have much faith in that
I'm gonna wait for word from the old Portagoosie down the street, myself

And check the 11 AM NHC update just to be sure

"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
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Old 08-19-2009, 08:14 AM   #27
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Crafty Angler View Post
I'm gonna wait for word from the old Portagoosie down the street, myself
Make sure to check how many bottles he's gone through first.

Ski Quicks Hole
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Old 08-19-2009, 09:41 AM   #28
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Isn't today the anniversary of out last pinwheeled visitor, Hurricane Bob in the early 90s?

The Cape is going to see gale force winds and high surf no matter what, looking at that track. And you'll get surf all along the mid-Atlantic bight.

Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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Old 08-19-2009, 09:47 AM   #29
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Candles......check

Batteries.....check

Milk.....check

Bread.....check

Water.....check

Figures we are headed to Wellfleet for the week starting Saturday!!! At least we will be on the harbor side protected!!

Almost time to get our fish on!!!
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Old 08-19-2009, 09:58 AM   #30
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Near miss Sunday

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