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10:45 am ET A few paths to choose from:Well, by now you've heard about the potential for a big winter storm. The hype machine is already in full-effect by some. Let's take a more rational look at the storm.
The one factor everyone needs to remember is that the potential winter storm is still 3 to 4 days away. Computer weather models have a tendency to flip-flop between different forecast scenarios from one model run to another.
A model run, by the way, is the time when a computer program produces a possible future weather scenario given the atmospheric conditions at the present time. Generally speaking, this is done about 2 to 4 times a day (a few weather models, however, are run every 2 to 3 hours).
So with that information in hand, it's quite difficult to hang your hat on a definitive forecast for this winter storm. The one thing we can say for certain is that there will be a winter storm over the eastern third of the country beginning on Monday and through all of Tuesday.
Computer weather models have been depicting two different storm tracks which you can see below:
Possible storm tracks
The interior track (Georgia to western Pennsylvania) will spell out very heavy snow (and in some cases possible blizzard conditions) for the the Appalachians and into western Pennsylvania and western New York. Heavy rain would fall along the East Coast including the I-95 corridor.
The more eastern track (Georgia to New Jersey/Long Island) would result in a heavy snowfall for locations east of the Appalachians including the big cities of the Northeastern I-95 corridor.
Models are currently trending toward the more eastern track but the finer details remain up in the air including the intensity of the storm and the speed of movement.
Keep it here at weather.com and The Weather Channel as we continue to fine-tune the forecast today and during the weekend.
Finally, we have one more thing to mention. In terms of destruction and costliness, this storm will come nowhere even close to the historic ice storm which struck Oklahoma, Missouri, Arkansas and Kentucky. In fact, there will be little to no ice associated with this storm. It will be your classic winter storm complete with heavy snow, high winds, and cold temperatures.
Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
I'd "bury my head in the sand", but I can't find my shovel after the last storm!!!!
In any case, it NEVER hurts to be prepared for "disaster", regardless of the scale of the event.
My family jokes that I've bought "too much" *____*(fill in the blank).
But who do they turn to when they run out?
Even just the basic amenities make life more comfortable when the power goes out.
im leaving early wednesday morning to drive to northern michigan to bail my grandparents out of some bad weather and no wood left over, and with my grandpa half paralized after a stroke over the summer, they cant afford to wait much longer for me to get up there. sure hope the storm doesnt slow us down. the mountains in pensylvania are sure going to be one hell of a drive
Cats out of the bag! They are starting to cancel everything for next week.......school, work, everything! The following 2 weeks too! Guess they figure with 100 inches of snow....things could get pretty bad? They never cancelled school this far ahead when we had 100 inches of snow when I was a kid!
yeah when i went to school Larry i had to bring a shovel and dig my way there.
I thought the shovel was not invented yet only the stone hammer and clovis point.
Originally Posted by Flaptail
"Throw plugs like we do that will cause them to suffer humility. Pogies make any fisherman look good when bass are around. Bait is easy."
Ya know, the more equipment the meteorologists get, the less reliable the predictions are.
I'd really like to have a job where I only had to be correct 50% of the time and still collect a paycheck...
Unfortunately, I have the perfect face for radio -
I'll tell ya right now, Art Lake* would have already had the whole damned thing figured out by now...he's just a little tough to contact these days...
Hell, even Bunny North* could've done it...
* Old dead weather people for you kids out there.
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
Finally! A place to talk about the Blizzard of 78!
52" of snow in downtown Providence. Stuck there from the Monday morning of the storm until Thursday morning.
Marriott Hotel. Food ran out on Monday night. Had one blueberry pancake on Tuesday, after taking some supplies of a trailer truck. On Thursday, we walked to Attleboro on the Rte 95 on divider in platform shoes (it was the seventies after all...). We fell down a lot...
Got back to CT on Sunday. The car we drove in was found in April and impounded. It was stuck in a pile of snow at a gas station on a corner - we had to abandon it (fiat spyder convertible...). Our boss had to drive through Massachusetts to get us back to CT. Ok... done.
Thanks for listening.
Me too, I don't think she know anything about meteorolgy.
We need a nipplemeter here.
I was hoping she would drop the clicker...
"Here's the weatherman's dilemma
No consensus in the models across the board -
US (GFS/NAM) shows the Mega-Storm
European (UKMET) shows it going way east
Canadian models(GGEM, ECMWF) are in the middle"
And either way we'll be pissed at them... tough gig!
Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
"Here's the weatherman's dilemma
No consensus in the models across the board -
US (GFS/NAM) shows the Mega-Storm
European (UKMET) shows it going way east
Canadian models(GGEM, ECMWF) are in the middle"
Only a pink panty wearing Liberal would consider an European or Canadian weather projection ahead of an American one.
I'm betting on the red blooded mega-storm, and I'll be using my Union made shovel to clean it up.
I think I've watched this video about 45 times already
-spence
I watched it 4 times before I even realized she wasn't speaking English.
Conservatism is not about leaving people behind. Conservatism is about empowering people to catch up, to give them tools at their disposal that make it possible for them to access all the hope, all the promise, all the opportunity that America offers. - Marco Rubio
I don't know - there's just something provocative about the way she gestures toward the map...
May the Cap could provide us with a permanent link in the Weather area...
She's even hotter than Dylan Dryer...now all Channel 10 has is that fat broad on in the AM...
Ya know, life is too short to have to watch ugly women on TV that early in the morning...just sours my outlook on the rest of the day..
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
Hey, Rav - what's your Native American friend calling for?...
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
Anyone watching when Dylan Dreyer said she loves COX on air?
No, missed it....maybe somebody can find it on youtube...
I think she's actually on a Boston station now - if that really was her, it looks like Boston's been a little rough on her...
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
atta BOY ICE
They never cancelled school this far ahead when we had 100 inches of snow when I was a kid!
The wife is supposed to be flying out of logan, tuesday at 530pm!!
Hybrid Mode
