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08-19-2009, 10:06 AM
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#31
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Geezer Gone Wild
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 3,397
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Quote:
Originally Posted by likwid
Make sure to check how many bottles he's gone through first.  |
Will do - on my end down this way, I'm hoping it won't be more than a 2 bottle storm... 
Maybe Karl F will pipe up with a prediction for you guys on the Cape - he's usually right on the money...  |
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
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08-19-2009, 10:10 AM
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#32
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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08-19-2009, 10:11 AM
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#33
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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08-19-2009, 10:12 AM
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#34
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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This is as close as the MSLP shows it
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08-19-2009, 10:34 AM
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#35
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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GFS agrees for now.
Lotta bark, no bite.
NS may get the crap kicked out of it though. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-19-2009, 04:47 PM
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#37
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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what?
Quote:
Originally Posted by BigFish
Candles......check
Batteries.....check
Milk.....check
Bread.....check
Water.....check
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NO COOKIES ???? |
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08-19-2009, 04:48 PM
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#38
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2000
Location: Sea or Sand
Posts: 1,947
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Every year I look for one to come by and stir the pot for the doldrums to be no more, We want it close to push those fish off the bank and in our way. But not close enough for us to sustain alot of damage. BRING IT ON!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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fisherwomen & baitcaster
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08-19-2009, 05:53 PM
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#39
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,044
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If it acts anything like it's namesake, it will get all spun up, followed by glancing "blow" and a little squirt onto the "beach"... I don't think we have anything to worry about  |
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08-19-2009, 06:35 PM
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#40
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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K.
No comment for now.
Quote:
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It is entirely possible that Bill will take the forecast path but a scary specter rose its head this afternoon...The high pressure that was scheduled to have some weakness in it allowing Bill to make a continuous right turn showed hints of not breaking down quite the way the models predicted in the 30-060 hour time window. The low pressure system expected to sweep Bill out to the North and then rapidly NE may be either delayed or not quite as deep as originally anticipated. None of these are facts (yet) and the storm may very well play out along the tightly clustered model consensus but with a storm this strong and fairly large in size, it is worth watching.
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Ski Quicks Hole
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08-19-2009, 07:09 PM
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#41
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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Quote:
Originally Posted by likwid
K.No comment for now. |
Yeah, the GFS model and the Euro models both show a slight shift to a more northerly track.
I really don't feel like going on a Hauling brigade for the boat(s)  |
Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-19-2009, 07:12 PM
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#42
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND
Yeah, the GFS model and the Euro models both show a slight shift to a more northerly track.
I really don't feel like going on a Hauling brigade for the boat(s) |
bad juju. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-19-2009, 07:20 PM
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#43
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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we'll see.
I have faith in the high to keep it out to sea and keep us to T.S force wind gusts max... I haven't seen a model that puts the east side near S.E. New England, and NONE that have the freight train track of 38...
Last edited by RIROCKHOUND; 08-19-2009 at 07:29 PM..
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-19-2009, 07:22 PM
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#44
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RIROCKHOUND
we'll see.
I have faith in the high to keep it out to see and keep us to T.S force wind gusts max... I haven't seen a model that puts the east side near S.E. New England, and NONE that have the freight train track of 38...
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Still a bit too early to make any solid predictions.
Tomorrow night could be a go/no go. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-19-2009, 09:45 PM
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#45
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 5,945
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Crafty Angler
Will do - on my end down this way, I'm hoping it won't be more than a 2 bottle storm...
Maybe Karl F will pipe up with a prediction for you guys on the Cape - he's usually right on the money... |
 ...  ...
we are due... been 18 years since Bob....
week without power...except at our store... only cold beer on lower cape for a week... man we was swamped... scored lotsa free firewood... but... I digress...a bit... the t-shirts... "I got Blown By Bob on Cape Cod"...guy that did those up that year made a killin... i ran into him tonight at work...asked him if he started on the "I got Blown By Bill on Cape Cod" t-shirts yet... ... he said he already had the art work done, and is gonna wait a day or so... to see the track... he know he has to blast them out before NSTAR pukes....IF we get it....
we is selling tons of bottles, regardless....but it will be at least a 2 bottle storm,  no matter where it makes land fall... and I am making sure I have a full tank of chainsaw gas, atleast two extra sharp chains... and that the motorhome has a full load of gas, propane, and water, and made sure the generator is in good working order today.... plus the wife , I am sure, will load up on provisions.....just in case... ..
Just walked out of work a bit ago...it is a helluva lot more humid now, than earlier in the day...and the air is stagnant...no breeze...
my Mom would call this past weeks weather... a "weather breeder"....
an 83 year old I know told me tonight, his bones tell him it's coming..
and says it will pass right over Falmouth... ...
who knows??? 
Only Time will tell.... |
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08-19-2009, 11:07 PM
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#46
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 129
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'38 Path Question
Hey Guys and Gals, chris here.
Just looked this up on wikipedia and thought it was interesting. Path of the '38 Hurricane. What caused it to straighten out there at the end when it looked like it would curve out to sea? I'm still learning and trying to understand how these troughs and ridges "steer" these massive storms.
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08-20-2009, 01:45 AM
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#47
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Geezer Gone Wild
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 3,397
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Yeah, Karl if I was gonna trust anyone it'd have to be someone old enough to have lived through the '38, '44 and '54 storms - I only qualify on one out of the three and my memories of Carol are still pretty vivid considering I was only 5 at the time
In all seriousness - which is fairly rare for me - can't say I like the predicted track going inside of Bermuda and now the high to our west looks to be stalling...  ...gotta check a couple of weather maps
Worst case would be the cold front to our west slowing down allowing Bill to pass in between that one and the one responsible for our hot weather off the coast, funneling it this way
At the very least they're calling for swells between 12-20' by Sunday
I'll listen to the NHC morning report, but I may be moving up to DefCon 2 as of now for the storm - thank God we had a long-overdue new roof put on the house last week, just hope it stays there... 
If nothing else at this point, it's at least worth making sure you're prepared - better safe than sorry
You've gotta admit, it's been a strange summer weather-wise...
Last edited by Crafty Angler; 08-20-2009 at 03:18 AM..
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"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
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08-20-2009, 04:43 AM
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#48
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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went to check
SIGN on the old Indian's house
left town because of hurricane  |
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08-20-2009, 05:06 AM
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#49
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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I'm sticking with what I said above , maybe TS gusts, and maybe the extreme west edge brushes ACK....
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-20-2009, 06:18 AM
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#50
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lobster = striper bait
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: Popes Island Performing Arts Center
Posts: 5,871
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saltwateredge
What caused it to straighten out there at the end when it looked like it would curve out to sea?
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Probably a Low that was sitting there pushing it out to sea fell apart and let it go thumping along. The ridges are the boundaries between systems. |
Ski Quicks Hole
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08-20-2009, 08:11 AM
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#51
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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Quote:
Originally Posted by likwid
Probably a Low that was sitting there pushing it out to sea fell apart and let it go thumping along. The ridges are the boundaries between systems.
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If you get a High way out over Bermuda as well, it can ride the west edge of that, coupled with a dip near the coast in the jet stream... it will ride up, and come fast, typically forward speeds in new England are 40-60mph. makes the east side of the storm that much worse.
Updated runs still show it out to sea the closest model is the NGF model.... |
Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-20-2009, 08:45 AM
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#52
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Geezer Gone Wild
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 3,397
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
SIGN on the old Indian's house
left town because of hurricane |
Hmmm...I noticed the old greenhorn up the street was out early this AM doubling up the lines on his tomato plants... |
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
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08-20-2009, 08:46 AM
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#53
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,270
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Crafty Angler
Hmmm...I noticed the old greenhorn up the street was out early this AM doubling up the lines on his tomato plants... |
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~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-20-2009, 09:13 AM
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#54
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Fairhaven
Posts: 351
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Crafty Angler
I'm gonna wait for word from the old Portagoosie down the street, myself
And check the 11 AM NHC update just to be sure
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Doesnt sound so bad according to Weather Manny
http://portuguesefireman.com/files/1...er_Manny_2.mp3 |
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08-20-2009, 09:38 AM
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#55
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,270
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Quote:
Originally Posted by boot man
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LMAO everytime I hear Weather Manny |
~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-20-2009, 10:46 AM
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#56
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,158
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I'll start worrying about it on Saturday. Maybe I should get another propane tank and fill it, so we'll have the grill. Or I can just grab an extra bag of charcoal for that other grill.
Maybe it'll hit us hard enough to get me out of jury duty on Monday |
Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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08-20-2009, 10:52 AM
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#57
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Also known as OAK
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Westlery, RI
Posts: 10,408
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Bill has continued to move on a steady northwest track or 305
degrees at 16 knots...embedded within the flow surrounding the
Azores-Bermuda high. In about two days...the hurricane will become
steered northward and then northeastward by the flow between a
large mid-latitude trough swinging eastward across the eastern
United States and the subtropical high. Once the recurvature
begins...the hurricane should increase in forward speed. Most of
the track guidance shifted slightly to the west compared to the
previous run. This shift in guidance justifies a very small shift
to the west of the track official forecast...which indeed is very
close to the consensus.
Large swells generated by this hurricane are affecting the northern
Leeward Islands and should begin affecting the Bahamas...Bermuda...
most of the eastern U.S. Coast...and the Atlantic Maritimes of
Canada during the next few days. These swells will likely
cause extremely dangerous surf and life-threatening rip currents.
Please consult statements issued by your local weather office for
more details.
This afternoon NOAA and the 53rd hurricane hunters will be
conducting a two-aircraft synoptic surveillance mission around
Hurricane Bill to improve the initial analysis for the numerical
models.
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Bryan
Originally Posted by #^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&#^&
"For once I agree with Spence. UGH. I just hope I don't get the urge to go start buying armani suits to wear in my shop"
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08-20-2009, 11:49 AM
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#58
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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08-20-2009, 01:58 PM
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#59
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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oh he's a RIOT
Quote:
Originally Posted by JohnR
LMAO everytime I hear Weather Manny |
listened to it ah Twice
wicked funny
Damn those new yorkers LOL |
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08-20-2009, 02:06 PM
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#60
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Geezer Gone Wild
Join Date: Nov 2001
Posts: 3,397
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Hey, bahhhdy, we got troublesh ova heah...
Unplug everyt'ing, just like Avo used to do... |
"There is no royal road to this heavy surf-fishing. With all the appliances for comfort experience can suggest, there is a certain amount of hard work to be done and exposure to be bourne as a part of the price of success." From "Striped Bass," Scribner's Magazine, 1881.
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