Hurricane Bill - interesting path

[quick decision]

Look, look at this. We got Hurricane Bill moving north off the Atlantic seaboard. Huge... getting massive. Two, this low south of Sable Island, ready to explode. Look at this. Three, a fresh cold front swooping down from Canada. But it's caught a ride on the jet stream... and is motoring hell-bent towards the Atlantic. What if Hurricane Bill runs smack into it? Add to the scenario this baby off Sable Island, scrounging for energy. She'll start feeding off both the Canadian cold front... and Hurricane Bill. You could be a meteorologist all your life... and never see something like this. It would be a disaster of epic proportions. It would be... the perfect storm.

[likwid]

From a weather router:

Only the GFS model takes Bill right down the pipe for Bermuda. The rest of the models are more westerly in their tracks and the official forecast from NHC/NWS assumes the western models are correct and takes a slightly west biased route.

All of the guidance is predicated on the troughs out in the Atlantic and the yet to form trough in the far Eastern US to affect the high pressure out in the Atlantic (Bill's steering wheel).

As the storm only appears to be threatening Bermuda at the moment, Bill will need to find the needle in the haystack to threaten life and property and while that is possible, I am not losing any sleep over his forecast path....Yet. Let's see how dramatic the NW turn is in 36-72 hours and that will give us a much better sense of where he is going.

Also keep your eye on the disturbed weather between Cuba/ Bahamas/Florida. Nothing yet and the NHC says "low probs" but they had "No Probs" in the area where Claudette formed...

[Crafty Angler]

I dunno, they changed the predicted track as of this AM bringing it closer to the Cape

Without a doubt, it bears watching at this point...

Raven, ya might wanna check with your Indian friend on this one...I've got a call in to the old Portagee down the street but he's out right now

He may be in the yard securing his tomato plants

[likwid]

Originally Posted by Crafty Angler

I dunno, they changed the predicted track as of this AM bringing it closer to the Cape

NHC doesn't have much faith in that

[Crafty Angler]

Originally Posted by likwid

NHC doesn't have much faith in that

I'm gonna wait for word from the old Portagoosie down the street, myself

And check the 11 AM NHC update just to be sure

[likwid]

Originally Posted by Crafty Angler

I'm gonna wait for word from the old Portagoosie down the street, myself

Make sure to check how many bottles he's gone through first.

[Mike P]

Isn't today the anniversary of out last pinwheeled visitor, Hurricane Bob in the early 90s?

The Cape is going to see gale force winds and high surf no matter what, looking at that track. And you'll get surf all along the mid-Atlantic bight.

[Crafty Angler]

Originally Posted by likwid

Make sure to check how many bottles he's gone through first.

Will do - on my end down this way, I'm hoping it won't be more than a 2 bottle storm...

Maybe Karl F will pipe up with a prediction for you guys on the Cape - he's usually right on the money...

[boot man]

Originally Posted by Crafty Angler

I'm gonna wait for word from the old Portagoosie down the street, myself

And check the 11 AM NHC update just to be sure

Doesnt sound so bad according to Weather Manny

http://portuguesefireman.com/files/1...er_Manny_2.mp3

[JohnR]

Originally Posted by boot man

Doesnt sound so bad according to Weather Manny

http://portuguesefireman.com/files/1...er_Manny_2.mp3

LMAO everytime I hear Weather Manny