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-   -   Why isn't the simulas having an effect? (http://www.striped-bass.com/Stripertalk/showthread.php?t=55388)

buckman 02-21-2009 04:50 PM

Why isn't the simulas having an effect?
 
Last Sale 7365.67 Previous Close 7465.95
Change -100.28 Open 7461.49
Change % -1.34% 1-Week Range 7850.41 - 7249.47
Previous Close 7465.95 1-Month Range 8405.87 - 7249.47
Today's Range 7249.47 - 7469.29 52 Week Range 7249.47 - 13136.70
Last Trade Time 02.20.09 5:40 PM EST YTD Change -5899.13

I wish it would. Any ideas? Alot of very educated guys on here. Help me out. IMO it's because it's a scam. You?

striperman36 02-21-2009 05:25 PM

How fast to you expect things to change?
The financial marketplace is still a mess, Geithner may nationalize some of the banking system. Gold is over 1000 per oz
Pelisoi is still in Itally, Kerry is in Israel, Schwarzenegger can't get a balanced budget CA may declare bankruptcy , GM - Chrsyler have no plan, and Plugfest is over and you didn't go.

The market doesn't believe we have a solution

spence 02-21-2009 06:10 PM

Ok, now you're just being stupid.

-spence

striperman36 02-21-2009 07:25 PM

YEAH talk to me at DJI 6000 in 2 weeks.

No confidence is reflected in the marketplace

spence 02-21-2009 07:48 PM

The problem is, we still have major national banks which are insolvent.

This is not Obama's fault.

I do think we should be very careful nationalizing any banks (i.e. let's not) and it's looking like the Obama Administration agrees.

This is a good thing.

-spence

striperman36 02-21-2009 07:58 PM

Isn't majority ownership as much a nationalization?
Although this little tidbit from WSJ

The White House tried to knock down speculation that the government is preparing to nationalize several large U.S. banks, but some bankers complained that the Obama administration needs to act even more aggressively to shore up confidence in battered financial institutions.
Robert Gibbs, a White House spokesman, said Friday afternoon that the month-old Obama administration "continues to strongly believe that a privately held banking system is the correct way to go."
The comments reversed a broader decline by U.S. stocks that at one point pushed the Dow Jones Industrial Average close to 1997 levels. Still, the Dow finished down 100.28 points, or 1.3%, to 7365.67, a new low for the current bear market. Friday's decline left the Dow with its worst weekly drop in four months.

However, the market is still having doubts.

The government has obviously decided to let us stew for another weekend. All we really know is that we either are or are not going to be beneficiaries of knowing some details of the bank "restructuring" plan within a few days. In the meantime, the market will have to continue feeding on uncertainty.

And you weren't at PlugFest either

buckman 02-22-2009 07:41 AM

I'm not saying who's fault it is.(in this thread anyway)
I would think that when a trillion dollar bill is passed, it would have some sort of effect on how investors feel companies will benifit.This magnitude of money flowing into the economy should help. I think it has had a negative effect.

IMO the problem stems from the anticipation of a bill that would benifit the country and passing one that screws the country. I think investors realize that the bill that was passed, will do long term damage to the U.S. economy.

buckman 02-22-2009 08:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 667162)
Ok, now you're just being stupid.

-spence

Educated guys?

Backbeach Jake 02-22-2009 09:22 AM

My take on DJ. It's gambleing plain and simple. You give a guy your bucks to grow a business, he gives himself a hefty check and bonus because he thinks the money is his. And since the money is "his" now he will try to keep it all. Except for a piddly portion that he pays back to to his suckers to keep them quiet. Until the whole thing comes unwound, then he gets the Government to tax the suckers to pay back the money he "lost".

striperman36 02-22-2009 09:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by buckman (Post 667323)
I\
IMO the problem stems from the anticipation of a bill that would benifit the country and passing one that screws the country. I think investors realize that the bill that was passed, will do long term damage to the U.S. economy.

I just believe people believe it will have no effect. I don't think most people think past tomorrow right now. Many of the working are just several paychecks or the lack there of from insolvency.

buckman 02-22-2009 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by striperman36 (Post 667352)
I just believe people believe it will have no effect. I don't think most people think past tomorrow right now. Many of the working are just several paychecks or the lack there of from insolvency.

Your right, I just feel the promise of a trillion dollars should have given it a bump at least. If this had been a true stimulas bill instead of a blueprint for bigger govornment, maybe it would have had a positive effect. The retired people ( and my 401k) needed something that would have worked.

buckman 02-22-2009 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Backbeach Jake (Post 667350)
My take on DJ. It's gambleing plain and simple. You give a guy your bucks to grow a business, he gives himself a hefty check and bonus because he thinks the money is his. And since the money is "his" now he will try to keep it all. Except for a piddly portion that he pays back to to his suckers to keep them quiet. Until the whole thing comes unwound, then he gets the Government to tax the suckers to pay back the money he "lost".

It's also where most people have there hopes for retirement deposited.

JohnnyD 02-22-2009 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by buckman (Post 667362)
Your right, I just feel the promise of a trillion dollars should have given it a bump at least.

Please stop saying "the promise of a trillion dollars" and trying to making it even more extreme than it is.

spence 02-22-2009 12:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JohnnyD (Post 667428)
Please stop saying "the promise of a trillion dollars" and trying to making it even more extreme than it is.

Nah, he's having a lot more fun trying to trip it up hoping it's a big failure. I'd be willing to wager he's accused Liberals of doing the exact same thing regarding the war in Iraq.

There hasn't been a rapid response in the markets because there are too many varibles that haven't been isolated. At the time Obama signed the bill into law the big story was about banks and the unknown as to what might happen.

Most economists believe that the recession isn't going to lift until best case end of this year and it could go deep into 2010. If that's the case I think it's a bit unreasonable to expect the Market to sound the all clear simply because Obama used a pen.

Geeze...

-spence

buckman 02-22-2009 01:07 PM

Your right. In fact the combined cost of the bailouts are well over a trillion dollars

And no, I pray it works. For the sake of future generations. Unfortunatly I'm a realist and I deal in substance.

Backbeach Jake 02-22-2009 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by buckman (Post 667364)
It's also where most people have there hopes for retirement deposited.

my point exactly. These shysters have crushed dreams, ruined lives and educations, and have lived pretty high on the hog from the blood and sweat of their victims. Now that is all in shards, they want their victims to foot the bill and sadly they have to or the whole shebang goes up in flames. I had a 401k eviserated in the 80s, I salvaged what was left and invested else where, where I had and have a modicum of control. This last "adventure' would have ruined me otherwise. And may still yet.

Backbeach Jake 02-22-2009 03:34 PM

Back to the question, the market hasn't responded because of fear and distrust. When the guys who run the investments start to behave responsibly and hell even legally, the investers will return. You can't fool all of the people all of the time. I pray it works, too, buckman. The people don't deserve this and right now they're scared, angry and mistrustful.

Swimmer 02-22-2009 03:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 667208)
The problem is, we still have major national banks which are insolvent.

This is not Obama's fault.

-spence

Sure it is, the buck stops here remember.

striperman36 02-22-2009 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by spence (Post 667442)
Nah, he's having a lot more fun trying to trip it up hoping it's a big failure. I'd be willing to wager he's accused Liberals of doing the exact same thing regarding the war in Iraq.

That would be RIJIMMY

RIJIMMY 02-23-2009 09:00 AM

you dont read a word I post

RIJIMMY 02-23-2009 09:33 AM

WASHINGTON (CNN) -- A new national poll indicates that nearly three out of four Americans are scared about the way things are going in the country today.

Seventy-three percent of those questioned in a CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Monday say they're very or somewhat scared about the way things are going in the United States. That's six points higher than in an October poll.

Joe 02-23-2009 12:47 PM

Of course, October and November and December were the meltdown months when your hero was under his desk taking a nap...

likwid 02-23-2009 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swimmer (Post 667509)
Sure it is, the buck stops here remember.

God I wish it would.

buckman 02-23-2009 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe (Post 667756)
Of course, October and November and December were the meltdown months when your hero was under his desk taking a nap...

I think we are at an 11 year low now. All that negative economy doom and gloom talk just might have backfired on Obama. To bad for anyone with a 401K. We need a real plan and we need it soon.

Joe 02-23-2009 04:25 PM

I hear after they nationalize Citigroup they are going cut the interest rates on credit cards to not more than 3% above prime. That will spurn consumer spending and free up money for households that carry balances.

LT. DAN 2 02-24-2009 08:09 AM

When GREED and FEAR hit the high notes (It may be Soon), watch for a gradual "capitulation"...i:e: the average Joe throws in the towel in fear of losing more of what he already lost. THEN................
The market makers will spin the first "Good News" headline as marking the bottom of the market. They will raise the market several hundred points over a few weeks, enticing the uninformed into believing the "All Clear" has been signaled and you will begin throwing money back into the market in an attempt to gain what you had lost. At this point, the market makers will pull the rug out from under you by dropping the market several hundred points over a few days and will now have all of your money and your anger. Some will sell out and vow never again while others will be recycled into the same steps as before until the real bottom is formed. (That's when their are no more retail buyers (You) left).
Market makers from Wall Street have some of the most Brilliant Psychologist working in their firms. They know how you think, how you try to reason, and prey on that advantage.
Just my thoughts..
O.K. Back into my Cave.
P.S. It's not all doom and gloom as the patient investor who has that proverbial long term horizon will be O.K. as long as we are the U.S. of A. If that changes, all bets are off.

RIJIMMY 02-24-2009 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Joe (Post 667756)
Of course, October and November and December were the meltdown months when your hero was under his desk taking a nap...

Bush is not my hero. But just so you know, its Congress's job to introduce leglislation and last I checked we had democrat congress for the last 2 years. What where they up to?

buckman 02-24-2009 09:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RIJIMMY (Post 667980)
Bush is not my hero. But just so you know, its Congress's job to introduce leglislation and last I checked we had democrat congress for the last 2 years. What where they up to?

Waiting for Bush to leave, so they can spend money we don't have.

Can't wait for the speach tonight. My prediction the Dow drops 200 or more tomorrow.
Funny how a speach can effect it, but the promise of a trillion dollars takes a long time to effect it.

Let me wrap up the speach for you, "Bush's fault", we need to control the deficit, I will spend billions and billions.

fishbones 02-24-2009 09:25 AM

I fell so much better that most of my money is invested in custom plugs and not some wacky retirement plan.

striperman36 02-24-2009 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by buckman (Post 667994)
Waiting for Bush to leave, so they can spend money we don't have.

Can't wait for the speach tonight. My prediction the Dow drops 200 or more tomorrow.
Funny how a speach can effect it, but the promise of a trillion dollars takes a long time to effect it.

Let me wrap up the speach for you, "Bush's fault", we need to control the deficit, I will spend billions and billions.


It will be an interesting discussion, particularly with a nationalized financial market.

justplugit 02-24-2009 11:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by buckman (Post 667994)

Can't wait for the speach tonight. My prediction the Dow drops 200 or more tomorrow.

I think the more important speech, for the market, will be how it reacts to Geitner's plan to be released tomorrow.

buckman 02-24-2009 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justplugit (Post 668032)
I think the more important speech, for the market, will be how it reacts to Geitner's plan to be released tomorrow.

I think your right. Didn't go over to good last time he spoke.

justplugit 02-24-2009 11:39 AM

Don't think Turbo Tax will be an advertising sponsor for that hour. ;)

RIJIMMY 02-24-2009 04:31 PM

read the entire thread above and then read today's headline below. I've been telling you markets REACT to news. As Buckman stated, it has consistently reacted negatviely to Obamas stimulus and TARP and you guys give this long blah blah nonsense on why......well read below. You are full of crap. One announcement and the markets up


Stocks jump after Bernanke says recession may end

AP – Federal Reserve Board Chairman Ben Bernanke testifies on Capitol Hill in Washington, Tuesday, Feb. 24, … NEW YORK – Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke has given Wall Street a double dose of reassurance. Bernanke has told Congress the recession might end this year, and that regulators aren't planning to nationalize banks. The news alleviated some of investors' worries about the economy and the banking system, and lifted the Dow Jones industrial average and Standard & Poor's 500 index off their lowest levels since 1997.

buckman 02-24-2009 04:58 PM

I fear the speach tonight will kill any bounce from today. I hope they are rewriting it as we speak.

JohnnyD 02-24-2009 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by buckman (Post 668155)
I fear the speach tonight will kill any bounce from today. I hope they are rewriting it as we speak.

Any bounce? I thought the market was going to tank 200 points today?

striperman36 02-24-2009 06:38 PM

He speaks and the world markets will take a dive.
Investors are not convinced that anything we do will fix the market.
Lassiez faire won't make it happen. We are going to see nationalization, iMHO.

buckman 03-02-2009 03:41 PM

Sure has been quite from the left on this site. How much time do we give the boy genius before he completely destroys the economy.

Last Sale 6794.99 Previous Close 7062.93
Change -267.94 Open 7056.48
Change % -3.79% 1-Week Range 7441.02 - 7033.62
Previous Close 7062.93 1-Month Range 8405.87 - 7033.62
Today's Range 6792.29 - 7058.95 52 Week Range 7033.62 - 13136.70
Last Trade Time 3:17 PM EST YTD Change -6469.81

Maybe next time we propose a budget we don't contradict everything we proposed to do in the Stimulas bill.

striperman36 03-02-2009 03:58 PM

Negative Vibes, gotta stop it with the negative Vibes.

spence 03-02-2009 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by striperman36 (Post 670108)
Negative Vibes, gotta stop it with the negative Vibes.

He can't, it's all he has...

-spence


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