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Old 12-07-2006, 09:12 AM   #1
Sluggoslinger
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It makes sense but with every sport on the offseason, people look for a reason to hype the next year. I'm sure you can find data that will say there won't be as many due to lack of bait etc.

I love the theory's and they do get me excited for a chance but I just don't hold my breath.
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Old 12-07-2006, 09:16 AM   #2
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mike,

Look at the numbers of 40-48 pound fish taken last year... just on this site alone. maybe we were treated to a school that hugged the coast... but it seems like next year offers a good chance at large. We shall see.....

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Old 12-07-2006, 09:23 AM   #3
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seems like we're seeing more and more adult bunker each season. i would think that if they return, big fish should continue to venture into our waters .......that is if the jersey guys don't kill them all
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Old 12-07-2006, 09:33 AM   #4
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I think we'll see more bigger fish in the NE, as bunker make a stay in our waters. More 50"/50lb fish instead of 50"/40lb fish. Same fish, just heavier.

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Old 12-07-2006, 09:39 AM   #5
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Quote:
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I think we'll see more bigger fish in the NE, as bunker make a stay in our waters. More 50"/50lb fish instead of 50"/40lb fish. Same fish, just heavier.
I argree;
I saw more 'healthy' fat fish this year than years past, many more 38" legit 20lb fish instead of schools of 36" 15lb fish

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Old 12-07-2006, 09:45 AM   #6
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My numbers/thesis is for coastwide, not just s-b members. You guys are all making legit arguments. There are variables, but the general population numbers right now based on YOY favor us catiching a lot of 15-35# fish, just like this year. This is based on the spike in YOY roughly 10-12 years ago.The real big fish(documented/official, of course) caught from the surf this year I know of are minimal compared to the early 2000's through 2005. I say its an availability issue coastwide.The boats still get them frequently, but I'm pretty sure its less than a few years ago. The YOY index says it should be less than the early 2000's.

Last edited by Back Beach; 12-07-2006 at 09:50 AM..

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Old 12-07-2006, 09:48 AM   #7
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Originally Posted by Canalman View Post
mike,

Look at the numbers of 40-48 pound fish taken last year... just on this site alone. -Dave

you mean 2005, not 2006, right?

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Old 12-07-2006, 10:37 AM   #8
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based on the numbers of schoolies I caught this year, if the bait populations are taken care of, we could have tons of good sized fish in 20 years!
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Old 12-07-2006, 10:39 AM   #9
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The 1996 YOY was almost triple that of the 1989

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Old 12-07-2006, 11:35 AM   #10
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The 1996 YOY was almost triple that of the 1989
How big would one of the 96 class fish be now?
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Old 12-07-2006, 12:18 PM   #11
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How big would one of the 96 class fish be now?
36-38" range, or 15-18#'s for 1996 class.

48-50" for the 1989 fish right now, the weight is negligible. By 2009 though, you could make an argument for an increased number of trophy class fish available based on the numbers of what was born 20 years prior.

Last edited by Back Beach; 12-07-2006 at 12:24 PM..

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Old 12-07-2006, 11:36 AM   #12
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The 1996 YOY was almost triple that of the 1989
that explains the loads of 42" 24-27 pound bass all over the place this year.

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Old 12-08-2006, 03:28 PM   #13
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Quote:
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you mean 2005, not 2006, right?
no 2006

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