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StriperTalk! All things Striper |
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08-31-2010, 09:14 AM
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#1
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,287
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Earl
Interesting track:
For reference, the image track from 10am 8/31/2010
Last edited by JohnR; 08-31-2010 at 10:33 AM..
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~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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08-31-2010, 09:29 AM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 797
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Should be fun driving over the newport bridge sat morn
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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08-31-2010, 09:32 AM
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#3
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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Will post the latest once the Navy and Air Force update their models.
The models are trending more westward as we get closer.
Don't bet any money on it until within the T-48 hour window. There is a 200-300 mi variance in the models at T-96 or greater.
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08-31-2010, 09:43 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 5,238
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That's quite the shift westward from yesterday's models.
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08-31-2010, 09:48 AM
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#5
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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Correct posted models are interpolated from the the 0200 run. Need to wait another hour or so to get this mornings runs.
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08-31-2010, 09:54 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2009
Posts: 797
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Looking almost like the track of '38
Posted from my iPhone/Mobile device
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08-31-2010, 10:12 AM
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#7
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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but it'll be a cat 2 by then
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08-31-2010, 10:27 AM
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#8
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BigFish Bait Co.
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Hanover
Posts: 23,392
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
but it'll be a cat 2 by then
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You hope!
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Almost time to get our fish on!!!
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08-31-2010, 10:39 AM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2000
Location: Cumberland,RI
Posts: 8,555
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That's an often seen track for Hurricanes. Once it gets in the groove it just rides the coast , still s#^^^^^&g energy from the water but beating the heck out of the whole coast line.
Lets hope it goes East!
Last edited by Saltheart; 08-31-2010 at 06:17 PM..
Reason: Homer Simpson moment
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Saltheart
Custom Crafted Rods by Saltheart
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08-31-2010, 10:50 AM
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#10
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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still trending west, about 60 pct of the models have been updated to the 0800 EDT run
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08-31-2010, 10:54 AM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Gloucester Massachusetts
Posts: 2,678
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Hope it is over by Saturday night. One of the biggest bluefish tournaments in New england is here on Cape Ann with over 600 fishermen on Sunday. We have the Lanesville Bluefish Tournament on Sunday of labor day weekend.
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08-31-2010, 02:01 PM
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#12
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Jiggin' Leper Lawyer
Join Date: Oct 2000
Location: 61° 30′ 0″ N, 23° 46′ 0″ E
Posts: 8,158
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
but it'll be a cat 2 by then
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So was Bob, and Carol. I was only a year old when Carol hit the cape, but I've seen the pictures. And I remember good old Bob very well. Comm Electric had a 100% customer power outage--some for as long as 10 days. Thousands of downed trees, boats blown on shore. And that sucker hit us at low tide.
Believe me--110 to 120 mph sustained winds can cause plenty of damage, as can a 10' or greater storm surge.
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Wise men speak because they have something to say; Fools, because they have to say something.
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08-31-2010, 02:18 PM
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#13
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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200 pm runs show it moving more easterly, good alignment with most models, should see this more in the next few runs

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08-31-2010, 01:53 PM
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#14
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Retired Surfer
Join Date: Dec 2000
Location: Sunset Grill
Posts: 9,511
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dON'T OPEN THE DOOR FRIDAY IT MIGHT BE eARL
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Swimmer a.k.a. YO YO MA
Serial Mailbox Killer/Seal Fisherman
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08-31-2010, 01:56 PM
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#15
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BigFish Bait Co.
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Hanover
Posts: 23,392
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Guessing this one will be quite forgettable! 
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Almost time to get our fish on!!!
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09-01-2010, 06:05 AM
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#16
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Dismember
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Maine
Posts: 208
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I remember a pile of boats on the bar in Marblehead, MA for one of those storms. Had to clean it up with frontend loaders and trailer dumps.
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72 hrs of fishing SoCo, not a felony in all 50 states.
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09-01-2010, 02:22 PM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Newtown, CT
Posts: 5,659
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Just got back from doubling the lines. IMHO all we're going to see in RI is some tropical storm force winds.
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09-01-2010, 03:05 PM
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#18
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........
Join Date: Apr 2002
Posts: 22,805
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unknown reason
my power was out this morning when we woke up...
talk about an electrical gizmo addiction fit... kinda feeling
plus, i had to much wine (it was free) --->  hangover
and i couldn't make coffee
i hate when that happens.... friggan Earl's Fault i bet 
in advance
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09-01-2010, 09:01 PM
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#19
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,287
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Jinking west a little.
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~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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09-01-2010, 09:03 PM
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#20
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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can't wait to see the 0800 models. the high pressure is moving off and the trough expected before the cold front is slowing down.
It could be an ACK smacker or the hooter in muskeget channel
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09-01-2010, 09:19 PM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2004
Location: Sturbridge MA
Posts: 3,127
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Im going to go out on a limb and say im not the only one who is kind of excited for a good storm. Im not taking katrina type stuff. I remember Gloria from when i was a kid living in NYC and it was pretty cool, but id like to see another.
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Everything is better on the rocks.
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09-01-2010, 10:29 PM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Location: Rhode Island
Posts: 3,650
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I have a backyard big enough for a double-wide FEMA trailer - I hope we get the new ones....
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09-02-2010, 05:59 AM
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#23
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Oblivious // Grunt, Grunt Master
Join Date: Nov 2005
Location: over the hill
Posts: 6,682
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Ugh. Not liking this am's tracks. Two of five models now have it heading for the upper Cape.
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09-02-2010, 06:15 AM
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#24
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Certifiable Intertidal Anguiologist
Join Date: Feb 2000
Location: Somewhere between OOB & west of Watch Hill
Posts: 35,287
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Yes, this is going to be a real problem on the Cape, RI, LI - mainly the Cape and Islands.
Category 3 dropping to 2 (hopefully).
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~Fix the Bait~ ~Pogies Forever~
Striped Bass Fishing - All Stripers
Kobayashi Maru Election - there is no way to win.
Apocalypse is Coming:
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09-02-2010, 06:16 AM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2007
Location: Reading Mass/Newburyport/merrimack river
Posts: 3,749
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Ch.5 had the old boy creeping a little closer than yesterday, but hooking to the north... looks like you guy's to the south have more to worry about than we do up north.... I'll fish tonight and if it looks Iffy, i'll haul at 1Am... at least the ramp will be empty...
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A good run is better than a bad stand!
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09-02-2010, 06:26 AM
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#26
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Seldom Seen
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 10,543
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Tracking closer than yesterday...
Should I, or shouldn't I?..... Peace of mind would have me haul it out, since I'll be leaving Friday afternoon for a wedding in Burlington Vermont. But it will be all over by Saturday AM... Then again, I'm moored at the far end of the mooring field, the end that will be the collection area if any of the couple hundred boats north of me get loose. Trailer is ready... If I haul, it will be on the evening tide. Won't have to worry about others' boats getting loose if it is in the front yard.
But should be a good night to fish the surf tonight, and tomorrow.....
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“Americans have the right and advantage of being armed, unlike the people of other countries, whose leaders are afraid to trust them with arms.” – James Madison.
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09-02-2010, 12:33 PM
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#27
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President - S-B Chapter - Kelly Clarkson Fan Club
Join Date: May 2005
Location: Rowley
Posts: 3,781
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Quote:
Originally Posted by nightfighter
Should I, or shouldn't I?..... Peace of mind would have me haul it out, since I'll be leaving Friday afternoon for a wedding in Burlington Vermont. But it will be all over by Saturday AM... Then again, I'm moored at the far end of the mooring field, the end that will be the collection area if any of the couple hundred boats north of me get loose. Trailer is ready... If I haul, it will be on the evening tide. Won't have to worry about others' boats getting loose if it is in the front yard.
But should be a good night to fish the surf tonight, and tomorrow.....
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I don't think it's gonna be as bad around our parts, but since you are gonna be away, I'd prob just haul it, cause it would make me nuts all weekend thinking about it ya know?
My kayak is hualed and safely stowed 
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09-03-2010, 10:18 AM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2007
Posts: 492
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Hi nightfighter....
Welcome to Burlington. I live right in town. if you need any suggestions on restaurants or anything just send me a pm.
Have a great time.
Quote:
Originally Posted by nightfighter
Should I, or shouldn't I?..... Peace of mind would have me haul it out, since I'll be leaving Friday afternoon for a wedding in Burlington Vermont. But it will be all over by Saturday AM... Then again, I'm moored at the far end of the mooring field, the end that will be the collection area if any of the couple hundred boats north of me get loose. Trailer is ready... If I haul, it will be on the evening tide. Won't have to worry about others' boats getting loose if it is in the front yard.
But should be a good night to fish the surf tonight, and tomorrow.....
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09-02-2010, 06:14 AM
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#29
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sick of bluefish
Join Date: Aug 2003
Location: TEXAS
Posts: 8,672
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just read that the track is 30 miles off nantucket, I think it was 60 yesterday
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making s-b.com a kinder, gentler place for all
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09-02-2010, 06:46 AM
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#30
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Old Guy
Join Date: Oct 2004
Location: Mansfield, MA
Posts: 8,760
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The track is 20-40 east of ACK.
The NGFDL is not a good performer for this storm, the GFS and the newer HWRF are the 2 to closely watch. 2nd is the NAM
Remember there is still a pct of inaccuracy in the models, about 100 mi 36 hours
Last edited by striperman36; 09-02-2010 at 07:04 AM..
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