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-   -   Hurricane Bill - interesting path (http://www.striped-bass.com/Stripertalk/showthread.php?t=58834)

Joe 08-20-2009 02:25 PM

There's a good book, A Wind To Shake The World, about the 38' Hurricane. It was written by a summer resident that had one of the forty or so cottages that lined Napatree Point.

Mr. Sandman 08-20-2009 02:40 PM

I am still not convinced this will make a hard right turn and go way out to sea. Many models are still predicting a cat 1+ direct hit. I know what the weather man says..but look at the maps. It may be a near miss but it will be a mess nonetheless.
http://hurricane.accuweather.com/hur...#stormProducts

OT:
BTW several big jets and numerous real big military helo's just flew over my house in route to the airport. They (the black elite) are here.:fury: I am headed to my workshop and make some lures. See you in 2 weeks.

Typhoon 08-20-2009 02:56 PM

There's still a bunch of models putting this over the cape.

http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/dat...3_ensmodel.gif

Mike P 08-20-2009 04:19 PM

Bill's future movement will be highly dependent upon its interaction with an upper level disturbance northwest of the hurricane and high pressure strengthening to the east. This interaction will guide Bill on a northwest course the rest of today through Friday. A strong upper-level trough now located over the central United States will move east causing increasing southwest upper-level winds over the western Atlantic this weekend. This will help steer the hurricane on a more northerly course between 65 west longitude and 70 west longitude. If the upper-level trough moves faster than expected, Bill's track will be closer to 65 west. If the upper-level trough moves slower, then Bill's track will be closer to and perhaps just west of 70 west



Mike P
Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
iTrader: (0)




Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 41° 44.5' N, 70° 36.8' W :shocked::err::conf::uhoh:

BassDawg 08-20-2009 06:15 PM

looks like somebunny will
be battening down the hatches!!!

just brang awn tha SURF!!!
:bl: :bl: :bl:

Crafty Angler 08-21-2009 03:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike P (Post 706622)
If the upper-level trough moves slower, then Bill's track will be closer to and perhaps just west of 70 west

I dunno, Mike - as of this AM the Weather Channel says that front out of the Midwest is gonna stall to our west - I still think it's gonna be a little dodgey hereabouts - and downright sporty on the Lower Cape

I guess this is gonna be the acid test for the new roof - I'm expecting a wet and gusty weekend at the very least, if nothing else

I'll tell ya, yesterday's weather sure had that pre-hurricane feel that I remember - real humid and still with virtually no breeze...:smokin:

If you start to notice very few birds of any kind around, it's time to start paying attention big time...:hs:

Maybe time to go to DefCon 1 - I'll have to run it by the Chief of Naval Operations as soon as she wakes up

RIROCKHOUND 08-21-2009 04:27 AM

You guys did see that the official NHC forecasts are moving the cone of opportunity further out to sea as of last night and the 5am, right? And after Katrina etc.. they are probably super cautious anyways, right?

This has a 1996 feel to it, warm, hot and storms passing offshore, making lots of good surf!

Crafty Angler 08-21-2009 06:17 AM

Anybody remember the name of the near-miss locally in the mid to late '90's...end of September I think it was...:huh:

Mike P 08-21-2009 07:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Crafty Angler (Post 706674)
I dunno, Mike - as of this AM the Weather Channel says that front out of the Midwest is gonna stall to our west - I still think it's gonna be a little dodgey hereabouts - and downright sporty on the Lower Cape

I guess this is gonna be the acid test for the new roof - I'm expecting a wet and gusty weekend at the very least, if nothing else

I'll tell ya, yesterday's weather sure had that pre-hurricane feel that I remember - real humid and still with virtually no breeze...:smokin:

If you start to notice very few birds of any kind around, it's time to start paying attention big time...:hs:

Maybe time to go to DefCon 1 - I'll have to run it by the Chief of Naval Operations as soon as she wakes up

Quote:

Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND (Post 706676)
You guys did see that the official NHC forecasts are moving the cone of opportunity further out to sea as of last night and the 5am, right? And after Katrina etc.. they are probably super cautious anyways, right?

This has a 1996 feel to it, warm, hot and storms passing offshore, making lots of good surf!

This is why I said I won't start worrying about this until tomorrow.

I remember the 90s near miss--it veered unexpectedly out to sea at the last minute. When we were still in its bullseye, the air had a heavy, metallic feel to it that you could almost taste.

Brian L 08-21-2009 07:53 AM

Don't mess with Bill

BassDawg 08-21-2009 08:05 AM

i was living in NPT and working under Chef Hawver at the White Horse in '91. i'll never forget the hurricane whose eye passed right over 1st Beach,,,,,,,,,,,,i believe it was Bob? don't know if that's the one you meant Crafty~~but it was AWESOME walking around 1st Beach during the EYE, the surf was crashing onto the first lane of Memorial Blvd, and there were trees down EVERYWHERE along the RI Ave area from where we conducted our watch party :uhuh: :uhuh: :uhuh:

stiff tip 08-21-2009 08:23 AM

your all a bunch of girls !!!!!! it was great fishing in the canal before and after huricane bob. saw whales and dolfins ,crazy sh t . bass on chunk pogies was good.. 91 was the last big blow that came through w/100+ winds,boats at mo beach were on shore road 200 ft from the water. lost power for 6 days . borrowed 5000kw from a friend.. now i have my own 8500kw hooked up.... 6gal = 12hrs. u hear them all through the area...glad i got mine .....

striperman36 08-21-2009 09:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BassDawg (Post 706702)
i was living in NPT and working under Chef Hawver at the White Horse in '91. i'll never forget the hurricane whose eye passed right over 1st Beach,,,,,,,,,,,,i believe it was Bob? don't know if that's the one you meant Crafty~~but it was AWESOME walking around 1st Beach during the EYE, the surf was crashing onto the first lane of Memorial Blvd, and there were trees down EVERYWHERE along the RI Ave area from where we conducted our watch party :uhuh: :uhuh: :uhuh:

It was Bob...

striperman36 08-21-2009 09:30 AM

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwp...s_slp_054s.gif


54 has the precip cone just east of us

Joe 08-21-2009 10:10 AM

Looks like a miss...

striperman36 08-21-2009 11:12 AM

Just precip. 1-3 max, swells and 30kt winds

capecodkid 08-21-2009 11:54 AM

I got a tuna charter on Tuesday, I hope these swells lay down by then.

Back Beach 08-21-2009 12:28 PM

Lets face it here.....nobody knows wtf this system is going to do...all the fancy projections, data, graphs, hunches, farmers almanac, historical data etc, recurring arthritis, diarrhea....we may just very well get our butt whipped for all anyone knows...lets just hope not...

I just need to make sure my headlamp has batteries so I can do some fishing...off to CVS.

Karl F 08-21-2009 06:27 PM

Crafty...the one in 96, that took a quick turn and left us alone, was Edourd...
I was on the beach in my camper, and got a knock on the door as i was cooking breakfast, telling me to leave the beach.... asked if i could finish breakfast, and was told to Hurry Up!...

The Birds left this AM, not a peep, or any activity at the feeder... the air is Florida Funky... after no wind or breeze for 3 days, it is starting to kick up, could be the other front from the west, who knows??... heard one forecaster say that tomorrow night/Sunday AM, the farthest east point on CC wil get 40-50 mph winds, heavy rains, and rip tides, and heavy surf...12-20 foot seas... we got 11.2 feet high tide at 2 AM Sunday too..can't get much farther east, than where i is...
Orleans has already posted that Nauset ORV will close Satruday and Sunday, and will be re-evaluated on Monday.....
Bill's center, they keep saying will pass 200 miles, (approx) to our east....
that's close enuf....but...like i been telling folks...we will know Monday AM for sure, what the damn thing will have done...and not until then...

lots of boats either getting moved into the inshore ponds and such, or downright hauled out today....
one local hauler quipped...the ones that is payed for, got hauled,...the ones with lots of $Paper$, and good insurance... are still moored :D

Storm Bottles!!!..get your Storm Bottles ... :buds:

spence 08-21-2009 07:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe (Post 706599)
There's a good book, A Wind To Shake The World, about the 38' Hurricane. It was written by a summer resident that had one of the forty or so cottages that lined Napatree Point.

Definitely a good read. A simple book that doesn't take long, but will bring a whole new perspective to many areas we're all familiar with.

-spence

striperman36 08-21-2009 07:59 PM

Not alot of wind either, very outer cape only

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwp...s_ten_042s.gif


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