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I really only look at the NOAA site consistently. I figure they have access to all the existing models and use them to come up with the most likely track and the surrounding cone.
When I owned my two sailboats during the 1990s and early 2000s, I really kept an eye on tracks and the NOAA site was as accurate as any and much simpler to sort out. This time of year until October was always a bit tricky. My guess is that we (SoCo0 are going to get a storm... but nothing extraordinary. Some power outages... but the BIG HIT is going to be 100s of miles of coast from North Carolina to NY. The shoreline is definitely going to get some alterations.
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