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HURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...
DEEP CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVING ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC STATES
WILL LIKELY RESULT IN CYCLOGENESIS SOMEWHERE OFF THE SOUTHERN NEW
ENGLAND COAST. WE ARE STILL ABOUT 96 HOURS FROM THIS EVENT SO IT
REMAINS UNCERTAIN HOW QUICKLY THE LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AND ITS EXACT
LOCATION. THE 12Z GFS HAS THE LOW RAPIDLY INTENSIFYING NEAR THE
SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND COAST WITH THE SYSTEM THEN BECOMING VERTICALLY
STACKED. THIS WOULD MEAN HEAVY RAIN WITH STRONG WINDS ALONG THE
COAST AND THE POTENTIAL FOR MINOR COASTAL FLOODING/BEACH EROSION
DURING THE FRIDAY HIGH TIDE CYCLE. HOWEVER...THE 12Z ECMWF/UKMET
STILL SHOW A DECENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM BUT ARE MORE PROGRESSIVE AND
LESS INTENSE THAN THEIR RUNS OF 12 TO 24 HOURS AGO.
REGARDLESS...HAVE ENOUGH CONFIDENCE TO RUN WITH LIKELY TO LOW END
CATEGORICAL POPS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH RAIN.
any weather word with genesis at the end is really not good.
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